Phillip Lindsay
AP
Daily Games

NFL GPP Pivots: Week 15

Updated On: December 15, 2019, 4:17 am ET

Welcome to the NFL GPP Pivots article, where we’ll be looking to uncover some sneaky-good DFS plays away from the popular lifts. These recommendations are usually risk/reward commodities meant to be used in large-field tournaments. Typically, blending these low-owned hidden gems with well-aligned staples contributes to a viable GPP strategy.

Keep in mind that the following player write-ups were constructed earlier in the week, and sometimes injury situations can alter the fantasy landscape. Monitoring our NFL News & Headlines Feed up until game time will keep you in the loop while giving you the subsequent DFS consequences of each information piece.

We will be looking at the Sunday main slate, meaning Thursday, Sunday, and Monday night games are not included in the following analysis. 

QUARTERBACK

Eli Manning - NY Giants (vs. Miami) 

Admittedly, Manning isn’t an exciting fantasy option. He’ll probably hold a much lower-than-deserved ownership rate for that reason. We’ll need to double-check that he’s actually starting which seemed “likely” as of Thursday. Assuming Manning gets the nod, he’ll find himself in one of the best matchups for a fantasy quarterback. His opponent, Miami, has allowed the third-most fantasy points to opposing signal callers, and they have gotten burned through the air over the past five or so weeks. Manning was inefficient at Philadelphia last Monday, but he still managed 16 fantasy points. I’m thinking he can crack 20 FP in this optimistic draw. 

Also Consider: David Blough, Ryan Fitzpatrick 

RUNNING BACK

Leonard Fournette - Jacksonville (at Oakland) 

Much like his team, Fournette completely flopped against the Chargers last Sunday. He has posted back-to-back pedestrian stat-lines, which will likely drive his ownership down. Even though Jacksonville checks in as six-point road underdogs, I believe Fournette will see enough volume to make some fantasy noise. The Raiders have allowed the eighth-most fantasy points to running backs this season, providing a nice bounce-back spot for Fournette. 

Phillip Lindsay - Denver (at Kansas City) 

Most people will probably avoid the Denver running game with them being listed as double-digit road underdogs. However, I’m thinking the Broncos will try to establish the run as much as possible to stay in this game. That’s the way to beat Kansas City, as they have allowed the third-most fantasy points to running backs this season. Lindsay has been somewhat mediocre lately, but he’s still seeing around 20 touches per contest. That could translate to a nice return on investment this time around. 

Also Consider: Kenyan Drake, Patrick Laird

WIDE RECEIVER

Sterling Shepard - NY Giants (vs. Miami)

Darius Slayton was Manning’s favorite target last week, coming through with a sweet 5-154-2 line. You can easily stack him alongside the Giants’ quarterback, but don’t forget about Sterling Shepard as a sneakier option. Shepard saw seven targets on Monday, which was only one less than Slayton. Sunday’s matchup against the Dolphins is tremendous, and any of the NYG receivers could have a breakout performance. Shepard is a nice leverage play within that. 

Isaiah Ford - Miami (at NY Giants)  

We’ll need to double-check the status of DeVante Parker, who is questionable with a concussion. If Parker is out, Ford will step into a prominent role against a Giants’ defense that has allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to receivers. Parker left the game early last week, and Ford stepped in with 6-92 on nine targets. The Dolphins will continue to sling the ball around the filed, and Ford will likely be underrated due to a lack of name recognition. 

Also Consider: Odell Beckham Jr., Chris Conley

TIGHT END

Ian Thomas - Carolina (vs. Seattle) 

This is another injury contingent recommendation, as Thomas only has fantasy merit if Greg Olsen (questionable) is ruled out. We should hear more on his status this Friday. If Olsen can’t play, Thomas will resume TE1 responsibilities, a role he translated to a 5-52-1 line with 10 targets. The Seahawks have allowed the third-most fantasy points to tight ends, so I like whoever gets the start (Thomas or Olsen) for the Panthers. 

Also Consider: David Njoku, Mike Gesicki


Source URL: https://www.nbcsports.com/edge/article/daily-games/nfl-gpp-pivots-week-15