Jonathan Taylor
Odds and Ends

2020 NFL OROY long-shot predictions

Updated On: June 1, 2020, 3:57 pm ET

Jonathan Taylor, RB Indianapolis Colts (+1,200)

A running back has won Offensive Rookie of the Year four out the last seven seasons. Additionally, if Oakland’s Josh Jacobs didn’t miss three games in December, he would have edged out Kyler Murray for the award. I had Jacobs at +800 and yes, it still stings.

Indianapolis traded up three spots in the second round to grab the Wisconsin star. Taylor rushed for over 6,000 yards in three seasons in Madison. Now he walks into the NFL and gets to run behind a dominant offensive line. 

According to Pro Football Focus, Indianapolis had the third-best offensive line in the league in 2019. All-Pro Quenton Nelson’s two-year run-blocking grade is tops among all guards. Add in a 38-year-old Philip Rivers at quarterback, who threw 20 interceptions last year for the Chargers, and Jonathan Taylor is going to get the rock a lot. 

As long as he can keep the ball off the turf (six fumbles in 2019), Taylor at 12/1 (Las Vegas SuperBook) is a bet that I like a lot — and have already made.



Jalen Reagor, WR Philadelphia Eagles (+2,800)

Philadelphia failed to trade up to get CeeDee Lamb on draft night and he landed in Dallas. Then, with Justin Jefferson on the board, the Eagles selected Jalen Reagor at No. 21... and the City of Brotherly Love was not happy. 

But when is Philadelphia ever happy? The Eagles’ top wide receiver target at the end of last season was a converted quarterback. Reagor was arguably the most athletic receiver in this year’s draft class and now he gets paired with one of the top quarterbacks in the league in Carson Wentz

Odell Beckham Jr. is the only wide receiver to win Offensive Rookie of the Year in the last decade, but at 28/1 (FanDuel), I love the value here.

And if you want an added bonus: Skip Bayless criticized the Eagles picking Reagor. 

Watching so many good receivers drafted after the Eagles picked theirs, I still can't believe Philly went with Jalen Reagor. Cowboys got CeeDee. Eagles did not take Jefferson or Aiyuk or Higgins or Pittman or ...

— Skip Bayless (@RealSkipBayless) April 24, 2020


Zack Moss, RB Buffalo Bills (+6,000)

What’s gambling if you don’t take a long shot? Zack Moss was one of my favorite players to watch in college football at Utah last year. Moss is a tough dude to bring down, forcing 89 missed tackles with 1,042 yards after contact in 2019. 

Buffalo’s Devin Singletary had a productive rookie season but there was a reason the Bills spent a third-round pick on Moss. He has a good chance to become the lead back for a possible division winner. That’s why at 60/1 (Las Vegas SuperBook), I’m taking a flyer on the former Ute.

Tim Murray is the host of "The Daily Line" radio show as well as a sports betting analyst for NBC Sports. You can follow him on Twitter @1TimMurray.

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