Loading scores...
JuJu Smith-Schuster
Getty Images
Targets and Touches

Week 15: AFC Targets & Touches

by John Daigle

Targets and Touches will only have players’ six most recent games, regardless if they were active or on a bye. The data will be in descending order of games played.

 

All targets and touches data is compiled from Pro Football Reference. Air yards data is sourced via Josh Hermsmeyer’s AirYards.com. Cornerback and routes run data is sourced via Pro Football Focus. The AFC will be released on Tuesdays, while the NFC is published on Wednesday.

 

The goal of these articles is to give you an idea of what the usage looks like for each player within their offenses, allowing you to spot any positive or negative trends regarding how a player is being used, and most importantly — letting the numbers tell the story.

 

Editor’s Note: If you love Fantasy Football you have to be playing on DRAFT. It's daily fantasy football snake drafts instead of salary caps. All the fun of season long drafts but with no management and they last for just one week. They take minutes to complete and there's even auction drafts! No more setting lineups or constantly worrying about pros, just draft and win! Right now DRAFT is giving Rotoworld readers an exclusive FREE entry into a real money draft when you make your first deposit! Here's the link

 

Baltimore Ravens

Targets: Michael Crabtree (7, 3, 6, 4, 4, 1), John Brown (6, 1, 7, 4, 6, 3), Willie Snead (8, 8, 0, 3, 7, 6), Ty Montgomery (X, 0, 3, 7, 3, X), Kenneth Dixon (X, X, X, 1, 1, 1)

 

Air Yards: John Brown (38, 14, 70, 102, 63, 37), Michael Crabtree (85, 38, 72, 28, 43, 9), Willie Snead (32, 58, 0, 19, 73, 48), Ty Montgomery (X, 0, 3, 21, 3, X), Kenneth Dixon (X, X, X, 3, 4, -4)

 

Receiving Yards: John Brown (15, 23, 25, 0, 23, 9), Michael Crabtree (32, 7, 21, 36, 31, 0), Willie Snead (58, 51, 0, 8, 61, 58), Ty Montgomery (X, 0, 13, 42, 1, X), Kenneth Dixon (X, X, X, 6, 21, 2)

 

Carries: Gus Edwards (0, 17, 23, 21, 16, 19), Lamar Jackson (5, 27, 11, 17, 13, 18), Ty Montgomery (X, 1, 8, 3, 2, X), Kenneth Dixon (X, X, X, 8, 8, 11)

 

RZ Targets: John Brown (1, 0, 2, 0, 1, 0), Michael Crabtree (1, 0, 2, 0, 0, 0), Willie Snead (0, 2, 0, 0, 0, 2), Ty Montgomery (X, 0, 0, 1, 1, X)

 

RZ Carries: Gus Edwards (0, 2, 5, 0, 3, 3), Lamar Jackson (1, 6, 1, 3, 4, 2), Kenneth Dixon (X, X, X, 0, 1, 1), Ty Montgomery (X, X, 0, 0, 2, X)

 

CB Catches-Yards-Touchdowns Allowed: Brandon Carr (4-80, 1-32, 4-76, 4-27, 3-30, 0-0), Marlon Humphrey (X, X, X, X, 3-29, 2-13), Jimmy Smith (3-27, 2-10, 2-20, 5-46, 8-63, 3-96)

 

Observations: Ty Montgomery was a surprising healthy scratch on Sunday morning, leaving only Gus Edwards, Kenneth Dixon, and Javorius Allen in Baltimore’s backfield. Per usual, Allen was an afterthought on just three snaps and has now only touched the ball twice over his last five games. Edwards out-touched Dixon 19-12, including 2-0 inside the 10-yard line, but it’s worth noting Dixon’s on-field usage quietly continued surging. He hit three-week highs in snaps (39, 51.3%), carries (11), and routes run (18) for the second consecutive game, whereas Edwards’ snap rate (33, 43.4%) decreased again. The latter still projects to out-carry Dixon Saturday against the Chargers, but the duo’s workload has become even to the point that it’s now possible to leverage one over the other (or hope Dixon’s passing game usage trumps Edwards’ carries) in short DFS slates. The rookie still qualifies as a low-floor RB3/flex this week.

Buffalo Bills

Targets: Zay Jones (11, BYE, 0, 9, 9, 6), Robert Foster (4, BYE, 3, 4, 8, 5), Isaiah McKenzie (1, BYE, 3, 4, 7, 7), LeSean McCoy (1, BYE, 1, 4, 1, X), Chris Ivory (X, BYE, 0, 0, 1, X)

 

Air Yards: Zay Jones (124, BYE, 15, 151, 127, 138), Robert Foster (106, BYE, 50, 142, 91, 123), Isaiah McKenzie (-4, BYE, 4, 77, 74, 40), LeSean McCoy (1, BYE, -5, -6, -8, X), Chris Ivory (X, BYE, 0, 0, -3, X)

 

Receiving Yards: Zay Jones (93, BYE, 0, 67, 22, 11), Robert Foster (105, BYE, 94, 27, 104, 108), Isaiah McKenzie (14, BYE, 11, 46, 47, 53), LeSean McCoy (5, BYE, 7, 12, 0, X), Chris Ivory (X, BYE, 0, 0, 0, X)

 

Carries: LeSean McCoy (26, BYE, 17, 15, 2, X), Josh Allen (X, BYE, 13, 9, 9, 9), Chris Ivory (X, BYE, 3, 6, 12, X)

 

RZ Targets: Zay Jones (2, BYE, 0, 1, 3, 0), Robert Foster (1, BYE, 0, 0, 1, 0), LeSean McCoy (0, BYE, 0, 1, 0, X), Isaiah McKenzie (0, BYE, 0, 1, 0, 0)

 

RZ Carries: Josh Allen (X, BYE, 3, 0, 1, 3), LeSean McCoy (5, BYE, 3, 2, 1, X), Chris Ivory (X, BYE, 0, 1, 1, X)

 

CB Catches-Yards-Touchdowns Allowed: Tre’Davious White (2-8, BYE, 0-0, 3-15, 3-51-1, 6-90), Taron Johnson (1-0, BYE, 2-16, 2-21, 0-0, 0-0), Levi Wallace (0-0, BYE, 1-29, 2-11, 2-10, 2-28-1)

 

Observations: Darius Slay followed Zay Jones on the outside Sunday, which allowed ex-Crimson Tide UDFA Robert Foster to buoy Mike Ford’s effortless coverage into the receiver’s second straight 100-yard performance. Even so, Zay’s clear downfield usage and higher target share the past three weeks (25%) are marks to take advantage of in DFS on Sunday. Running a majority of his routes from the left side, Foster (6’2”, 196-pounds) should also garner Stephon Gilmore’s shadow coverage despite Detroit’s decision to stick its best corner on Jones. Consider Foster a confident WR3/flex against the Patriots, with Jones more of an opportunity-based WR4 and DFS flier.

 

Cincinnati Bengals

Targets: Tyler Boyd (4, 11, 8, 8, 6, 5), Joe Mixon (2, 3, 7, 2, 6, 4), Giovani Bernard (3, 4, 1, 8, 2, 2), John Ross (6, 7, 7, 3, 4, 5), C.J. Uzomah (4, 5, 13, 7, 3, 5)

 

Air Yards: Tyler Boyd (18, 142, 65, 95, 104, 91), John Ross (98, 96, 115, 46, 6, 94), C.J. Uzomah (29, 53, 60, 16, 23, 62), Giovani Bernard (6, 0, 7, -6, 5, 0), Joe Mixon (1, -1, 6, -4, -13, 11)

 

Receiving Yards: Joe Mixon (24, 38, 66, 13, 27, 1), Tyler Boyd (65, 71, 85, 97, 52, 38), Giovani Bernard (30, 20, 12, 32, 13, 25), C.J. Uzomah (23, 41, 39, 33, 37, 27), John Ross (39, 27, 31, 13, 11, 6)

 

Carries: Joe Mixon (11, 12, 14, 12, 26, 27), Giovani Bernard (2, 2, 1, 5, 3, 6)

 

RZ Targets: John Ross (1, 0, 2, 1, 1, 1), Joe Mixon (0, 0, 2, 0, 0, 1), Tyler Boyd (0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1), C.J. Uzomah (0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1), Giovani Bernard (0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0)

 

RZ Carries: Joe Mixon (1, 2, 0, 0, 4, 7), Giovani Bernard (0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1)

 

CB Catches-Yards-Touchdowns Allowed: William Jackson (4-24-1, 0-0, 2-13, 2-34, 2-9, 0-0), Dre Kirkpatrick (1-2, 0-0, X, 2-20, X, 2-20), Darqueze Dennard (X, 3-25, 1-14, 1-14, 2-28, 6-82)

 

Observations: Tyler Boyd reportedly suffered a “low-grade MCL sprain” against the Raiders, which likely puts him down for the year. The Bengals will presumably move forward with John Ross, Cody Core, and Alex Erickson in three-wide sets, with Auden Tate and Josh Malone filling in behind them. Rather than sucking it up and rostering any of that group, though, it’s only worth getting exposure to this team through Joe Mixon or the opposing defense. Mixon for instance handled 29-of-37 backfield touches (78.3%) on 52 workhorse snaps (65%) Sunday. Now having averaged 26.5 carries and five targets in Cincinnati’s past two games, he’s an unbenchable season-long commodity for his usage alone. He’s a potential fade in DFS tournaments since the Bengals’ lack of offensive explosion could lead to an out-of-hand game script on the road in Cleveland this week.

 

Cleveland Browns

Targets: Jarvis Landry (5, BYE, 5, 9, 4, 8), David Njoku (1, BYE, 5, 6, 4, 5), Rashard Higgins (1, BYE, 3, 4, 3, 3), Duke Johnson (4, BYE, 2, 3, 0, 5), Antonio Callaway (2, BYE, 5, 6, 1, 7), Nick Chubb (3, BYE, 3, 3, 6, 1), Breshad Perriman (2, BYE, 1, 2, 2, 2)

 

Air Yards: Jarvis Landry (62, BYE, 42, 146, 118, 71), David Njoku (15, BYE, 21, 58, 49, 69), Rashard Higgins (28, BYE, 42, 57, 34, 44), Antonio Callaway (25, BYE, 100, 65, -2, 42), Duke Johnson (1, BYE, 27, 11, 0, 15), Nick Chubb (11, BYE, 9, -6, 26, 7), Breshad Perriman (24, BYE, 4, 56, 68, 57)

 

Receiving Yards: Jarvis Landry (22, BYE, 30, 103, 57, 37), Rashard Higgins (28, BYE, 24, 62, 19, 30), Antonio Callaway (39, BYE, 62, 84, 0, 35), David Njoku (18, BYE, 63, 8, 35, 30), Duke Johnson (78, BYE, 23, 12, 0, 25), Nick Chubb (33, BYE, 44, 41, 17, 0), Breshad Perriman (33, BYE, 6, 26, 81, 31)

 

Carries: Nick Chubb (20, BYE, 28, 9, 13, 20), Duke Johnson (3, BYE, 2, 0, 2, 4)

 

RZ Targets: Jarvis Landry (1, BYE, 0, 0, 0, 1), Antonio Callaway (0, BYE, 2, 0, 0, 1), Duke Johnson (1, BYE, 1, 0, 0, 0), Rashard Higgins (0, BYE, 0, 1, 0, 0), David Njoku (0, BYE, 1, 0, 0, 1), Nick Chubb (1, BYE, 2, 0, 0, 0)

 

RZ Carries: Nick Chubb (1, BYE, 4, 1, 2, 3), Duke Johnson (1, BYE, 0, 0, 0, 1)

 

CB Catches-Yards-Touchdowns Allowed: Denzel Ward (4-46, BYE, 3-23, 1-2, X, X), T.J. Carrie (5-43, BYE, 4-26, 4-55, 3-42, 4-55), Briean Boddy-Calhoun (7-68, BYE, 4-32, 4-20, 3-33, 7-36)

 

Observations: Jarvis Landry busted with 6.7 fantasy points on a team-high eight targets on Saturday. That amount may seem encouraging, but it’s still on par with the 6.3 looks he’s averaged in six games under OC Freddie Kitchens. He averaged 11.8 per game under Hue Jackson/Todd Haley. Same goes for Breshad Perriman, who got there on one 31-yard bomb but ultimately ran the fifth-most routes (13) for Cleveland. Sunday’s shaping up to be an eruption spot for Nick Chubb among all, anyhow, as the Browns are currently favored by a touchdown (-7) at home. Prior to bottling up Doug Martin on nine measly carries last week, Cincinnati’s defense was smashed by James Conner (19/111/2), Kareem Hunt (15/86/1), Peyton Barber (19/85/1), Alvin Kamara/Mark Ingram(25/160/2), Gus Edwards (17/115/1), Nick Chubb (28/84/1), Phillip Lindsay (19/157/2), and Austin Ekeler (15/66/1) on the ground in their previous eight games.

 

Denver Broncos

Targets: Courtland Sutton (BYE, 6, 4, 7, 6, 6), Phillip Lindsay (BYE, 5, 0, 1, 7, 6), Devontae Booker (BYE, 1, 2, 2, 2, 3), Matt LaCosse (BYE, 2, 4, 1, 1, 6), Tim Patrick (BYE, 1, 0, 0, 10, 8), DaeSean Hamilton (BYE, 2, 2, 0, 7, 12)    

 

Air Yards: Courtland Sutton (BYE, 72, 31, 97, 46, 61), Phillip Lindsay (BYE, -10, 0, -2, 6, -2), Devontae Booker (BYE, 3, 13, 13, 0, 11), Matt LaCosse (BYE, -3, 35, -2, -1, 28), Tim Patrick (BYE, 5, 0, 0, 106, 59), DaeSean Hamilton (BYE, 9, 22, 0, 41, 125)  

 

Receiving Yards: Courtland Sutton (BYE, 78, 14, 85, 14, 42), Phillip Lindsay (BYE, 27, 0, 2, 21, 20), Devontae Booker (BYE, 4, 6, 38, 11, 17), Matt LaCosse (BYE, 9, 34, 0, 3, 43), Tim Patrick (BYE, 0, 0, 0, 85, 65), DaeSean Hamilton (BYE, 4, 13, 0, 47, 46)    

 

Carries: Phillip Lindsay (BYE, 11, 14, 19, 14, 14), Royce Freeman (BYE, 7, 6, 12, 6, 4), Devontae Booker (BYE, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0)

 

RZ Targets: Devontae Booker (BYE, 0, 0, 1, 1, 1), Courtland Sutton (BYE, 0, 0, 0, 3, 0), Phillip Lindsay (BYE, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0), Matt LaCosse (BYE, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0), DaeSean Hamilton (BYE, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0)   

 

RZ Carries: Phillip Lindsay (BYE, 4, 1, 1, 3, 3), Royce Freeman (BYE, 5, 0, 0, 0, 1), Devontae Booker (BYE, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0)

 

CB Catches-Yards-Touchdowns Allowed: Isaac Yiadom (X, X, 2-32, 1-11, 5-31-1, X), Bradley Roby (BYE, 1-19, 9-167-1, 2-32-1, 2-24, 3-36), Tramaine Brock (BYE, 1-29, 2-4, X, X, 3-48-1)

 

Observations: Without Emmanuel Sanders the past two weeks, Denver’s receiving corps has been whittled down to Tim Patrick, DaeSean Hamilton, and Courtland Sutton. The latter of that trio has admittedly been in and out of the lineup with a thigh injury in this recent stretch, but still notably ranks third on the team with just 11 targets in that span. Hamilton meanwhile has been favored in the slot, building a team-high 23% target share on 96 routes run since Week 14. Now suddenly boasting a high floor to go along with his impressive 125 air yards last week, Hamilton’s the receiver to lean on most in fantasy championship games (and DFS slates that include Monday). Only the Niners have allowed more receiving touchdowns (22) to opposing wideouts than the Raiders (20).

 

Houston Texans

Targets: DeAndre Hopkins (BYE, 6, 6, 12, 10, 11), Demaryius Thomas (BYE, 0, 5, 5, 6, 8), Lamar Miller (BYE, 5, 1, 1, 6, 0), Keke Coutee (BYE, 9, 2, X, X, X), Alfred Blue (BYE, 0, 1, 0, 1, 2)

 

Air Yards: DeAndre Hopkins (BYE, 58, 117, 116, 101, 157), Demaryius Thomas (BYE, 0, 32, 65, 66, 36), Lamar Miller (BYE, -6, -2, 1, -8, 0), Keke Coutee (BYE, 50, 8, X, X, X), Alfred Blue (BYE, 0, 2, 0, 3, 6)

 

Receiving Yards: DeAndre Hopkins (BYE, 56, 74, 91, 36, 170), Demaryius Thomas (BYE, 0, 38, 32, 48, 59), Lamar Miller (BYE, 22, 5, 12, 19, 0), Keke Coutee (BYE, 77, 14, X, X, X), Alfred Blue (BYE, 0, 13, 0, 0, 9)

 

Carries: Lamar Miller (BYE, 20, 12, 19, 14, 3), Deshaun Watson (BYE, 3, 9, 7, 5, 4), Alfred Blue (BYE, 8, 13, 13, 6, 9)

 

RZ Targets: DeAndre Hopkins (BYE, 1, 0, 0, 4, 2), Alfred Blue (BYE, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1), Keke Coutee (BYE, 2, 0, X, X, X), Demaryius Thomas (BYE, 0, 2, 1, 0, 0), Lamar Miller (BYE, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0)

 

RZ Carries: Lamar Miller (BYE, 3, 1, 1, 2, 2), Deshaun Watson (BYE, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0), Alfred Blue (BYE, 0, 0, 1, 2, 1)

 

CB Catches-Yards-Touchdowns Allowed: Jonathan Joseph (BYE, 2-8, 3-88-1, 1-7, 2-48, 4-22), Kareem Jackson (BYE, 4-68, 0-0, 5-67, 9-87, 3-25), Shareece Wright (BYE, 3-28, 1-13, 2-35, 3-52-1, 3-43-1)

 

Observations: Without Keke Coutee (hamstring) available, DeAndre Hopkins continued surging as Houston’s only receiving threat. In four games without Will Fuller (torn ACL, IR) and Coutee since Week 9, Hopkins has seen target totals of 12, 12, 10, and 11 -- a 38% share. Hopkins is still a top-two option against Philly’s makeshift secondary, which has allowed the second-most fantasy points to opposing wideouts, no matter Coutee’s (game-time decision) status, but he’ll be the unequivocal WR1 in Week 16 if the rookie’s ruled out. Only concern would be the pass protection of Houston’s offensive line, which has allowed the second-highest Adjusted Sack Rate (10.8%) on the year.

 

Indianapolis Colts

Targets: Eric Ebron (3, 0, 7, 16, 8, 3), T.Y. Hilton (7, 9, 10, 13, 12, 8), Nyheim Hines (4, 3, 2, 9, 5, 6), Marlon Mack (2, 2, 2, 1, 1, 1)

 

Air Yards: T.Y. Hilton (71, 110, 119, 109, 154, 142), Eric Ebron (38, 0, 53, 75, 67, 36), Nyheim Hines (11, 19, -3, 6, 46, 14), Marlon Mack (-2, 3, 1, 2, 15, 0)

 

Receiving Yards: Eric Ebron (69, 0, 45, 81, 65, 8), T.Y. Hilton (77, 155, 185, 77, 199, 85), Nyheim Hines (19, 20, 22, 50, 16, 45), Marlon Mack (9, 8, 11, 6, 0, 10)

 

Carries: Marlon Mack (12, 16, 15, 8, 14, 27), Nyheim Hines (3, 5, 9, 4, 3, 6)

 

RZ Targets: Eric Ebron (2, 1, 2, 1, 1, 0), T.Y. Hilton (1, 1, 0, 1, 0, 1), Nyheim Hines (0, 0, 0, 2, 0, 0), Marlon Mack (1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0)

 

RZ Carries: Marlon Mack (0, 3, 1, 0, 1, 7), Nyheim Hines (2, 2, 3, 0, 1, 1)

 

CB Catches-Yards-Touchdowns Allowed: Kenny Moore II (9-74, 10-83-1, 3-9, 7-55, 4-22, 0-0), Pierre Desir (0-0, 3-44, 3-83-1, 2-8, 1-10, 4-37), Quincy Wilson (5-59, 2-24, 0-0, 3-29, 0-0, 3-24)

 

Observations: Marlon Mack may be in a 60-40 on-field timeshare with Nyheim Hines the past two weeks, but the former’s opportunities continue to be a no-contest. Mack has handled 42-of-58 backfield touches (72.4%) since Week 14, including 100% of the team’s carries inside the 10-yard line. He’s in another low-end RB1 smash spot this week as the Colts host the Giants as heavy home favorites (-9). Don’t fret Eric Ebron’s three targets against the Cowboys, either. With Indy unpredictably leading by two scores for a majority of the afternoon, Mo Alie-Cox was used to run-block on 31 of his season-high 40 snaps. Ebron’s on-field usage was still there, as shown by his 21 routes on Andrew Luck’s 30 dropbacks.

 

Jacksonville Jaguars

Targets: Dede Westbrook (10, 4, 4, 5, 10, 5), Donte Moncrief (4, 2, 4, 4, 10, 2), Keelan Cole (0, 0, 0, 2, 7, 0), T.J. Yeldon (6, 3, 4, 8, 1, 3), Leonard Fournette (5, 2, 3, X, 3, 4), D.J. Chark (2, 5, X, X, X, X)

 

Air Yards: Donte Moncrief (53, 27, 44, 30, 142, 63), Keelan Cole (0, 0, 4, 11, 76, 0), Dede Westbrook (43, 59, 77, 70, 105, 30), T.J. Yeldon (-6, -3, 10, 5, 1, -1), Leonard Fournette (-14, 11, -12, X, -1, -6), D.J. Chark (18, 28, X, X, X, X)

 

Receiving Yards: Keelan Cole (0, 0, 0, 16, 55, 0), Dede Westbrook (30, 19, 44, 25, 88, 21), Donte Moncrief (98, 11, 29, 40, 47, 0), T.J. Yeldon (51, 9, 17, 49, 10, 5), Leonard Fournette (56, 46, 13, X, 5, 18), D.J. Chark (0, 15, X, X, X, X)

 

Carries: Leonard Fournette (24, 28, 18, X, 14, 11), T.J. Yeldon (3, 5, 3, 8, 1, 3), Carlos Hyde (3, 8, 10, 13, 0, X)

 

RZ Targets: Dede Westbrook (4, 0, 1, 0, 2, 0), Leonard Fournette (1, 0, 0, X, 0, 0), T.J. Yeldon (0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0), Donte Moncrief (0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0), Keelan Cole (0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0), D.J. Chark (0, 0, X, X, X, X)

 

RZ Carries: Leonard Fournette (5, 2, 4, X, 4, 0), T.J. Yeldon (0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0), Carlos Hyde (0, 0, 2, 2, 0, X)

 

CB Catches-Yards-Touchdowns Allowed: Jalen Ramsey (3-53, 8-158-1, 1-32, 5-54, 2-21, 2-20), D.J. Hayden (3-28, 7-52, 1-6, 6-48, 3-16, 4-18), A.J. Bouye (X, 4-58, 1-19, 6-34, 4-45, 0-0)

 

Observations: The Jaguars inexplicably decided to limit Leonard Fournette to just 11 carries on half of the team’s snaps since … and I quote … “Dave Williams had a good week of practice.” If his usual volume were guaranteed, it would be a tremendous spot to leverage Fournette’s recency bias against Miami’s RB-friendly front-seven. Instead, the former No. 4 overall pick can’t be viewed as anything more than a dicey RB3 with RB2 upside. Sigh.

 

Kansas City Chiefs

Targets: Tyreek Hill (10, 14, BYE, 6, 14, 7), Travis Kelce (7, 15, BYE, 13, 9, 9), Sammy Watkins (X, 1, BYE, X, X, X), Spencer Ware (1, 0, BYE, 1, 5, X), Chris Conley (2, 8, BYE, 7, 3, 3), Damien Williams (0, 0, BYE, 2, 5, 6)

 

Air Yards: Tyreek Hill (104, 200, BYE, 128, 119, 92), Travis Kelce (23, 126, BYE, 113, 82, 79), Sammy Watkins (X, -1, BYE, X, X, X), Spencer Ware (-6, 0, BYE, 14, -8, X), Chris Conley (22, 51, BYE, 67, 20, 19), Damien Williams (0, 0, BYE, -5, 1, -11)

 

Receiving Yards: Tyreek Hill (117, 215, BYE, 13, 139, 46), Sammy Watkins (X, 4, BYE, X, X, X), Travis Kelce (46, 127, BYE, 168, 77, 61), Spencer Ware (7, 0, BYE, 5, 54, X), Chris Conley (22, 74, BYE, 25, 13, 19), Damien Williams (0, 0, BYE, 7, 16, 74)

 

Carries: Patrick Mahomes (2, 4, 6, BYE, 9, 2), Spencer Ware (2, 0, BYE, 14, 15, X), Damien Williams (0, 0, BYE, 5, 8, 10)

 

RZ Targets: Travis Kelce (1, 2, BYE, 3, 2, 1), Sammy Watkins (X, 0, BYE, X, X, X), Tyreek Hill (2, 0, BYE, 1, 2, 2), Spencer Ware (0, 0, BYE, 0, 0, X), Chris Conley (0, 2, BYE, 1, 2, 1), Damien Williams (0, 0, BYE, 1, 2, 0)

 

RZ Carries: Patrick Mahomes (0, 3, BYE, 0, 0, 1), Spencer Ware (1, 0, BYE, 3, 1, X), Damien Williams (0, 0, BYE, 0, 2, 6)

 

CB Catches-Yards-Touchdowns Allowed: Steven Nelson (1-1, 3-52, BYE, 5-52-1, 3-32-1, 5-74-1), Orlando Scandrick (2-10, 6-76-2, BYE, 4-46, 3-40, 3-15-1), Kendall Fuller (4-33, 3-49, BYE, 7-40, 4-28, 6-96)

 

Observations: The Chiefs (and, in particular, Andy Reid) have historically preferred to lean on one back, so it comes as no surprise that Damien Williams played 44-of-60 offensive snaps (73%) in place of Spencer Ware (shoulder/hamstring, out) on Thursday. For reference, both Kareem Hunt (70.5%) and Ware (69% in Week 13) were in on nearly 70% of snaps when fully healthy, too. Despite Williams’ 16 touches (and two scores) against the Chargers, the team will likely revert back to that same approach and simply hand Ware the load (health pending) Sunday night. Reminder he out-touched Williams 15-7 in Week 13, even running 25 routes to Williams’ 8. Week 14’s box score is skewed since Ware exited in the second quarter/overtime.

 

Los Angeles Chargers

Targets: Keenan Allen (9, 12, 7, 19, 9, 0), Melvin Gordon (6, 6, 2, X, X, X), Mike Williams (0, 3, 4, 3, 6, 7), Austin Ekeler (0, 2, 11, 8, 5, X), Tyrell Williams (6, 6, 0, 2, 3, 12), Travis Benjamin (0, 3, 3, 2, 1, 3)

 

Air Yards: Keenan Allen (108, 73, 44, 157, 93, 0), Mike Williams (0, 48, 22, 50, 82, 77), Tyrell Williams (78, 57, 0, 14, 7, 132), Travis Benjamin (0, 125, 41, 33, 3, 69), Austin Ekeler (0, -5, -5, -18, 41, X), Melvin Gordon (9, -6, -17, X, X, X)

 

Receiving Yards: Keenan Allen (57, 89, 72, 148, 78, 0), Melvin Gordon (72, 87, 5, X, X, X), Austin Ekeler (0, 40, 68, 22, 28, X), Mike Williams (0, 56, 25, 52, 45, 76), Tyrell Williams (46, 22, 0, 14, 14, 71), Travis Benjamin (0, 0, 47, 44, 11, 57)

 

Carries: Melvin Gordon (18, 18, 10, X, X, X), Austin Ekeler (3, 6, 5, 13, 15, X), Justin Jackson (0, 0, 7, 8, 7, 16)

 

RZ Targets: Melvin Gordon (2, 0, 1, X, X, X), Austin Ekeler (0, 0, 0, 0, 1, X), Keenan Allen (1, 2, 2, 1, 3, 0), Tyrell Williams (2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2), Mike Williams (0, 0, 2, 0, 1, 4), Travis Benjamin (0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0),

 

RZ Carries: Melvin Gordon (2, 0, 2, X, X, X), Austin Ekeler (0, 0, 2, 1, 2, X), Justin Jackson (0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 3)

 

CB Catches-Yards-Touchdowns Allowed: Desmond King II (6-42, 3-47, 2-15, 8-59, 2-5, 5-63-1), Casey Hayward Jr. (2-23, 2-69, 1-9, 4-84, 2-33, 1-3), Michael Davis (3-27, 2-6, 3-36-1, 2-19, 3-35, 3-24)

 

Observations: No observations.

 

Miami Dolphins

Targets: Kenny Stills (3, BYE, 4, 6, 9, 3), Kenyan Drake (2, BYE, 6, 4, 1, 3), Danny Amendola (10, BYE, 1, X, 1, 8), DeVante Parker (11, BYE, 3, 7, 4, 1)  

 

Air Yards: Kenny Stills (26, BYE, 58, 91, 116, 75), Danny Amendola (52, BYE, 8, X, 5, 76), DeVante Parker (112, BYE, 6, 89, 55, 7), Kenyan Drake (13, 5, BYE, -3, 24, 17)

 

Receiving Yards: Kenny Stills (19, BYE, 6, 37, 135, 17), Danny Amendola (72, BYE, 13, X, 10, 30), DeVante Parker (43, BYE, 10, 43, 18, 0), Kenyan Drake (11, BYE, 64, 13, 55, 28)

 

Carries: Kenyan Drake (8, BYE, 8, 7, 6, 1), Kalen Ballage (0, BYE, 0, 4, 0, 12)

 

RZ Targets: DeVante Parker (1, BYE, 0, 2, 0, 1), Kenny Stills (0, BYE, 0, 1, 1, 0), Kenyan Drake (0, BYE, 0, 1, 0, 0), Danny Amendola (1, BYE, 0, X, 0, 1)

 

RZ Carries: Frank Gore (2, BYE, 1, 1, 0, 0), Kenyan Drake (2, BYE, 1, 1, 1, 0)

 

CB Catches-Yards-Touchdowns Allowed:Minkah Fitzpatrick (1-0, BYE, 3-62, 3-25, 4-63, 5-111), Bobby McCain (6-35-1, BYE, 5-33, 4-58-1, 2-26-1, 3-22-1), Xavien Howard (3-52-1, BYE, 2-15, 2-39, X, X)

 

Observations: Even with Frank Gore (foot) in on only seven snaps, Kenyan Drake was purposely limited to four touches on 28 snaps (52.8%). Coach Adam Gase said afterwards that Drake’s usage was clearly a coaching decision. Given the team’s lack of trust (as they’ve openly stated time and time again) in Drake’s efficiency and pass pro, Kalen Ballage projects to take on Gore’s role and lead this backfield in carries against the Jaguars on Sunday. Note that Ballage was in on 26 snaps (49.1%) following Gore’s exit, and ran 11 routes to Drake’s 17. He’s a usage-based RB4/flex in a matchup that’s already been bet up from Fins -3.5 to -4.5 since initially opening.

 

New England Patriots

Targets: James White (8, BYE, 5, 9, 4, 7), Rob Gronkowski (X, BYE, 7, 4, 8, 5), Sony Michel (0, BYE, 2, 1, 0, 0), Josh Gordon (12, BYE, 5, 3, 8, 2), Julian Edelman (12, BYE, 5, 8, 12, 11), Rex Burkhead (X, BYE, X, 2, 2, 3)

 

Air Yards:  Josh Gordon (195, BYE, 54, 21, 102, 23), Rob Gronkowski (X, BYE, 100, 38, 79, 81), Julian Edelman (76, BYE, 33, 34, 82, 132), James White (3, BYE, 2, -9, 12, 24), Sony Michel (0, BYE, 0, 3, 0, 0), Rex Burkhead (X, BYE, X, -7, -3, 2)

 

Receiving Yards: James White (31, BYE, 5, 92, 15, 25), Rob Gronkowski (X, BYE, 56, 26, 107, 21), Julian Edelman (104, BYE, 84, 25, 86, 90), Sony Michel (0, BYE, 12, 7, 0, 0), Josh Gordon (81, BYE, 70, 58, 96, 19), Rex Burkhead (X, BYE, X, 21, 3, 18)

 

Carries: Sony Michel (11, BYE, 21, 17, 20, 13), James White (1, BYE, 9, 6, 4, 2), Rex Burkhead (X, BYE, X, 7, 4, 4)

 

RZ Targets: James White (1, BYE, 2, 1, 0, 2), Rob Gronkowski (X, BYE, 3, 0, 2, 1), Josh Gordon (0, BYE, 0, 1, 1, 0), Julian Edelman (1, BYE, 1, 2, 3, 2), Rex Burkhead (X, BYE, X, 1, 1, 0), Sony Michel (0, BYE, 0, 1, 0, 0)

 

RZ Carries: Sony Michel (2, BYE, 4, 2, 6, 2), James White (0, BYE, 0, 0, 2, 0), Rex Burkhead (X, BYE, X, 1, 0, 1)

 

CB Catches-Yards-Touchdowns Allowed: Stephon Gilmore (6-98-1, BYE, 1-17, 4-25, 2-38-1, 5-25), J.C. Jackson (1-0, BYE, 1-8, 4-23, 1-15, 4-48), Jason McCourty (1-10, BYE, 2-44, 8-36-1, 4-81-1, 4-81)

 

Observations: No observations.

 

New York Jets

Targets: Quincy Enunwa (8, BYE, 4, 6, 4, X), Robby Anderson (X, BYE, 5, 7, 7, 11), Chris Herndon (4, BYE, 8, 6, 2, 4), Elijah McGuire (6, BYE, 3, 2, 4, 4), Trenton Cannon (4, BYE, 1, 1, 1, 4)    

 

Air Yards: Quincy Enunwa (28, BYE, 51, 29, 23, X), Robby Anderson (X, BYE, 99, 113, 82, 193), Chris Herndon (39, BYE, 32, 47, 35, 55), Elijah McGuire (20, BYE, 14, 5, 4, 21), Trenton Cannon (64, BYE, -4, -5, -6, 10)    

 

Receiving Yards: Quincy Enunwa (18, BYE, 73, 9, 22, X), Robby Anderson (X, BYE, 22, 48, 76, 96), Chris Herndon (34, BYE, 57, 31, 14, 53), Elijah McGuire (27, BYE, 7, -4, 23, 29), Trenton Cannon (5, BYE, -3, 7, 4, 24)

 

Carries: Elijah McGuire (6, BYE, 6, 6, 17, 18), Trenton Cannon (4, BYE, 0, 4, 5, 7)

 

RZ Targets: Quincy Enunwa (0, BYE, 0, 1, 1, X), Chris Herndon (0, BYE, 0, 0, 0, 1), Robby Anderson (X, BYE, 1, 0, 4, 1), Elijah McGuire (0, BYE, 0, 1, 0, 0)

 

RZ Carries: Elijah McGuire (0, BYE, 0, 0, 5, 4), Trenton Cannon (0, BYE, 0, 0, 2, 1)

 

CB Catches-Yards-Touchdowns: Morris Claiborne (2-57, BYE, 3-81-1, 1-44, 5-46, 4-44-1), Trumaine Johnson (5-94, BYE, 5-39, 2-31-1, 1-12, 5-65), Buster Skrine (6-69-1, BYE, 1-16, 2-15-1, 2-26, 3-33)

 

Observations: Elijah McGuire has basically played two consecutive games without Isaiah Crowell and has dominated usage in both. On Saturday alone, McGuire out-snapped (56-23) and out-touched (21-10) Trenton Cannon, additionally running 25 routes to the rookie’s 12. It’s all smooth sailing from here as McGuire now pits his surging volume against the Packers’ No. 29 rush defense DVOA. Note that this game was actually taken off the board at most sportsbooks since Aaron Rodgers may be out, putting McGuire in the most freight-train high-end RB2 spot possible. Robby Anderson is the leverage you want if fading McGuire in DFS tourneys since he’s amassed a team-high 29% target share since Sam Darnold returned from injury two weeks ago.

 

Oakland Raiders

Targets: Jared Cook (9, 6, 5, 8, 10, 5), Jalen Richard (6, 4, 4, 4, 1, 6), Jordy Nelson (1, X, 1, 11, 7, 8), Seth Roberts (3, 7, 3, 6, 7, 4), Doug Martin (3, 1, 4, 2, 0, 1), Marcell Ateman (X, 5, 10, 4, 4, 5)     

 

Air Yards: Jared Cook (93, 77, 30, 74, 99, 68), Jordy Nelson (2, X, 32, 59, 42, 109), Seth Roberts (26, 43, 60, 43, 65, 41), Jalen Richard (19, 20, 7, 2, -4, 28), Doug Martin (-1, 4, 2, 1, 0, 0), Marcell Ateman (X, 43, 100, 70, 66, 47)

 

Receiving Yards: Jared Cook (52, 31, 32, 100, 116, 23), Jalen Richard (52, 32, 15, 31, 5, 67), Jordy Nelson (0, X, 0, 97, 48, 88), Seth Roberts (39, 38, 54, 25, 76, 29), Doug Martin (31, 6, 21, 6, 0, 0), Marcell Ateman (X, 50, 16, 16, 45, 20)

 

Carries: Doug Martin (15, 10, 11, 18, 16, 9), Jalen Richard (3, 11, 1, 6, 8, 4), DeAndre Washington (0, 12, 3, 3, 0, 1)

 

RZ Targets: Jordy Nelson (0, X, 0, 1, 1, 0), Jared Cook (0, 0, 1, 0, 2, 1), Seth Roberts (0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0), Jalen Richard (0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0), Doug Martin (0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1), Marcell Ateman (X, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0)

 

RZ Carries: Doug Martin (3, 0, 2, 6, 7, 1), Jalen Richard (1, 0, 0, 1, 2, 0), DeAndre Washington (0, 6, 0, 0, 0, 0)

 

CB Catches-Yards-Touchdowns Allowed: Nick Nelson (3-16, 3-83-2, 2-7, 6-87, 1-19, 0-0), Rashaan Melvin (2-7, 3-16-1, 2-85, 0-0, 7-58, 1-21), Daryl Worley (2-42-1, 1-12, 1-8-1, 5-60-2, 1-14, 2-14)

 

Observations: Derek Carr was a trendy (and sharp) DFS pick on Sunday since he was a genuine high-ceiling option to stack on the other side of Joe Mixon. That same approach can be used again this week, except this time it’s safe to run it back with Jared Cook. Following his 2/23 bust against the Bengals, Cook is now averaging 3.1/29.4 and merely 7.8 fantasy points on the road. Not only will the Raiders be back at home (where Cook’s averaged 5.8/91.7 and 18.4) on Monday, they face a thin Denver secondary that’s allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to tight ends. Cook is firmly a top-five option at his position in Week 16.

 

Pittsburgh Steelers

Targets: Antonio Brown (11, 13, 13, 13, 7, 7), JuJu Smith-Schuster (9, 10, 17, 9, 12, 10), James Conner (9, 9, 4, 4, X, X), Jesse James (3, 0, 4, 3, 2, 1), Vance McDonald (6, 6, 5, 7, 4, 3), Jaylen Samuels (4, 0, 2, 3, 7, 2)

 

Air Yards: Antonio Brown (59, 209, 99, 203, 40, 99), JuJu Smith-Schuster (45, 70, 149, 35, 103, 133), Jesse James (2, 0, 25, 17, 20, 2), Vance McDonald (6, 21, 34, 28, -1, 27), James Conner (0, 45, -12, -10, X, X), Jaylen Samuels (-15, 0, 12, -3, -10, 23)

 

Receiving Yards: JuJu Smith-Schuster (78, 104, 189, 49, 130, 40), Antonio Brown (42, 117, 67, 154, 35, 49), Jesse James (53, 0, 35, 17, 28, 9), James Conner (56, 24, 42, 14, X, X), Vance McDonald (25, 27, 27, 28, 37, 13), Jaylen Samuels (22, 0, 12, 20, 64, 30)

 

Carries: James Conner (24, 9, 13, 15, X, X), Jaylen Samuels (5, 0, 0, 2, 11, 19), Stevan Ridley (8, 0, X, X, 5, 3)

 

RZ Targets: JuJu Smith-Schuster (2, 1, 2, 0, 4, 0), Antonio Brown (3, 1, 2, 0, 3, 1), Vance McDonald (0, 1, 1, 0, 1, 2), James Conner (2, 1, 0, 0, X, X), Jesse James (1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0), Jaylen Samuels (1, 0, 0, 2, 0, 0)

 

RZ Carries: James Conner (4, 2, 1, 3, X, X), Jaylen Samuels (1, 0, 0, 0, 2, 3), Stevan Ridley (0, 0, X, X, 2, 0)

 

CB Catches-Yards-Touchdowns Allowed: Mike Hilton (4-18, 2-19, 0-0, 6-117-1, 6-57-1, 3-20), Joe Haden (1-2, 1-10, 5-73-1, 4-34-1, 2-17, 7-44), Coty Sensabaugh (4-45, 0-0, 1-10-1, 3-26, 4-32, 1-19)

 

Observations: With the Steelers heading to the Superdome this week, it's worth noting JuJu Smith-Schuster's plus splits on the road (11/114.8), whereas Antonio Brown has struggled mightily away from Heinz Field this season (10.7/72.7). Having run 65.7% of his routes from the slot, JuJu will also be matched against incumbent DB P.J. Williams, who's allowed the seventh-most catches from the middle of the field (37) this year.

 

Tennessee Titans

Targets: Corey Davis (10, 4, 4, 7, 3, 6), Dion Lewis (2, 2, 7, 3, 5, 3), Tajae Sharpe (3, 7, 0, 6, 4, 1), Taywan Taylor (X, X, X, 5, 7, 5)    

 

Air Yards: Corey Davis (148, 45, 76, 62, 17, 46), Tajae Sharpe (56, 45, 0, 52, 49, -4), Taywan Taylor (X, X, X, 157, 82, 68), Dion Lewis (3, -3, -1, -6, -13, -7)

 

Receiving Yards: Corey Davis (125, 30, 96, 42, 21, 33), Dion Lewis (11, 8, 33, -2, 39, 9), Taywan Taylor (X, X, X, 104, 59, 17), Tajae Sharpe (0, 37, 0, 51, 0, 6)

 

Carries: Derrick Henry (11, 9, 8, 10, 17, 33), Dion Lewis (20, 10, 7, 6, 10, 7), Marcus Mariota (2, 4, 6, 4, 4, 2)

 

RZ Targets: Corey Davis (3, 0, 0, 1, 1, 0), Tajae Sharpe (1, 1, 0, 2, 1, 0), Taywan Taylor (X, X, X, 0, 0, 0), Dion Lewis (0, 0, 2, 1, 2, 0)

 

RZ Carries: Derrick Henry (6, 0, 0, 3, 6, 11), Dion Lewis (6, 0, 1, 0, 2, 0), Marcus Mariota (0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 1)

 

CB Catches-Yards-Touchdowns Allowed: Adoree’ Jackson (4-48, 10-172-2, 3-29-1, 6-51, 4-29, 5-72), Malcolm Butler (2-11, 3-30, 2-16, 2-6, 3-45, 0-0), LeShaun Sims (X, X, X, X, 1-10, 3-19)

 

Observations: Derrick Henry had buoyed plus game scripts into higher usage (and ensuing results) of late, but his involvement on Sunday peaked. He was in on a season-high 49-of-70 offensive snaps (70%) against the Giants, inevitably out-touching Dion Lewis 34-10. Henry’s previous high mark was merely a 51.6% snap rate. Whereas Henry continued trending upwards, though, Lewis played a season-low 23 snaps. With the Titans currently favored by double-digits (-10) over the injury-riddled Redskins at home, Henry’s undoubtedly a top-seven play despite having little to no involvement in the team’s passing game.