Arnold Palmer Invitational
Bay Hill Club & Lodge
Event Type: Invitational
Winner’s Share: $1,638,000 (up $36,000 from last year)
Final Leaderboard (DraftKings pre-tourney odds outright):
1- (-4, 284) Tyrrell Hatton (50/1)
2- (-3, 285) Marc Leishman (35/1)
3- (-2, 286) Sungjae Im (20/1)
4- (-1, 287) Bryson DeChambeau (18/1)
5- (E, 288) Keith Mitchell (160/1)
5- (E, 288) Joel Dahmen (130/1)
5- (E, 288) Danny Lee (200/1)
5- (E, 288) Rory McIlroy (5/1); fave
Let’s start here.
Zero (0) players managed to shoot par or better in all four rounds, and all four rounds ranked highest for the season in their respective scoring average, including a whopping 75.913 in R3 on the par-72 layout.
Thru 54 holes, just eight (of 69) players were under-par. That’s the lowest amount since zero (0) at the 2018 U.S. Open (Shinnecock Hills). In the end, there were just four.
Field Scoring Average:
This was the 55th API, 42nd and 42nd consecutive at Bay Hill.
Tyrrell Hatton: 68-69-73-74
SG: Total: 13.609
Englishman Hatton did what his countrymen before him failed to do.
Last week at The Honda Classic, Tommy Fleetwood, in search of his first TOUR title in 64 starts, led by one after 54 holes before 1-over 71 for solo 3rd.
Last year, here, Matthew Fitzpatrick, in search of his first TOUR title (in a then 46th career start), led by one after 54 holes before 1-under 71 for a still-career-best solo 2nd.
Hatton, a pre-tourney 50/1 outright, who was T11 after 54 holes here last year before 74 for T29, bagged his first TOUR title Sunday in his 60th event (59 pro).
A second-round co-leader and the 54-hole leader by two, the 28-year-old battled to a 2-over 74 out of the final twosome to clip past champ, 2020 API Ambassador, runner-up and playing competitor Leishman by one (73).
Coming third was last week’s first-time TOUR winner Im, who shot 73 out of the third-to-last twosome, while DeChambeau’s closing 71 out of the fifth-to-last twosome, tied for the third-best lap of the day, yielded solo 4th.
The Florida Swing has opened with two stern tests with the “W’s” both going to first-time PGA TOUR winners.
Im at last week’s Honda (in 50th career start), and now Hatton.
PGA National and Bay Hill both produced single-digit-under-par winners, the first of their kind this season in the 21st and 22nd events, respectively.
A cold front passed through late-day Thursday. While no rain accompanied it, cool temps and gusty winds were on the menu for the remainder of the contest.
Bay Hill, which typically gives up double-digit winners, nine of the last 10 in fact, played hard and fast with deep rough. Big numbers were everywhere.
Last season, in 45 stroke-play events, there were three single-digit winners:
Koepka: (-8) PGA Champ (Bethpage Black)
Paul Casey: (-8) Valspar Champ (Copperhead)
Mitchell: (-9) Honda (PGA Nat’l)
You have to go back to the 2018 U.S. Open to find a higher winning score than Hatton’s, where (defender) Koepka prevailed at 1-over.
The last time a 4-under total won on TOUR: 2016 U.S. Open (Oakmont), won by Dustin Johnson.
The last time a single-digit winner was crowned king for the week at Arnie’s Invite was Martin Laird’s 8-under in 2011.
Back in November, Hatton finished 46th (of 50) at the DP World Tour Championship and then immediately went under the knife (right wrist).
After missing the next 12 weeks, he returned two weeks ago at the WGC-Mexico with a T6, where he ranked No. 1 in SG: Tee-to-Green (10.594).
Club de Golf Chapultepec was the site of his previous-best finish (and only other podium) on TOUR, a T3 in 2018.
Hatton’s won four times on the European Tour in 144 events, most recently in a playoff at the 2019 Turkish Airlines Open just three worldwide starts ago.
Worldwide Form: 1-6-46-P1-14-6-18-15-MC
That’s seven top 20s in his last eight.
Playing his third season on TOUR, Hatton secures a three-year exemption, deservedly so after winning the war of attrition in Orlando.
How Hatton Won the Tournament:
Ranked 1st (or T1) in: Total Bogeys; Birdie to Bogey Ratio; Par-3 Scoring
Ranked 2nd(or T2) in: SG: Approach-the-Green
Note: See “Leaders in Strokes Gained stats” at the bottom, along with his full stats.
Lowest-Ranked Stat(s): Driving Distance all drives (34th); Driving Accuracy (T33)
Hatton’s Position by Round:
R1: T5 (3 back)
R3: 1 (by 2)
Leader/co-leaders by Round:
R1: Matt Every (finished: MC): Drops to 0-for-8 as 18-hole leader/co-leader
R2: Tyrrell Hatton (Won): Improves to 1-for-1 as 36-hole leader/co-leader
R2: Sung Kang (T9): Drops to 1-for-4
R3: Tyrrell Hatton (Won): Improves to 1-for-1 as 54-hole leader/co-leader
Note: Hatton’s T1 after R2 was his first lead/co-lead after any round on TOUR (192nd round)
Season Leaders in Top-10 Finishes:
6: Rory McIlroy
3: Tyrrell Hatton, Marc Leishman, Danny Lee, Collin Morikawa, Daniel Berger, Max Homa, Lanto Griffin, Tony Finau, Mark Hubbard, Tom Hoge, Abraham Ancer, Xander Schauffele, Sebastian Munoz, Brendon Todd, Denny McCarthy, Carlos Ortiz
Consecutive Top 10s on TOUR:
7: Rory McIlroy (5-5-5-3-P1-3-1)
3: Bryson DeChambeau (4-2-5)
3: Daniel Berger (4-5-9)
2: Tyrrell Hatton (1-6)
2: Sungjae Im (3-1)
2: Joel Dahmen (5-5)
Consecutive Top-10 Streak Ended at:
2: Hideki Matsuyama (56-6-5)
By the Numbers:
9/4: Hatton’s revised outright betting entering R4.
4: Hatton, 28, is the fourth straight winner on TOUR in their 20’s.
2016: Hatton is the first 36 or 54-hole leader/co-leader to win at Bay Hill since Jason Day in 2016, who went wire to wire. Day WD’d (back) this week for a second straight year.
70: Max Homa’s 70 on Saturday was the only sub-par lap in R3 (5.913 SG: Total). He finished T24 (72-75-70-76)
69: Fitzpatrick’s Sunday 69 was the only sub-70 round of the weekend, and was 6.058 strokes better than the field average in the finale. He back-doored a T9 with that 69 (70-75-75-69).
20: Vying for his sixth TOUR win in 279 events and second API victory (2017), Leishman records his 20th career top 3. It’s his third of the season in nine starts, joining a 3rd at the Safeway, and a win at the Farmers three starts ago. Overall, it’s his fourth top 10 at the API in 11 tries, and fifth straight top 25.
3: With solo 3rd, Im bags his second straight top 3 on TOUR (Won, Honda), and his second straight top 3 in the event (T3/2019).
3: Through 22 (non-team) events this season, the pre-tourney fave/co-fave has won three times: Viktor Hovland (12/1): opposite-field Puerto Rico Open; McIlroy (6/1): WGC-HSBC; Justin Thomas (13/2): THE CJ CUP. Last season, two fave/co-faves won (in 45 non-team events): McIlroy (12/1 co-fave) at THE PLAYERS, and Collin Morikawa at the opposite-field Barracuda (10/1).
5/1: World No. 1 McIlroy, a pre-tourney 5/1 fave outright (and 2/1 fave heading into Sunday), fell three spots to T5 after a closing 76 out of the penultimate twosome. Over the final 36 holes, he mustered just three birdie-4s, against four bogeys and two doubles.
21: At 8-over 152 (76-76) and a MC by five, Fleetwood’s TOUR-leading consecutive cuts made streak ended at 33. The new leader is Morikawa (T9) with 21, followed by Webb Simpson and Fitzpatrick with 18 apiece.
6: Six (of 21) TOUR rookies teed it up with Scottie Scheffler taking top rookie-honors with T15 (67-74-75-75). Form: 15-26-30-MC-MC-3
Cuts Made: 4
Top 25s: 4
Top 10s: 3
Top 3: 1
Season Form: 1-6-14-6
Hatton on Sunday:
After opening with 68-69-73, he began with a two-shot lead over Leishman and McIlroy and hit five (of 14) fairways and 10 greens in regulation.
Hatton lost strokes off the tee (-0.787) and around (-1.116), but gained 3.026 on approach.
He conjured two birdies at holes 7 and 8, both from inside of 10 feet, outbalanced by two bogey-5s at 1 and 5 (failed scrambles), and double bogey-6 at 11 (watered tee ball).
Hatton posted 1.800 putts per GIR and -0.065 SG: Putting with 28 total putts, wrapping the week with 16 birdies versus eight bogeys and two doubles.
OUT: even-par 36 (2 birdies, 2 bogeys); Led by two (over Im)
IN: 2-over 38 (1 double); WINS by 1 (over Leishman)
Hatton’s TOUR Career:
Cuts Made: 44 (73.3%)
Top 25s: 28 (46.6%)
Top 10s: 15 (25.0%)
Top 3s: 2 (3.3%)
Wins: 1 (1.6%)
Wins by Season:
Hatton at Honda:
Top 25s: 2
Top 10s: 2
Honda Form: 1-29-69-4
Strength of Field:
With a Strength of Field rating of 556 (up 11 from last season), Hatton banks 66.00 world-ranking points and 500 FedExCup points:
OWGR: From 32 to 22 (up 10)
Note: Career high is 13th after 2018 WGC-Mexico
FEC: From 81 to 14 (up 67); career high
A total of 69 pros from a field of 120 pros and one amateur made the 36-hole cut of 3-over 147:
34 (of 59) LATE/early
13 (of 22) tourneys so far this season with a traditional draw:
EARLY/late: 9 (Hatton)
R1: 65: Matt Every
R2: 67: Danny Lee
R3: 70: Max Homa
R4: 69: Matthew Fitzpatrick
R2: (1): Matt Jones (68)
R3: (0): NONE
R4: (1): Ryan Moore (70)
Multiple Bogey-free Rounds:
10 winners were in their 20s (Hatton age: 28)
11 were in their 30s
1 was in their 40s
Hatton’s Weekly Stats (ranking of 69 players):
Birdies: 16 (T3)
Bogeys: 8 (T1)
Birdie or Better: 22.22% (T3)
Birdie to Bogey Ratio: 1.60 (1st)
Par-3 Scoring: 2.88 (T1)
Par-4 Scoring: 4.10 (T12)
Par-5 Scoring: 4.63 (T17)
Driving Distance (all drives): 282.0 yards (34th)
Driving Accuracy: 30/56 (T33) at 53.57%
GIR: 42/72 (T9) at 58.33%
Proximity to Hole: 38’6” (10th)
Putts per GIR: 1.738 (13th)
Total Putts: 110 (T22)
One-Putts: 32 (T24) at 44.44%
Putts by Round: 26-27-29-28
Scrambling: 20/30 (T7) at 66.67%
Leaders in Strokes Gained:
1. Bryson DeChambeau (7.200)
2. Keith Mitchell (4.405)
3. Scottie Scheffler (4.366)
4. Jason Kokrak (4.266)
5. Viktor Hovland (4.117)
24. Tyrrell Hatton (1.504)
1. Collin Morikawa (10.556)
2. Tyrrell Hatton (7.268)
3. Joel Dahmen (7.185)
4. Jimmy Walker (6.748)
5. Max Homa (6.276)
1. Zac Blair (8.707)
2. Scottie Scheffler (6.034)
3. Matt Wallace (5.656)
4. Sungjae Im (5.259)
5. Xinjun Zhang (4.634)
27. Tyrrell Hatton (1.479)
1. Scott Harrington (9.108)
2. Beau Hossler (8.289)
3. Keith Mitchell (6.316)
4. Marc Leishman (6.083)
5. Xander Schauffele (5.676)
15. Tyrrell Hatton (3.357)
1. Scottie Scheffler (11.460)
2. Joel Dahmen (11.204)
3. Collin Morikawa (11.024)
4. Sungjae Im (10.524)
5. Tyrrell Hatton (10.252)