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DRAFT MLB Strategy: Wednesday

Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

Building a team on DRAFT’s DFS platform is an excellent way to make the action even more exciting than just following your favorite team. If you aren’t familiar with DRAFT, it’s an innovative DFS game with a live draft feature -- instead of building within a salary cap, you're participating in snake drafts that typically last 2-5 minutes. On top of that, anyone you draft is yours alone -- if you take Nolan Arenado with your first pick, nobody else in your league can have him.



You can find more information at Draft.com or quickly join a contest from anywhere after downloading the app!



The scoring system is similar to FanDuel with a few small exceptions. For one, starting pitchers aren’t quite as valuable relative to their hitting counterparts. You can read a detailed explanation of these along with other DRAFT MLB Strategy Tips in our preview article.



Best of luck and happy drafting!




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These players have a great chance to outperform their DRAFT projection.


Paul Goldschmidt – IF – Arizona (DRAFT Projection: 9.6 FP)


Goldy hit a clutch homerun late in yesterday’s game, cumulating 22 fantasy points overall. Perhaps that will light the fuse in what has been an uncharacteristically quiet start to the season for Arizona’s slugger. A comfortable matchup against LHP Andrew Suarez should keep him going. We all know Goldschmidt hammers left-handed pitching, and Suarez is a rookie forced into action due to injuries. I’ll rank Goldy near the top of the infield today, just behind Arenado and Hosmer.  



Cody Bellinger – IF – LA Dodgers (DRAFT Projection: 8.1 FP)


Bellinger is another high-profile slugger who has gotten off to a slow start this season. Lefty-lefty matchups and general inconsistencies are to blame. However, the reigning NL Rookie of the Year has an excellent matchup to remind us why he unanimously won that award last season. Oakland RHP Daniel Mengden has allowed 12 hits and 10 runs (eight earned) through 11 innings this season. He has a 5.36 ERA through 126 major league innings with a low strikeout rate (7.64 K/9) to boot. In other words, I wouldn’t be surprised if Bellinger and his teammates smack Mengden around in Dodger Stadium tonight. In my opinion, Bellinger deserves to have a projection closer to 9.8 FP, somewhere in the Donaldson and Freeman range of infielders. 



David Price – P – Boston (DRAFT Projection: 10.6 FP)


This isn’t a great matchup for David Price, but I still like him more than most hurlers on this slate. He carries even more merit when playing the later slate, as pitchers like McCullers, Ray, Paxton, and Carrasco (6:10 ET) are starting earlier. I’ll rank Price fifth overall among starters, trailing Carrasco, Wood, McCullers, and Ray in that order. That means Price will be boosted to second overall (behind Wood) in the later slate.



Gerardo Parra – OF – Colorado (DRAFT Projection: 1.4 FP)


We would want to make sure Gerardo Parra is starting before taking a chance on him. I’m only looking towards him in deeper leagues (8+ people), but his low projection is definitely something to be aware of. The Rockies are far and away the highest projected scoring team of the day, and Parra could find himself in plenty of RBI situations. If you need an outfielder to round out those deep drafts, go ahead and take a chance on Parra. You can always swap him out if he’s not in the lineup.






These players may not live up to their DRAFT projection.


Luis Castillo – P – Cincinnati (DRAFT Projection: 11.5 FP)


I have no doubt that Luis Castillo will be worthy of this elite projection at some point in his career. However, that time isn’t now. Castillo has gotten off to a rough start this season, allowing 10 earned runs through 10 innings pitched in his first two starts. Facing a capable Phillies’ offense on the road doesn’t seem like the best bounce-back situation. Other pitchers (ranked below Castillo) like McCullers, Price, Ray, Paxton, Lester, and Tanaka make for better acquisitions. In other words, it’s safe to completely avoid the Cincinnati pitcher regardless of draft size tonight.



Giancarlo Stanton – OF – NY Yankees (DRAFT Projection: 10.6 FP)


Giancarlo Stanton is fantastic against left-handed pitching and Fenway Park gives a massive boost to righty sluggers. We know, we know … However, Stanton has looked out of sorts at the plate, and that left-handed pitcher happens to be a pretty good one in David Price. Giancarlo is definitely not worthy of a top five ranking in the outfield today. A better projection for him would probably be around 9.4 fantasy points.



Zack Cozart – IF – LA Angels (DRAFT Projection: 10.4 FP)


I like Zack Cozart tonight, as the Angels check in with the third highest run-scoring projection of the day. I just don’t like Zack Cozart to the tune of a gaudy 10.4 FP projection. His priority jumps slightly if you are playing the “evening only” slate, but I’m taming his expectation down to the 9.5 FP level.





A few more underrated picks. How about Joey Gallo and Carlos Santana of the infield? These guys carry even more weight if you are playing the evening slate that doesn’t include Coors Field or half of today’s players. Gallo has extreme upside while playing for a Texas offense that trails only Colorado in terms of run-scoring projections. This is a tough spot for LAA RHP Jaime Barria to make his MLB debut, while Gallo and company could jump all over him … As for Santana, he’ll look to jump on the aforementioned recent struggles of Cincinnati RHP Luis Castillo.



Ian Happ is still overrated. This is starting to become a recurring segment. It’s still worth mentioning though, as I routinely find people selection Ian Happ way too high. I’m not sure if DRAFT is overrun with Cubs’ fans or people are buying into his fluffed up projections. A better ranking for Happ is somewhere around the 8.3 FP level instead of this generous 9.8 FP designation that puts him ahead of outfielders like Springer, Betts, Cespedes, and others.

Source URL: https://www.nbcsports.com/edge/article/daily-archives/draft-mlb-strategy-wednesday-0