Tuesday’s NBA slate features eight games. We have five games with a point total over 225, and seven teams in the Top 10 in fantasy points allowed take the floor tonight. Look for a high scoring DFS night with lots of lineup diversity on this main slate. Cleveland, Toronto, Denver, and Dallas get notable pace bumps, but we’ll have to be wary of blowout risk in Toronto (vs. Atlanta) and Milwaukee (vs. Washington). Key injuries to watch for include: Joel Embiid, Luka Doncic, Kristaps Porzingis, Jayson Tatum, Ricky Rubio, Jae Crowder, Bruno Fernando and Javonte Green. Giannis Antetokounmpo is out tonight. In this column, I generally set $6000 FD/$5000 DK as the bargain threshold, and I try to indicate when I think a position is particularly well-suited--or not--to using the cheap plays given the landscape of the particular slate. Tonight’s slate tips at 7:00 pm EST.
Collin Sexton, Cleveland Cavaliers vs. New Orleans ($6000 FD, $6500 DK)
This game is one of the best for fantasy tonight as both teams rank near the bottom of the league in defensive efficiency and allow a ton of fantasy points to their opponents. In fact, the Pelicans are the league’s most generous PG matchup. I like Sexton a lot on a regular basis, but tonight the matchup, Darius Garland being out, and the pace bump give me extra motivation to pay up for him.
Monte Morris, Denver Nuggets at Memphis ($4900 FD, $5400 DK)
Morris also gets a nice pace bump and good overall matchup. Vegas has this game as a pick ‘em which can’t be said for all the good matchups tonight. Morris played 35 minutes in his last game, has scored double-digit points in his last three and is a reliable source of assists, steals and rebounds. He throws up the occasional block as well. He’s about as low as I want to go at PG given the many ways you could spend up at the position tonight.
Kyle Korver, Milwaukee Bucks vs. Washington ($3800 FD, $3600 DK)
You could definitely also spend up at SG, but there are some deeper values I like that should be key to building lineups tonight. Korver isn’t someone I think about a lot, but he is averaging over 20 fantasy points per game over the last week or so, has made at least two three-pointers in each of his last five games and gets one of the best matchups of all time in the Wizards.
Duncan Robinson, Miami Heat vs. Boston ($4100 FD, $5100 DK)
It’s hard not to notice what Robinson has done in his last two games, boosting his peripheral output on top of scoring 16 and 21 points. In fact, he’s now averaging over 21 fantasy points per game on the season and playing around 30 MPG or more. He stands out as a much better value on FanDuel, and the matchup with the Celtics might turn some people off. However, Robinson had a pretty nice game against them earlier in the season.
Kyle Anderson, Memphis Grizzlies vs. Denver ($3800 FD, $4100 DK(F))
If Jae Crowder is out, and only if Crowder is out, Anderson becomes another nice value play tonight. As noted above, this should be a close and high scoring game. Anderson played 29 minutes Sunday, and ended up with 12 rebounds and two blocks. His scoring wasn’t great, but that’s what I love in a cheap SG/SF…someone who’s fantasy output isn’t completely relying on points.
Also consider: Gary Harris ($4200 FD, $4300 DK)
De’Andre Hunter, Atlanta Hawks at Toronto ($4400 FD, $4600 DK)
It’s not like the Hawks don’t have a plethora of nearly interchangeable wings, which makes choosing one on any given night a daunting task. Hunter is averaging 33 fantasy points per game against Toronto this season, including a 32-fantasy point effort just a week ago. He’s coming off a huge game in which he scored 25 real points, and although the Raptors are a great defensive team, they have been a Top 10 fantasy matchup for opposing forwards. He’s a bit risk/reward, but I like what he’s done lately as well as how he’s played this team.
Mikal Bridges, Phoenix Suns at Dallas ($4600 FD, $3900 DK)
Bridges on the whole has been playing a ton of good minutes for the Suns, averaging over 30 MPG. He’s not a great scorer, rarely making it to the free throw line or knocking down a three, but he does get hot on occasion. He’s much more consistent in peripheral production, where for example, he has at least two steals in four of his last five games. Certainly not a 100 percent guarantee for 25 fantasy points (see his big dud vs. the Spurs last week), he does have nice upside for the price – something that has been harder to find on DraftKings.
Also consider: Cedi Osman ($4800 FD, $5000 DK)
P.J. Washington, Charlotte Hornets vs. New York ($5200 both)
This is a great game to roster Washington as he gets one of the best PF matchups in the league while coming off a terrible game that will depress his ownership. He put up 19 points and a full stat sheet en route to 34 fantasy points the first time he played the Knicks this year. He’s generally done well against poor teams while struggling the most against some of the best (e.g. Milwaukee, Utah).
Michael Porter Jr., Denver Nuggets at Memphis ($5300 FD, $6200 DK)
Porter is definitely on your radar at this point, and is still a good value on FanDuel. On DraftKings, I’d just as soon take Jerami Grant ($6000 FD, $6500 DK), for the savings on Porter are minimal. Both guys have thrived with Millsap out, and I’ve already mentioned the factors that make this game one I’m targeting heavily.
Mitchell Robinson, New York Knicks at Charlotte ($4600 FD, $5000 DK)
Robinson makes this list tonight thanks in part to the matchup – best center matchup in the league – and he crushed it the last time these teams met (38 fantasy points). He’s also cheap because he doesn’t play a ton of minutes every game, which does make him more of a risk. Still, he’s pretty efficient, often racking up a fantasy point a minute or more, as he did Sunday.
Kelly Olynyk, Miami Heat vs. Boston ($4300 FD, $4000 DK)
As good as Bam Adebayo is, Olynyk is also hot right now. He’s averaging 27 fantasy points per game in his last three games, despite only playing about 22 MPG. Two of those games included the Clippers and the Magic, so the defensive matchup doesn’t scare me off. Like most guys in this range, he could disappear any time, so roster with some caution tonight.
Tristan Thompson, Cleveland Cavaliers vs. New Orleans ($5500 FD, $5700 DK)
By spending just a little more, I think you get a lot more safety with Thompson as well as the double-double upside. The Pelicans are soft up and down the court, and center is no exception as they give up the ninth-most fantasy points to the position.