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Waiver Wired
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Waiver Wire: Adams Arrives

by Raymond Summerlin
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

Welcome to the 8th edition of Waiver Wired for the 2016 season. This is the first big bye week of the year, with the Ravens, Rams, Dolphins, Giants, Steelers, and 49ers all off this weekend. The good news is only one of those teams has a quarterback worth using, and Ben Roethlisberger is sidelined anyway with a knee injury. Although teams missing out on Le’Veon Bell, Antonio Brown, and Odell Beckham would certainly disagree, this bye week is not as bad as it could be considering how many teams are off.

The Buffalo backfield is as bad as it could be after LeSean McCoy was foolishly pushed to play through a hamstring injury and, unsurprisingly to anyone outside of the Bills’ organization, suffered a setback. Despite some positive early reports, it seems unlikely McCoy is able to go this week, which would leave most of the backfield work to Mike Gillislee and possibly Reggie Bush. Bush got the one-yard touchdown on his only carry, but the safe bet is on Gillislee, who is the top add of the week in the 49 percent of Yahoo leagues he is available.

As always, the drop list consists of players who are no longer must-owns, recommended adds are available in at least 50 percent of Yahoo leagues, the watch list consists of players who are worthy of a roster spot if possible, and deep cuts are players owned in five percent or less of Yahoo leagues.

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The Drop List
QB: Eli Manning
RB: 
Eddie Lacy, Kenneth Dixon
WR: 
Tyler Lockett, Phillip Dorsett
TE: 
Jason Witten

Going back to the Eli well feels dangerous, but besides two plays to Odell Beckham which make up 13.3 percent of his yardage and half of his touchdown output, Manning has not done much of anything the last four games. Now he is on bye, and he gets the Eagles after the break. He is not going to be start-worthy in standard leagues for two weeks at best. Lacy could be done for the season, and even if he is able to come back, it will not be until Week 15 at the earliest. He is unlikely to help any fantasy teams this season. Dixon played seven fewer snaps than Lorenzo Taliaferro, who was just activated off the PUP on Saturday. Coach John Harbaugh said he wants to get the rookie more involved, but it is tough to justify holding him through a bye just to see if he can get six touches a game instead of three. It is just not happening for Lockett this season. His upside makes him a hold if at all possible, but he can be cut in a bye-week crunch. Witten has yet to score or top 70 yards this season, and the Eagles present a tough challenge for tight ends.

Quarterbacks
1. Brock Osweiler
2. Alex Smith
3. Ryan Fitzpatrick

Running Backs
Mike Gillislee owned in 51 percent of Yahoo leagues. No. 2 running back add if available.
1. Devontae Booker
2. Matt Asiata
3. Chris Thompson
4. Knile Davis
5. Ka’Deem Carey
6. Alfred Blue
7. Rob Kelley
8. Dwayne Washington
9. Justin Forsett
10. Zach Zenner

Wide Receivers
Donte Moncrief owned in 60 percent of Yahoo leagues. No. 1 receiver add if available.
Ty Montgomery owned in 63 percent of Yahoo leagues. No. 3 receiver add if available.

1. Davante Adams
2. Corey Coleman
3. Torrey Smith
4. Jamison Crowder
5. Brandon LaFell
6. Marqise Lee
7. Russell Shepard

Tight Ends
1. Jack Doyle
2. C.J. Fiedorowicz
3. Cameron Brate

Defense/Special Teams
1. Tennessee Titans
2. New York Jets
3. Jacksonville Jaguars
Looking Ahead: Baltimore Ravens

Kickers
1. Dan Bailey
2. Blair Walsh
3. Brandon McManus
Looking Ahead: Bailey, Walsh, and McManus

QUARTERBACKS
1. Brock Osweiler, Texans – Owned in 14 percent of Yahoo leagues
Hear me out. Osweiler has been a disaster this season and predictably flopped on Monday night, but the Lions are just awful against the pass. They allowed Case Keenum to finish as the QB2 two weeks ago, and Kirk Cousins went for 300 passing yards and two total touchdowns in Detroit on Sunday. Overall, quarterbacks have completed 74.2 percent of their passes against the Lions for 1,990 yards (284 per game) and 18 touchdowns against three interceptions. It is tough to see Brock’s name in the starting lineup, but he is worth the risk in a prime matchup during a huge bye week.
Recommendation: Streaming option in 10-team leagues

2. Alex Smith, Chiefs – Owned in 38 percent of Yahoo leagues
Smith is now one-for-two on good matchups after putting up 214 yards and two scores on the Saints at home. Still, he only attempted 24 passes as Kansas City rode Spencer Ware again in the second half, and he could certainly bust again because of a lack of volume. It seems unlikely the Chiefs will be sitting on a lead this week, however. The Colts are averaging 30 points at home this season, and the Chiefs’ defense has been lit up a couple times by good quarterbacks. Smith should have to throw, and he should find at least some success against a beatable defense.
Recommendation: Streaming option in 12-team leagues

3. Ryan Fitzpatrick, Jets – Owned in 19 percent of Yahoo leagues
Go big or go home in the big bye weeks, and Fitzpatrick is the personification of that bromide. Fitzpatrick did not do anything special when he got into the game against the Ravens and has been a disaster for the last month, but it is difficult to overstate how good of a matchup he has this week. Andy Dalton’s 308 yards and two touchdowns were actually a good result for Cleveland considering it was the first time they “held” a quarterback to fewer than three scores since Week 2. Even Joe Flacco and Ryan Tannehill had good fantasy days against the Browns. Fitzpatrick is worth a look with Geno Smith done for the year.
Recommendation: Streaming option in 12-team leagues

Watch List: Trevor Siemian has a good matchup against the Chargers, but the Broncos want to run the ball early and often, which limits his weekly upside. He did have 50 attempts against San Diego in Week 6, but that is his only game with more than 35 passes this season...Carson Wentz has been poor two weeks in a row, and the Cowboys have been surprisingly stout against opposing quarterbacks. Especially considering how well Dallas should be able to run on Philly’s defense, it could be a low-volume game from Wentz…Jay Cutler is going to start, but he is not worth a look against the Vikings…The Cleveland situation is annoying because there could be some value against the Jets if Cody Kessler or Josh McCown is healthy enough to start. Despite his performance on the ground, Kevin Hogan will not worth using anywhere if he gets the nod…Aaron Rodgers got over when they became tired in the second half, but the Bears are better than the public thinks on defense, and Sam Bradford has thrown for multiple touchdowns just twice in five games.

 

 

RUNNING BACKS
1. Devontae Booker, Broncos – Owned in 34 percent of Yahoo leagues
In a refreshing turn, a coach promised to get a player more involved, and that player actually was more involved. Booker played seven more snaps than C.J. Anderson and saw one more carry, but he was out-gained 107-to-83 on the ground with both backs finding the end zone. This has the look of an almost even timeshare, but with the Broncos’ upcoming schedule and desire to run the football, both backs should get plenty of opportunities. Booker needs to be picked up in all leagues and is a reasonable FLEX option against the Chargers.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 10-team leagues

2. Matt Asiata, Vikings – Owned in 20 percent of Yahoo leagues
It will never be exciting, but Asiata could be poised for a much bigger role after Jerick McKinnon suffered an ankle injury against the Eagles. McKinnon returned to the game after the injury, but he was clearly hobbled and did not play much down the stretch. Asiata has 35 touches total the last two games, has been playing a big role in the passing game even with McKinnon healthy, and has at least one rushing attempt inside the 10 in the last three games. The Bears are not a great matchup, but he will be a volume RB2 if McKinnon is forced to sit and a FLEX play even if McKinnon is able to suit up.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 10-team leagues

3. Chris Thompson, Redskins – Owned in 12 percent of Yahoo leagues
With Matt Jones suffering from a severe case of fumblitis, Thompson led the backfield in snaps, touches, and yards against the Lions, piling up 113 total yards on 19 touches. Coach Jay Gruden admitted Jones could see his carries reduced because of his issues holding onto the ball, and Thompson is best positioned to take on a bigger workload. Thompson is not a prototypical early-down back, however, and it is unlikely Jones will disappear from the offense altogether. That said, Thompson was the RB31 in standard formats last season while averaging 9.5 touches in four games from Week 3 to Week 6. He has produced when given touches in the past, and it looks like he will see a few more each game moving forward.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues

4. Knile Davis, Packers – Owned in 36 percent of Yahoo leagues
This is just an opportunity add, and one that is not particularly exciting considering Davis’ track record. Even with Ty Montgomery spending most of his time in the backfield these days, Davis is the only healthy – Don Jackson left Thursday night with an injury – real running back on the roster. That will likely earn him some snaps coming out of the mini-bye, but the Packers could decide to recreate the pass-heavy attack they employed against the Bears Thursday night. Davis has to be added in most leagues just based on opportunity, but he could easily be back on the wire in a couple weeks, especially with James Starks on the way back.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues

5. Ka’Deem Carey, Bears – Owned in 2 percent of Yahoo leagues
Carey started to make noise two weeks ago by easily out-gaining Jordan Howard on fewer touches, and he took the next step Thursday night by playing four more snaps and seeing three more carries. Carey has clearly earned a role, but there are a couple issues with investing heavily in him. First, the schedule is a problem the next several weeks, with the Vikings, a bye, and the Bucs next up on the docket. He is obviously not going to be usable during the bye, and he will not be worth starting in two tough matchups unless he clearly takes over as the starter, which brings us to the second problem. The Bears talked all summer about using a committee, and it looks like Carey might have to deal with Jeremy Langford in addition to Howard in the near future. Carey is a talented back, but the opportunity just might not be there. Tread carefully in FAAB bidding this week.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues

6. Alfred Blue, Texans – Owned in 1 percent of Yahoo leagues
Lamar Miller played through the injury, but he was in and out of the lineup with a shoulder issue Monday night. It might not bother him again this season, but Blue is worth a look for Miller owners and in deeper leagues in case the injury is more serious than it first appears. Blue has been very efficient with his work this season, and that continued on Monday night.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 14-team leagues

7. Rob Kelley, Redskins – Owned in 1 percent of Yahoo leagues
Kelley has seen a handful of carries each of the last three weeks and is a better like-for-like replacement for Jones than Thompson if the Redskins decide to go that way. It seems unlikely they do, but he is worth a speculative add in deeper formats.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 14-team leagues

8. Dwayne Washington, Lions – Owned in 9 percent of Yahoo leagues
9. Justin Forsett, Lions – Owned in 20 percent of Yahoo leagues
10. Zach Zenner, Lions – Owned in 8 percent of Yahoo leagues
The order has changed a bit considering Forsett did not see the expected jump in playing time, but the situation is not much different than last week. Both Theo Riddick and Washington will be back soon, perhaps this week, making this a very murky situation. Riddick is guaranteed a role and Washington seems the most likely to back him up, but it is possible Forsett or Zenner, who has played the most snaps the last two weeks, takes over as the No. 2. None of these guys are worth more than a dart throw in deep leagues.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 16-team leagues

Watch List: Dion Lewis was promoted to an add right before publishing last week because there were some good vibes about his return, but those died when The Boston Herald said it was “certainly possible” his return “isn’t imminent.” He is going to sit out through the Week 9 bye, and it sounds like it could be longer than that…Coach Pete Carroll said Thomas Rawls will be back in two weeks. Carroll is usually optimistic about injuries, Rawls struggled to come back from his ankle issue in the offseason, and Christine Michael was a better runner when both were on the field early in the season. Still, it sounds like Carroll wants Rawls to have a role once he returns…Latavius Murray is back, and it looks like he is once against the No. 1 back. DeAndre Washington will not be worth using in any formats while that is the case, and Jalen Richard played just four snaps against the Jaguars…Bilal Powell took a major backseat to Matt Forte against the Ravens, playing just nine snaps…With Carlos Hyde expected back after the bye, Mike Davis, DuJuan Harris, and Shaun Draughn are not worth adding in any format…Bobby Rainey’s role has disappeared with Rashad Jennings back…James Starks could be back in three weeks, and he will likely return to a situation lacking a true No. 1 back.

Deep Cuts: After Arian Foster shockingly retired Monday, Damien Williams looks like the No. 2 behind Jay AjayiTerron Ward could get some run with Tevin Coleman sidelined, but it is going to be mostly Devonta FreemanWendell Smallwood’s playing time continues to yo-yo, but he could get more work after Ryan Mathews fumbled again with the Eagles trying to milk the clock…As expected, C.J. Prosise returned and rendered C.J. Spiller meaningless for fantasy purposes – Spiller was a healthy scratch. Prosise did play a quarter of the snaps, but it will be all Christine Michael until Thomas Rawls gets back…Paul Perkins was the lead back on the Giants’ only successful drive against the Rams. Hopefully, that is noticed in self-scouting over the bye week…With Jamaal Charles hurting, Charcandrick West could reemerge as the No. 2 behind Spencer WareAndre Ellington is the handcuff for David JohnsonRonnie Hillman was not good, but he did see some snaps with Jerick McKinnon hobbled…Lorenzo Taliaferro played ahead of Kenneth Dixon, but it does not sound like that will continue…Reggie Bush should have a role if LeSean McCoy is forced to sit…Peyton Barber is just a Jacquizz Rodgers injury away from a massive workload in an offense with several easy matchups on the horizon.

 

 

WIDE RECEIVERS
1. Davante Adams, Packers – Owned in 18 percent of Yahoo leagues
Adams was an add two weeks ago, and he would have been again last week if not for a concussion which looked likely to keep him out of Thursday’s game. It did not, and he exploded for 13 catches for 132 yards and two scores. It was the fourth game this season Adams scored a touchdown and also the fourth with at least seven targets. A consistent factor in the red zone, Adams should see plenty of looks the rest of the way, especially with the Packers’ backfield in disarray and Jordy Nelson struggling to separate. He needs to be added everywhere.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 10-team leagues

2. Corey Coleman, Browns – Owned in 41 percent of Yahoo leagues
It was close between Coleman and Torrey Smith in an ugly week at receiver, but ultimately Coleman is more talented and guaranteed to be in a fantasy-viable position when he gets back from injury. There is some hope that could be this week, but he might need another game to recover. Either way, his return is very close.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues

3. Torrey Smith, 49ers? – Owned in 26 percent of Yahoo leagues
To be clear, Smith is not worth picking up if he sticks with the 49ers, but reports of San Francisco looking to trade their No. 1 receiver began to surface Monday night. Pro Football Talk reports the Eagles have been discussing a deal, and Adam Schefter reports the 49ers are shopping Smith with “multiple teams” showing interest. Smith going to the Eagles would help his fantasy value despite it not being an ideal situation – Carson Wentz has the 11th highest deep attempt percentage according to Pro Football Focus, but the Eagles are on pace to attempt fewer than 500 passes this season – and there is at least a chance he lands in an even better situation. He is worth adding in most formats until this situation is resolved, although it is important to note it could take him a while to settle in even if he ends up being traded.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues

4. Jamison Crowder, Redskins – Owned in 37 percent of Yahoo leagues
Crowder has had a couple big games in a row, but it looks like Jordan Reed could be back this week after getting cleared to practice Monday, and Crowder’s role was steadily decreasing before Reed went down. With Washington sure to employ a lot of two-TE sets once Reed gets on the field, Crowder will once again be out of starting consideration in standard leagues. He could still get another week of solid usage, however, making him worth an add in deeper leagues.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 14-team leagues

5. Brandon LaFell, Bengals – Owned in 12 percent of Yahoo leagues
The clear No. 2 in Cincinnati all season, LaFell has started to show it in fantasy leagues the last three weeks, scoring four total touchdowns and turning 21 targets into 14 catches for 164 yards. He has still only topped 45 yards three times this season, but two of those instances have come in the last two weeks. With the big bye weeks upon us, his role makes him useful in deeper leagues.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 14-team leagues

6. Marqise Lee, Jaguars – Owned in 2 percent of Yahoo leagues
Lee has been in the deep cut list almost every week, but it is time for a promotion after 13 catches for 168 yards in the last two games. With Blake Bortles struggling with his mechanics and accuracy, Lee is being peppered with targets underneath and doing a decent job creating after the catch. He is a better bet in PPR leagues, but he will have some value in deeper standard formats as long as this usage continues.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 14-team leagues

7. Russell Shepard, Bucs – Owned in 0 percent of Yahoo leagues
It is ugly at receiver this week, so why not take a shot on perhaps the starter opposite Mike Evans? Cecil Shorts was given that honor this week, but Shepard played just four fewer snaps and out-targeted him 6-to-0. Shepard turned those targets into five catches for 77 yards and a touchdown. After getting some love from coach Dirk Koetter over the summer, it would not be surprising to see the journeyman establish himself as the No. 2. He is worth a speculative add in deeper leagues.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 14-team leagues

Watch List: Robert Woods’ foot was in a boot late last week. It seems unlikely he plays against the Patriots…Quincy Enunwa had a long play, but he actually played fewer snaps than Robby AndersonKamar Aiken ended up playing fewer snaps than Breshad Perriman and is a low-upside option at best…Chris Hogan has three total targets the last two weeks…Victor Cruz saw eight more targets against the Rams, but the Giants’ short-passing offense limits his upside. He is not worth adding on bye…Jeremy Kerley is not worth using with Colin Kaepernick running the show…Anquan Boldin has four touchdowns in the last six games, but he is going to offer very little the weeks he does not find the end zone…Rishard Matthews ironically had his worst game since Week 3 despite seeing his most targets since Week 3. Kendall Wright did see more snaps after his explosion, but they did not amount to much…Mohamed Sanu has gone for more than 47 yards once this season…Pierre Garcon flopped in a good spot, and Jordan Reed is on the way back…Adam Humphries did not see a bump in targets with Vincent Jackson out…Brian Quick is not worth adding on bye, but he made a couple big plays against the Giants and saw nine targets. Unfortunately, he also ran the wrong route on the game-ending interception…Kenny Stills is not worth picking up on bye, but he played a lot more snaps than DeVante Parker against the Bills.

Deep Cuts: Dorial Green-Beckham did not look great and played just 48 percent of the snaps, but he did find the end zone. Unfortunately, he could face even more competition with rumors of Torrey Smith joining the team…Adam Thielen saw the same number of targets as Stefon Diggs in the latter’s return, and Cordarrelle Patterson actually saw two more looks, finding the end zone in the process. Diggs is still the only standard-worthy receiver in the corps, but both Thielen and Patterson are making a case for some deep-league attention…Marquise Goodwin got loose for another deep touchdown, but he appeared to suffer a concussion late in the game and played many fewer snaps than Justin Hunter, who is in line to be the No. 1 with Goodwin and Robert Woods banged up…Chester Rogers worked as the No. 2 receiver, but he saw just three targets…Robby Anderson played more snaps and had just one less target than Quincy EnunwaDarrius Heyward-Bey saw seven targets against the Patriots and played 85 percent of the snaps. Cobi Hamilton had six targets and played 67 percent of the snaps. Sammie Coates will likely be healthier after the bye, but those are facts to keep in mind…Jeff Janis is well down the target totem pole, but he has played at least 45 percent of the snaps the last two weeks…Ricardo Louis came back to earth even with Terrelle Pryor limited, and Corey Coleman is on the way back…J.J. Nelson should see more snaps with Jaron Brown out for the year…Malcolm Mitchell played basically the same number of snaps as Chris Hogan, but he was not targeted.

 

 

TIGHT ENDS
1. Jack Doyle, Colts – Owned in 30 percent of Yahoo leagues
Doyle did not disappoint in his first game as the clear starter at tight end. He was second on the team with 10 targets, and he turned those looks into 78 yards and a game-winning touchdown, although the Colts did tack on a defensive score in the dying minutes to widen the final gap. The touchdown was a great route to get wide open in the middle of the end zone, and he was targeted five times total in the red zone against the Titans. The yardage upside is not anything to write home about, but he is a good bet for a touchdown every week. That keeps him a solid streaming option even in a tough matchup against the Chiefs.
Recommendation: Streaming option in 10-team leagues

2. C.J. Fiedorowicz, Texans – Owned in 8 percent of Yahoo leagues
Fiedorowicz was torpedoed along with the rest of the offense by Brock Osweiler, but he still tied for second on the team with seven targets. He has established himself as a real part of this offense, and Brock should have a lot more success at home against the Lions, who are also very friendly to tight ends. He is a streaming option in all formats.
Recommendation: Streaming option in 10-team leagues

3. Cameron Brate, Bucs – Owned in 31 percent of Yahoo leagues
The big bye weeks are normally terrible for tight ends, and this week is living up to that billing. Brate is the next best option after Doyle and Fiedorowicz, but there are serious concerns about his potential volume. He has just three targets each of the last two games and has run 42 routes total after averaging 30 a game over the first four weeks. The decrease can be directly attributed to the offense prioritizing the running game, but that is unlikely to change with the Raiders coming to town. Brate is still worth using in a great matchup during a tough bye week, but he has a concerning floor.
Recommendation: Streaming option in 12-team leagues

Watch List: Vernon Davis was going to be first on this list, but Jordan Reed was cleared for practice Monday. There is still a chance Reed is held out through the bye week, and Davis will be the No. 1 streaming option if that is the case…Low upside even with the Bills running out of receivers, Charles Clay is just an option in deep PPR leagues…Jacob Tamme caught a touchdown against the Chargers, but he has three or fewer targets each of the last four games and less than 30 yards in five straight…Atlanta is such a good matchup for tight ends, but Richard Rodgers has been a non-factor even with Jared Cook sidelined…Clive Walford has surpassed 30 yards once this season.

DEFENSE/SPECIAL TEAMS

1. Tennessee Titans – Owned in 39 percent of Yahoo leagues
The Titans will host the Jaguars this Thursday in what should be another ugly prime-time game. Tennessee disappointed in what should have been a good spot against the Colts, but they have another great opportunity against the Jags, who have turned the ball over 12 times this season and have given up 15 sacks. It also helps that Blake Bortles has regressed to his high-school version.

2. New York Jets – Owned in 19 percent of Yahoo leagues
The Jets defense is not good, but they theoretically can get pressure and could be facing Kevin Hogan, who is not able to take advantage of their major weakness down the field.

3. Jacksonville Jaguars – Owned in 3 percent of Yahoo leagues
It will likely be an ugly game on Thursday night, and both defenses will be useful for streaming purposes. The Jags’ defense has played well in all but one game this season, and Marcus Mariota has played poorly recently despite decent numbers. He has also turned the ball over in all but one game.

Looking Ahead:
The Ravens will get dropped in a lot of leagues over the bye week, but they could have a good matchup Week 9 against a Roethlisberger-less Steelers offense.

KICKERS
1. Dan Bailey, Cowboys – Owned in 45 percent of Yahoo leagues
One of the best kickers in the league, Bailey gets to play at home against the Eagles coming off the bye. It is not the greatest matchup, but that does not matter much for a kicker of Bailey’s caliber. He has multiple attempts in all but one game this season.

2. Blair Walsh, Vikings – Owned in 44 percent of Yahoo leagues
Walsh was not asked to do much as the Vikings were destroyed by the Eagles, but he should have a much easier time against the Bears on Monday night.

3. Brandon McManus, Broncos – Owned in 33 percent of Yahoo leagues
McManus had multiple kicks in four-of-five games before Monday night including eight kicks total in his previous two home games. The Chargers have faced the fourth-most kicks in the league.

Looking Ahead: All three of the kickers listed above are in great spots again next week against the Browns, Lions, and Raiders respectively. Walsh might be the best bet because he is kicking indoors. 

Raymond Summerlin
Raymond Summerlin is a football writer for Rotoworld.com. He can be found on Twitter at @RMSummerlin.