Loading scores...
Top Props

Primetime Props: Bills at Patriots

by Kyle Dvorchak
Updated On: December 28, 2020, 6:29 pm ET

If fretting wagering on NFL spreads — historically the sharpest lines available at any book — props can be an intriguing and outright fun way to have an invested incentive in a player’s performance each and every week. This ongoing series will be a weekly feature outlining my favorite player props for MNF including the five detailed below. All props and odds have been sourced accordingly and tracked for accountability at the bottom of every write-up.

Cole Beasley OVER 50.5 Receiving Yards (-115) — PointsBet Sportsbook

Cole Beasley OVER 4.5 Receptions (+105) — William Hill Sportsbook

 

John Brown has been out in six games this year. The Bills have until 4pm to activate him from IR. If he doesn’t play again, Beasley will roll past these props with ease. In the six games without Brown, Beasley has averaged 6.8 receptions for 78.3 receiving yards. His overs are likely break-even bets if Brown plays and is at full strength. If he doesn’t play or is limited in any way, they’re incredible values.

 

James White UNDER 14.5 Rushing Yards (-115) — William Hill Sportsbook

 

This year, White is averaging 2.6 carries for 8.9 rushing yards per game. He hasn’t topped 20 yards in the ground since Week 2. Coming out of the team’s impromptu Week 5 bye, White’s role as a runner has dipped even lower. Since Week 5, he’s down to 2.3 carries for 6.4 yards. This is simply betting the under on the rushing prop for a receiver listed at running back.

 

James White OVER 21.5 Receiving Yards (-110) — William Hill Sportsbook

 

On the other hand, White’s receiving line looks quite low for a wide receiver. Since N’Keal Harry returned to the lineup six weeks ago, White has earned a 15 percent target share. He has run a route on 44.4 percent of New England’s passing plays. As an underdog of a touchdown this week, his team should be forced into throwing the ball more often. That all puts White in play to pass this line by halftime.

 

Cam Newton OVER 167.5 Passing Yards (-110) — BetMGM Sportsbook

 

Like White, Newton and the New England passing game as a whole project to offer some value in the prop betting markets. Newton has topped this prop in five of 13 games this year. The Patriots have only won once in those five games. They have won five times in the eight games he has been held under this prop. Newton simply gets the chance to pass more when his team is playing from a deficit. Given his drastic splits in wins versus losses, the over on Newton’s passing prop is a solid bet when he’s projected to lose by a touchdown.

 

Last Week: 2-2, -.2 Units

Season: 34-32, -1.2 Units

Kyle Dvorchak

Kyle Dvorchak is a writer for Rotoworld and half of the other sites on the internet. He loves most Big 12 quarterbacks, misses the XFL and can be found on @kyletweetshere.