Emmanuel Sanders
AP
Daily Games

NFL GPP Pivots: Week 5

Updated On: October 3, 2019, 3:04 pm ET


Welcome to the NFL GPP Pivots article, where we’ll be looking to uncover some sneaky-good DFS plays away from the popular lifts. These recommendations are usually risk/reward commodities meant to be used in large-field tournaments. Typically, blending these low-owned hidden gems with well-aligned staples contributes to a viable GPP strategy.

Keep in mind that the following player write-ups were constructed earlier in the week, and sometimes injury situations can alter the fantasy landscape. Monitoring our NFL News & Headlines Feed up until game time will keep you in the loop while giving you the subsequent DFS consequences of each information piece.

We will be looking at the Sunday main slate, meaning Thursday, Sunday, and Monday night games are not included in the following analysis. 

Editor's Note: Looking for an added edge? Dominate all season long with our DFS Toolkit. Use our Lineup Optimizer to come up with winning lineups for DraftKings, FanDuel, and Yahoo! Click here for more!

QUARTERBACK

Andy Dalton - Cincinnati (vs. Arizona) 

Yes, Dalton was miserable in front of a national audience last Monday. That will surely drive his ownership rate down despite this interesting bounce-back spot against Arizona. The Cardinals play fast on offense while sporting one of the worst pass defenses on the other side, which is an excellent recipe for fantasy success: just ask Matthew Stafford, Lamar Jackson, and Kyle Allen. The Bengals haven’t established anything on the ground this season, and they continue to look towards Dalton to move the chains. The Cincinnati QB could return to his 20-25 fantasy point form in this encouraging draw. 

Also Consider: Kyler Murray, Tom Brady

RUNNING BACK

Le’Veon Bell - New York Jets (at Philadelphia)

Philadelphia has been solid against the run this season, holding opponents to 3.2 yards per carry (third-best in NFL). That fact alongside a negative game script will have DFS enthusiasts ignoring Bell, even in large-field tournaments. However, let’s keep in mind the sheer volume for Le’Veon, who essentially serves as an RB and WR1 for the Jets. He’s coming off a bye week, which is nice considering that he battled with soreness and a shoulder issue earlier this season. Bell is averaging almost 19 carries and eight targets per game, and he’ll continue to be the focal point of this offense. That could pay fantasy dividends, even if the Jets fall behind early. 

Editor's Note: Looking for an added edge? Dominate all season long with our DFS Toolkit. Use our Lineup Optimizer to come up with winning lineups for DraftKings, FanDuel and Yahoo! Click here for more!

David Montgomery - Chicago (at Oakland)

Can we finally expect a breakout game from Montgomery? The rookie’s volume continues to climb, as he saw 21 carries for 53 yards with three catches (five targets) for 14 yards last Sunday. The lack of efficiency can be excused against a solid Minnesota defense, and Montgomery could translate that workload into a strong fantasy showing at Oakland this weekend. Royce Freeman and Dalvin Cook were able to punish the Raiders’ defense for 5.6 and 6.9 yards per carry earlier this season, and Montgomery could follow their footsteps in Week 5. 

Also Consider: Aaron Jones, Phillip Lindsay

WIDE RECEIVER

Emmanuel Sanders - Denver (at LA Chargers)

Per Ian Hartiz’s WR/CB Matchups column (an excellent resource for DFS players), the Chargers have typically placed stud CB Casey Heyward on Demaryius Thomas and Courtland Sutton over the past two years. If history repeats itself with Heyward blanketing Sutton, Emmanuel Sanders could thrive with an easier individual matchup. Sanders is averaging 8.5 targets per contest this season, leading to rewarding fantasy lines in three of four games. We could see another one on Sunday, as game flow should play into Sanders’ favor with Denver listed as touchdown underdogs on the road. 

Auden Tate - Cincinnati (vs. Arizona)

Tate makes for a favorable stacking extension of Dalton, who was listed above. Fellow receiver John Ross will miss time moving forward, which promotes Tate to WR2 in the Cincinnati pecking order. He finds himself in a breakout spot against Arizona, who ranks dead last against the pass (DVOA) at this stage in the season. A lack of name recognition could keep Tate’s ownership under the 10% threshold. 

Also Consider: Alshon Jeffery, Julian Edelman, Stefon Diggs, Marquise Brown 

TIGHT END

Evan Engram - New York Giants (vs. Minnesota)

Engram disappointed many DFS backers with a pedestrian 5-54 line against Washington last weekend. Put that alongside a matchup against the solid Vikings’ defense, and New York’s TE could have an ownership rate below 5%. Engram will continue to see plenty of targets in this draw, especially if the Giants fall behind. Other talented tight ends like Austin Hooper and Darren Waller were able to have success against Minnesota with 9-77 and 13-134 lines respectively. In other words, don’t be afraid to roster Engram in DFS despite the perceived difficult matchup. 

Also Consider: Noah Fant, Tyler Eifert 


Source URL: https://www.nbcsports.com/edge/article/daily-games/nfl-gpp-pivots-week-5