Welcome to the Week 13 edition of the RotoGrinders primer! It’s crazy that we’re closing in on the end of the regular season, but the good news is we have a hefty 13-game slate on tap with byes in the rearview mirror. I’ll dive into a handful of the available research tools at RotoGrinders to uncover some of the top options for Sunday on FanDuel and DraftKings. A few of the tools I’ll dive into are for premium members, so you’ll get a sneak preview of our top content. Let’s get into it…
Targets & Touches
The Targets & Touches page is something I use every week during football season – it’s one of the best indicators of opportunity, which we like for fantasy purposes. You can find target data for RBs, WRs and TEs in addition to snap data and percentage of workload information. One of my favorite features is that you can view this information alongside salaries for each site, which makes it a little easier to spot value.
Adam Thielen ($8,100 on FanDuel, $8,000 on DraftKings) – While Stefon Diggs has been the target leader in the Vikings Offense over the last six weeks, Thielen is still winning the battle in the red-zone. This offense funnels targets towards these two on a weekly basis, making it possible for both to pop off in the same game, but I’m siding with Thielen in Week 13 with Diggs set to primarily square off with Stephon Gilmore. It’s likely Thielen runs primarily against Jason McCourty but the Vikings will surely move him around in formations to give him advantages, most of which will come out of the slot. Thielen trails only Julio Jones in the target department this season.
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Aaron Jones ($7,600 on FanDuel, $6,700 on DraftKings) – It’s quite fruitful to act as a feature-back in an Aaron Rodgers offense. You won’t find Jones’ name by searching the target leaders at the RB position, but he’s settled into a respectable amount of receiving work on a weekly basis since Ty Montgomery’s departure. He’s seen at least five targets in each of the Packers’ last three games, enhancing his upside on full-point PPR sites in a situation where he should be fed heavily on the ground. The Cardinals allow the most backfield touches per game, in large part due to their inability to move the ball offensively which sets up beautifully for Jones considering the Cardinals will surely have to respect Aaron Rodgers’ arm in coverage. He’s a building block across the industry.
Eric Ebron ($5,600 on FanDuel, $4,200 on DraftKings) – With Jack Doyle on IR, Ebron should work his way back into his early season role as a target monster. Ebron saw at least seven targets a game in Week 3-7 with Doyle on the shelf and saw double-digit looks in three of those games, with a combined five touchdowns. The Colts love using their TEs in the red-zone and Ebron could benefit from a road draw given T.Y. Hilton’s struggles away from Lucas Oil. Ebron is an elite cash game play on both sites and is a fine tournament option even though he’ll be one of the most popular plays at the position.
WR/CB Matchup Chart
We’ll pivot over to the Wide Receiver/Cornerback Chart, which helps to highlight some of the better match-ups for receivers each week. It’s an extreme rarity that one corner follows a particular receiver for all of his snaps, so this chart shows which match-up each receiver is likely to be in for the largest number of his snaps. Snap data available on the chart gives you a better idea of how often each match-up is likely to occur.
Robert Woods ($7,300 on FanDuel, $6,900 on DraftKings) – The play of Josh Reynolds has heavily negated the potential spike in production for Woods in the wake of Cooper Kupp’s injury, but Woods has the best draw among the Rams receivers out of the slot against Detroit. Darius Slay roams on the outside and targeting any of the other Detroit corners has worked just fine, but Nevin Lawson particularly has struggled which leads to Woods having not only the best draw among Rams receivers, but the best Matchup Rating on the WR/CB chart. He’s not likely to gain a ton of steam in tournaments with Gurley, Cooks and Reynolds all having appeal, so I’m planning on being well overweight on Woods shares.
Kenny Golladay ($7,300 on FanDuel, $6,700 on DraftKings) – Golladay slots in right behind Woods in the Matchup Rating department thanks to an ample height and speed advantage over Marcus Peters. Golladay moves all over in formations but will probably continue to spend more time on the outside with Marvin Jones hurt and Golden Tate out of town – that is moot given the usage increase Golladay has seen in recent weeks. He’s seen target counts of 8, 15 and 13 over the last three games. The poor man’s version of Golden Tate (Bruce Ellington) has missed some practice time this week, but even with Ellington at full strength, there is good reason to bet on a double-digit target outing for the Lions’ top target.
Emmanuel Sanders ($7,000 on FanDuel, $6,300 on DraftKings) – I had D.J. Moore in this spot initially, but Devin Funchess practiced on a limited basis Thursday and looks like he’s got a decent shot to suit up Sunday, creating more of a log-jam than I’d like to play with. Enter Sanders, who steps into a road draw with an ailing Bengals team coming off of arguably their worst stretch of football in memory. Sanders will spend a good deal of the afternoon lined up against Darqueze Dennard, which isn’t a home-run draw but it’s enough to land Sanders the 7th best Matchup Rating on the board. I have a little more interest in Sanders on DraftKings where he’s better suited for the scoring format and a hair cheaper.
Welcome to Value Town, parts unknown. I won’t be recommending the Todd Gurleys of the world here, but instead will try to find a handful of viable value plays at each position to make the rest of the roster building process a little easier. I won’t go into detail for each player, but they are ranked in order of preference for GPPs/tournaments at each position.
- Jameis Winston ($7,500 on FanDuel, $6,000 on DraftKings) – Winston is too cheap on FanDuel particularly. He’s been a really strong fantasy option in games he’s played from start to finish.
- Kirk Cousins ($7,600 on FanDuel, $5,500 on DraftKings) – Unlike Winston, Cousins’ value is had on DraftKings.
- Lamar Jackson ($7,500 on FanDuel, $5,900 on DraftKings)
- T.J. Yeldon on FanDuel ($4,400) and Carlos Hyde on DraftKings ($3,300) – Despite the fact that these two are better suited for the opposite site, pricing dictates this one. I still have plenty of interest in Yeldon on DraftKings but won’t be too heavy on Hyde shares over at FanDuel.
- Lamar Miller ($6,300 on FanDuel, $4,600 on DraftKings) – He’s a better value on DraftKings.
- Dion Lewis ($5,500 on FanDuel, $5,300 on DraftKings) – He’s a better value on FanDuel.
- Bruce Ellington ($4,900 on FanDuel, $3,500 on DraftKings)
- Chris Godwin ($5,400 on FanDuel, $3,900 on DraftKings)
- Marcell Ateman ($4,600 on FanDuel, $3,600 on DraftKings)