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Weekly Picks

Sean's Super Subs - Week 26

by Sean Sullivan
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

If you’re familiar with my column, then it’s no secret I’m a sucker for hyping new arrivals at the close of each transfer window.  The fallout of Transfer Deadline Day 2018 has seen a few big names moves, and while I could highlight why you should add Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang or trade for Olivier Giroud, that would be too easy and less beneficial for the majority of the Togga community.  



Back in September I analyzed the summer signings and highlighted a list of players that caught my eye.  From that crop of names: Mamadou Sakho and Serge Aurier have panned out as expected, Davinson Sanchez became a nailed-on starter and Richarlison exploded onto the scene as a stud for most of the first half.  This week’s column offers a deeper look at some faces in new places and new arrivals which, based on my semi-conventionsal research, could be worthy additions for the final 13 matches of the season.   



Before we get down to business, here’s what you need to know to maximize my advice.  This column is reserved for weekly free agent adds for Togga draft leagues and features only players owned in less than 50 percent of all leagues at the time of publication.  Players that make each column will be classified as; streaming options, (one-week adds), short-term/long-term adds (worth holding for a specific duration of matches) or a must-adds (should be owned in all leagues).

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Moritz Bauer, Stoke City (11 percent):   Perhaps quietly, Stoke City have found a new first-choice right-back in Bauer.  The £5m signing from Rubin Kazan hit the ground running by starting all three matches since his arrival from the Russian Premier League.  Bauer provided two-way returns by averaging 2.7 aerials and 2.3 successful tackles per match, in addition to whipping in 10 crosses (four successful).  More importantly, the Potters have been much better defensively under Paul Lambert and kept back-to-back clean sheets for the first time this season. Bauer has a small sample size to go off of, however, his 10.08 point per match average does rank 20th among all defenders over the last three weeks.  In terms of readily available fullbacks across all leagues, he seems to be the most appealing option.  




Eliaquim Mangala, Everton (3 percent):   The 26-year-old joined Everton on loan from Manchester City to become their third signing of the window following moves for Cenk Tosun and Theo Walcott.  For the Toffees, Mangala represents the conclusion of a search for left-sided defensive reinforcements.  Big Sam already has three capable center-halves at his disposal in Michael Keane, Phil Jagielka and Ashley Williams, but all three of those options are right-footed.  The arrival of Mangala means Keane can move back to the right, while the left-footed Frenchman can offer more mobility than both Jagielka and Williams.  Should he be handed a starting role, owners will be adding a defender with the potential of scoring seven-eight points down the stretch given Everton’s run of fixtures.  His path to playing time makes him a watch list candidate for deeper leagues. 




Alfie Mawson, Swansea City (22 percent):  After successive upsets of Liverpool and Arsenal, it is safe to say that new manager Carlos Carvalhal has renewed confidence at Swansea City.  While Kyle Naughton remains Swansea’s defender with the most upside, the current form of Mawson makes him worthy of a shout.  The 24-year-old is the anchor of a backline that has conceded just two goals in their last three matches, including a clean sheet against Liverpool thanks to some luck.  Factoring in Mawson has managed to get involved offensively in the last two games, scoring a goal and assisting with a precise throughball, he could be a useful scoop for the next few weeks. Swansea travel to Leicester City this weekend, but the real value is found in the following matches.  From GW27 through GW31, four of the five clubs Swansea will face are averaging less than one goal per match.  And the lone exception, West Ham, is currently without the teeth of their attack.  Add Mawson this week if you need defensive depth.





Junior Stanislas, Bournemouth (15 percent):   Stanislas is the quintessential hit-or-miss option in FPL.  Why? The winger has the talent to be a must-own midfielder but struggles to stay fit.  Last season, the 29-year-old scored seven goals and tallied five assists in just 1,467 minutes.  Comparatively, Raheem Sterling scored seven goals in 2,517 minutes and Eden Hazard had five assists in 3,007 minutes.  So far this season, Stanislas leads all players with less than 800 minutes in both shots on target (10) and chances created (14).  And the last two matches, during which he scored and grabbed two assists in 99 minutes, best summarize his effectiveness.  While Stanislas might not start this weekend following his return to full fitness, he’s averaging 8.58 points per match and should be owned in leagues with 10 or more teams.




Badou Ndiaye, Stoke City:  Out of all the incoming transfers on deadline day, Ndiaye’s move to Stoke City is the one I found most intriguing.  If you’re not familiar with the Senegal international, who arrived from Galatasary for £16 million, here’s the scouting report—Ndiaye is an athletic and physical box-to-box midfielder unlike any of the current options on Paul Lambert’s teamsheet.  The 27-year-old spent the last two-and-a-half seasons in the Turkish top-flight, first at Osmanlispor before joining Galatasaray in 2017.  It was difficult for me to find a current Premier League midfielder to draw a comparison, though for FPL purposes that’s actually a good thing.  Playing predominantly as an attacking midfielder for Osmanlispor, he scored 18 goals in 59 appearances.  During that span, he averaged 2.6 shots and 1.8 successful dribbles per match.  Ndiaye operated as a defensive midfielder in 17 appearances for Galatasaray, which saw his tackles ratio improve (2.9) while retaining his production on the dribble (1.8).  Taking the data and the projected role he’ll be given as a holding midfielder into account, don’t be shocked to see Ndiaye make a quick transition at Stoke.  He’s someone I want to add in 12-team leagues, especially given his potential of turning into a reliable fourth midfielder.




Gerard Deulofeu, Watford (44 percent):   Given his known ability and familiarity with the Premier League, Deulofeu is probably the safest add of the available new arrivals.  The Barcelona loanee recorded eight assists back in 2015/16 during his spell at Everton and was handed a prompt debut for Watford in GW25.  Deulofeu came into the starting XI for Andre Carrillo and looked sharp on the right wing, as he created three chances and recorded three successful dribbles in a 13-point haul.  The 24-year-old should provide enough production from successful crosses and dribbles to be a solid high-end third forward, with his one knock being a lack of goals.  If you own Carrillo, now is the time to drop him and upgrade by scooping Deulofeu.  




Kenedy, Newcastle (14 percent):   With Islam Slimani currently injured, the Newcastle attacker to add this week is Kenedy.  The Chelsea loanee is classified as a forward but will operate as a left-midfield/left wingback for Rafa Benitez.  Kenedy went straight into the starting XI following his arrival and should see plenty of minutes with the Magpies in need of creativity in the final third.  The 22-year-old caused problems for Burnley’s defense in the 1-1 draw on Wednesday, drawing a penalty in the first-half before assisting on Jamaal Lascelles’ header with an excellent corner.  Kenedy is a long-term add thanks to his from peripheral production. (Successful dribbles and crosses).  Value him as a forward three who has the potential to be a low-end forward two. 


Guido Carrillo, Southampton (3 percent):   Southampton paid a club record £19.1m to bring Carrillo in from French outfit Monaco.  The 26-year-old comes in having worked with manager Mauricio Pellegrino at former club Estudiantes and arrives at a time with the Saints in need of goals.  With top-scorer Charlie Austin still out injured, neither Manolo Gabbiadini nor Shane Long have been able to pick up the slack.  Gabbiadini and Long have combined for just four goals in 22 appearances, meaning Carrillo could get a chance in the starting XI as soon as this weekend.  Carrillo is a forward known for his aerial presence rather than scoring record, but winning the starting role would still give him value in deeper leagues.  The Argentine is a streaming candidate against West Brom and a short-term add while his role at the St. Mary’s unfolds.  

Need More FPL Tips?

On this weeks episode of FPL 360,

@ChuckBoothSport and I breakdown the January Transfer Window and preview GW26 

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Sean Sullivan

Sean Sullivan is a Soccer Betting Analyst for NBC Sports Edge.  He is also a diehard Manchester United supporter.  You can find Sean on Twitter @Sean_Sullivan_1.