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Top Props

Primetime Props: Steelers at Bengals

by Kyle Dvorchak
Updated On: December 21, 2020, 7:03 pm ET

If fretting wagering on NFL spreads — historically the sharpest lines available at any book — props can be an intriguing and outright fun way to have an invested incentive in a player’s performance each and every week. This ongoing series will be a weekly feature outlining my favorite player props for MNF and the bonus game before MNF when it's available, including the five detailed below. All props and odds have been sourced accordingly and tracked for accountability at the bottom of every write-up.

 

 

Ben Roethlisberger UNDER 279.5 Passing Yards (-115) — William Hill Sportsbook

 

Roethlisberger is averaging 253.2 passing yards per game which is already well below this prop and the game environment in his match isn’t going to be conducive to a massive passing total either. Pittsburgh is one of the pass-heaviest teams in the league, throwing on 63 percent of their plays, but they are expected to win by 14.5 points according to Vegas. When the Steelers have had a lead of eight or more points, their pass rate drops by ten percent. Big Ben could throw three scores and have an efficient outing while still missing out on his passing line. 

 

Tee Higgins OVER 3.5 Receptions (+125) — BetMGM Sportsbook

 

Higgins has played three games without Joe Burrow under center and all three have seen him top 3.5 receptions. In fact, he has hit five receptions in each game and is averaging seven targets per game while dealing with backup quarterback play. It could be argued that the juice should be on the over for this prop. Getting it at +125 is just too much value to pass on.

 

Giovani Bernard OVER 1.5 Receptions (-150) — BetMGM Sportsbook

 

Bernard has started at running back in place of Joe Mixon seven times this year. He’ll do so again versus the Steelers on Monday night. In those seven contests, Bernard has averaged 3.3 receptions on 4.1 targets. The Bengals pass at a nearly identical rate to the Steelers but don’t run the risk of taking a massive lead for obvious reasons. That should keep Bernard working as a pass-catcher out of the backfield throughout the game and allow him to easily surpass this line.

 

Trayveon Williams UNDER 20.5 Rushing Yards (-110) — William Hill SportsBook

 

Williams has gotten run as Bernard’s backup in exactly one game. That was last week when Bernard coughed up the ball on his first rush of the day. He was benched for the rest of the half which allowed Williams to take the field for more than five offensive snaps for the first time this season. Barring an early-game fumble occurring again, Williams is about a 50/50 to see playing time on offense at all.

 

Last Week: 2-3, -1.2 Units

Season: 32-30, -1 Units

Kyle Dvorchak

Kyle Dvorchak is a writer for Rotoworld and half of the other sites on the internet. He loves most Big 12 quarterbacks, misses the XFL and can be found on @kyletweetshere.