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Weekly Picks

Sean's Super Subs - Week 12

by Sean Sullivan
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

Welcome to Sean's Super Subs!  Triple S is your primary destination for elite FPL advice, which focuses on Togga's draft style leagues.

 

Each week I will recommend players—based on availability, current form and matchups—that have high upside as either: an add, a spot start, or a trade-piece.    The recommendations will normally revolve around highlighting a spike in player’s fantasy value or present an ideal solution to selection dilemmas.  These weekly picks are meant to grab your attention, limit the often-fatal last minute lineup tinker, and aid in your process of maintaining a superior squad throughout the grueling FPL campaign.

 


 

Week 11 Recap

 

Week 11 was dreadful for both Bournemouth and Southampton because their matchups seemed favorable.  Despite what appeared to be a great week to load up on their players, Bournemouth squandered a 1-0 goal lead to 10-manned Sunderland and Southampton were upended 2-1 by Hull City.  The losses resulted in Artur Boruc and Steve Cook scoring just half a point between the pair (Callum Wilson was also a surprise omission), while Ryan Bertrand and Oriol Romeu had torrid fantasy afternoons for the Saints.  Elsewhere; Burnley’s Michael Keane, Crystal Palace’s James McArthur, Stoke’s Wilfried Bony all cooled off after strong fantasy performances in GW10.  There was positive signs seen from Sofiane Boufal, who created three scoring chances and recorded four successful take-ons, and Matteo Darmian, who scored in double-digits for the second consecutive match.  Nevertheless, what did we learn from these poisonous results in GW11?  Every match-week has its thorns, just like every players run of good FPL form has its dawn.  

 

Goalkeeper: Artur Boruc (0)

Defenders: Matteo Darmian (10), Michael Keane (3.75),  Steve Cook (.5), Ryan Bertrand (-2.75)

Midfielders: Sofiane Boufal (11), Ramadan Sobhi (4.5), James McArthur (4.5), Oriol Romeu (-1.5)

Forwards: Wilfried Bony (3), Callum Wilson (DNP)

 


 

Week 12 Super Subs

 
 


Goalkeeper - Loris Karius (Liverpool)


Sir Loris posted 12.5 points in a 6-1 win over Watford and ranked as the top goalkeeper for GW11.  While the scoreline implies he had a mellow match, Watford managed eight shots on target with Karius proving up for the challenge allowing just one goal.  The hesitation surrounding Karius in FPL is linked to Liverpool’s expansive style of play, and an error prone defense that limits his potential for clean sheets.  This has been reflected in his scope of performances as the 23-year-old’s six matches have yielded two double-digit and two negative fantasy scores. Despite this, he is coming off a seven-save performance.  Karius should score above his points per match average (4.08) against Southampton in GW12, however, the real value will be seen in the following weeks.  Liverpool’s next four opponents all currently sit in the bottom top half of the table and I see Karius ranking as a top-five goalkeeper during this run.


 

Defenders: Short-term options  
 

Daryl Janmaat (Watford) - The instances of finding a positive takeaway from a defender whose club suffered a massive defeat are few and far between.  However, while Janmaat was a part of the Hornet’s backline that was thrashed 6-1 by Liverpool, the fullback showcased his attacking upside.  The Dutchman ended GW11 with a marginal score (4), overshadowing his goal from two shots on target.  If not for the six goals conceded, resulting in the deduction of 12 points from his score, Janmaat would have ended the round as a top-five defender. Hypothetically speaking, his potential score of 16 points would have given him a match average of 12.08 points over the course of his last three appearances.  Janmaat warrants consideration for adding ahead of GW12 when Watford play Leicester City.  This is in regards to the Hornets’ next two matches, Stoke City and West Brom, which should see Janmaat able to get forward in the attack freely and find space for whipping in crosses.

 

Michael Dawson (Hull City) - Hull City have improved since the welcomed return of Michael Dawson.  The calming effect of Dawson has seen Hull concede four goals in their last three matches, a tremendous improvement from the 13 conceded in the three prior.  The center back has started four straight matches across all competitions, scoring two goals in his last three.  His most recent goal came in Hull’s 2-1 surprise victory over Southampton in GW11, with Dawson ending the round as the third highest scoring defender.  While Dawson is not a game-changer on a match-to-match basis, there is value to be found in deeper leagues with Hull playing Sunderland in GW12. Having won nine aerials and made 27 clearances over the course of his last appearances, expect Dawson to generate significant totals in these categories.

 

Carl Jenkinson (Arsenal) - With Hector Bellerin ruled out for around a month, Jenkinson will deputize in his absence.  Jenkinson spent the last two seasons on loan with West Ham where he assisted twice and scored two goals in 52 league appearances.  During that span his match averages were as follows: 1.15 successful tackles, 1.07 interceptions, and 3.23 clearances.  While Jenkinson does not have tons of matches with Arsenal under his belt, he did score one goal and assist twice in seven appearances in 2013-14.  He is a short-term option that has value for the duration that Bellerin is injured.   

 

Maya Yoshida (Southampton) - Another defender with value due to injuries is Yoshida, who looked good in what was his second start of the season in GW11.  Against Hull City, the 28-year-old won six aerials and assisted on the Saints’ lone goal, playing as a right back with Cedric Soares unavailable.   In 10-team leagues there are better options to be found since Southampton face Liverpool in GW12, which essentially limits his value to deeper leagues. Should he make another start, justification for gambling on Yoshida can be argued with his 11.34 points per match average and 11 aerials won in two appearances.    


 

Midfielders: Grab Bag
 

Emre Can (Liverpool) -  Can should be added if still available or started if owned in GW12 for a few reasons. The midfielder’s current run of form dating back to Liverpool’s scoreless draw with Manchester United in GW8, as Can has since averaged 12.87 points per match and created five scoring chances.   The 22-year-old followed a pair of double-digit performances, GW8 and GW9, by scoring in successive matches.  Additionally, Liverpool play an adventurous, attacking brand of football that has produced 12 goals over their last three matches.  Their entire midfield has added fantasy value which Can benefits from.  His production from defensive metrics as well situates him for a successful match against Southampton.  

 

Johann Berg Gudmundsson (Burnley) - Gudmundsson has been on my radar since scoring 12.5 points against Arsenal, and GW12 against West Brom should give us a better idea of his sustainability moving forward.  The 26-year-old has averaged 13.3 points per match over the course of his last five and quietly entered the conversation of being relevant in fantasy.  Gudmundsson is also coming off his best performance of the season as GW11 saw him earn an assist and score a goal from three shot attempts in Burnley’s win over Crystal Palace.  With two assists from five chances created and seven successful crosses in his last three matches, another strong outing could see him worthy of a start in fantasy for GW14 (Stoke City) and GW15 (Bournemouth).

 

Chris Brunt (West Brom) - The Northern Ireland international could be a steal on the free agent market as he works his way back to full fitness.  Brunt ruptured his cruciate ligament last year and subsequently missed 18 total league matches across both seasons.  After his return to action in GW8, the 31-year-old has played the full 90 minutes the last two weeks, creating three scoring chances and showing glimpses of his abilities as a proficient crosser.  Brunt has tallied 12 assists and 74 key passes over the course of his last 60 appearances and should regain his distribution boots against Burnley in GW12, ahead of GW13 against Hull City.   

 

Ashley Young (Manchester United) - Young’s current value is based on a potential role increase, however, this is realistic given United’s list of injuries.  With fitness doubts over Luke Shaw, Matteo Darmian moved over to the left to make way for Young to start in GW11.  Young’s start was his second in the last three matches and his first as a right back this season, a position where the midfielder made nine appearances in 2015-16.  Young won five tackles and made four interceptions in a 3-1 victory, and even drew praise for his attitude and performance from Jose Mourinho.  After one successful start I wouldn’t concede a roster spot, but another in GW12 against Arsenal would be a strong sign that Young’s role will significantly increase in the coming weeks.  


 

Forwards: Based on GW11…
 

Sam Vokes (Burnley) - Based on GW11...Vokes should be added in all leagues after a brilliant outing in Burnley’s 3-2 win over Crystal Palace.  The Welsh international provided an assist and a goal on his way to producing the third highest score by a forward (31).  What was even more impressive though was his activity in the final third. Vokes took six total shots, created two scoring chances, and won 14 aerial duels.  The contributions against Palace gives him three goals and an assist in his last four matches, while bumping his points per match average up to 10.55 - 13th best among forwards.  His prospects look bright for GW12 against West Brom and GW14 against Stoke City, with those weeks split by a match with Manchester City.     

 

Victor Anichebe (Sunderland) - Based on GW11...Anichebe will likely see another start this week, but the jury is still out on his sustainability moving forward.  The 28-year-old journeyman showed composure throughout their victory over Bournemouth exemplified by winning a penalty, with the Black Cats reduced to 10 men, and scoring a well-worked goal.  His strike in the 33rd minute came after he collected a pass from Jermaine Defoe and held off his marker before turning and hammering his shot in the roof of the net.  Anichebe has been inconsistent over the past few seasons, but GW11 saw him produce the seventh best score by a forward (22.5).   However, since scoring six goals in 24 league appearances with Everton in 2012-13, he has scored just seven goals in his last 58 matches. Before passing judgement wait and see how he does against Hull City in GW12 and Liverpool in GW13.  

 
 
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