Tuesday’s NBA slate features only two games. What a silly schedule this week. The NBA takes a day off for Thanksgiving – Happy Thanksgiving to all! – so instead of spreading the games out evenly, they have a million on Monday, Wednesday and Friday, and two tonight. Ugh. With so few options, lineup overlap is rampant on nights like this. In this column, I generally set $6000 FD/$5000 DK as the bargain threshold, and I try to indicate when I think a position is particularly well-suited--or not--to using the cheap plays given the landscape of the particular slate. DraftKings’ pricing is notably sharper than FanDuel’s tonight, so I tried to provide a couple extra options to consider where it was feasible. Tonight’s slate tips at 8:00 pm EST.
Isaiah Thomas, Washington Wizards at Denver ($5200 FD, $4600 DK)
There aren’t a lot of options for cheap PG today; you’re pretty much looking at the Wizards. Thomas gets a revenge game narrative, and has probably the highest floor for the price. His upside is definitely capped as he won’t likely play 30 minutes as the Wizards seem committed to involving Jordan McRae ($3700 FD (SG), $3600 DK). McRae could be the path to one more superstar tonight, and if the Wizards get down big, as Vegas predicts, he could be the risk/reward play that makes a difference on this small slate.
Gary Harris, Denver Nuggets vs. Washington ($4500 FD, $4200 DK)
Expect 95 percent ownership of Harris tonight, but don’t be part of the five. This is a slam dunk play as not only is Washington the best overall fantasy matchup of the night (third-overall in fantasy points allowed), they are the top SG matchup for fantasy. Harris is playing well over 30 MPG, and though the results have not been there over the past week or so, I’m prioritizing the price and court time in this one.
Tim Hardaway Jr., Dallas Mavericks vs. LA ($5400 FD, $5000 DK)
This is such a trap play and I’ll probably fall for it, as I have so many times in the past. While both games have high point totals around 227 points, this one is expected to be close. Hardaway played well while Seth Curry was out, averaging 27 fantasy points then inexplicably played 38 minutes and went nuts vs. Houston on Sunday. He scored 31 points on 18 FGA, and while that isn’t really repeatable, there is a reasonable chance he continues to contribute to the tune of about 30 fantasy points tonight. If Maxi Kleber is out, I’m also considering Dorian Finney-Smith ($4400 both) as a differentiator.
Davis Bertans, Washington Wizards at Denver ($6000 FD, $5200 DK)
If you can’t bear to lock Hardaway in your lineups tonight, consider Bertans for a little more security. Averaging about 30 MPG over the last four, Bertans has averaged about 16 points per game with at least one steal in each game. The thing that really sets him apart are the rebounds and assists. While Hardaway is more dependent on his shot falling, Bertans boosts his floor with the peripherals.
Rui Hachimura, Washington Wizards at Denver ($5000 FD, $4500 DK)
It’s going to be up and down with Hachimura, and this is a position where I’m fine with paying up for both Kristaps Porzingis and Kawhi Leonard. However, if you’re going to save at PF, he’s the guy I trust most at this price. Pretty much everyone had a down game against Sacramento on Sunday, and I think there’s a good chance Hachimura gets back around 20-22 fantasy points tonight.
Dwight Powell, Dallas Mavericks vs. LA ($4600 FD, $4000 DK)
I still want cheap pieces of this game, and while I can’t see avoiding Nikola Jokic on FanDuel, if you are looking to go extremely contrarian, I’d go all the way down to Powell. It’s been ugly lately, but Powell’s minutes are very stable (~25 MPG) and his ability to put up stats across the board usually provides at least 14-18 fantasy points.