We are coming off of a very successful Week 6 for this column, as five of the six wide receiver selections all scored touchdowns – DeAndre Hopkins, Julian Edelman, Allen Robinson, Calvin Johnson and Donte Moncrief. We also nailed the tight end picks with Antonio Gates and Greg Olsen. Not all weeks can be like that, but we will look to keep it going with the selection for Week 7. As usual, the plays are broken down into two categories: cash game targets and tournament targets for FanDuel contests.
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Cash Game Targets
DeAndre Hopkins: $9,200 (vs. Miami Dolphins)
Snap Count Percentage: 98.0%
Touch/Target Percentage (All Plays): 18.6%
DeAndre Hopkins made some unreal catches against the Jaguars last week. He finished the game with ten catches for 148 yards and two touchdowns. He has now seen 89 targets in the first six weeks of the season, which is easily the highest of any receiver in the NFL. With Cecil Shorts ruled out, Hopkins should see another heavy dose of targets this week against the Dolphins, who are better defensively against the run than they are against the pass.
Larry Fitzgerald: $7,800 (vs. Baltimore Ravens)
Snap Count Percentage: 89.9%
Touch/Target Percentage (All Plays): 13.8%
Larry Fitzgerald has been a model of consistency this season. He wasn’t very happy with his move to the slot, but it is certainly paying dividends now. With Carson Palmer at the helm and Bruce Arians calling the shots, Fitzgerald is a legitimate top five receiving option each week. He sees a nice mix of both short and deep routes and he has seen plenty of looks inside the red zone. He should be able to carve up a Ravens’ secondary that has allowed the second most fantasy points to wide receivers this season.
Eric Decker: $6,200 (vs. New England Patriots)
Snap Count Percentage: 78.9%
Touch/Target Percentage (All Plays): 9.4%
The Patriots love to scheme around their opponent’s best offensive player. They will likely focus on stopping either Brandon Marshall or Chris Ivory. Either way, Decker should benefit with the defense’s attention diverted elsewhere. Decker has caught a touchdown in each of the four games that he has played in this season and this is game that sets up well for the Jets’ passing attack. They are nine-point underdogs according to the Vegas odds, and are on the road, so they will likely be playing from behind most of the game.
Calvin Johnson: $8,400 (vs. Minnesota Vikings)
Snap Count Percentage: 93.8%
Touch/Target Percentage (All Plays): 14.2%
After torching the Bears’ secondary in the first half, it was surprising to see the Lions go away from Calvin Johnson in the second half. Luckily, the Lions went back to the well on the final drive of regulation and in overtime. Johnson caught six of his nine targets for 166 yards and a touchdown. Hopefully, the Lions will take a few more shots downfield this week, as Johnson won every jump ball situation last week. He has tremendous upside and he will likely have a low percentage of ownership this week against the Vikings.
John Brown: $6,700 (vs. Baltimore Ravens)
Snap Count Percentage: 70.4%
Touch/Target Percentage (All Plays): 10.7%
Larry Fitzgerald gets most of the attention in this Cardinals’ receiving corps, but John Brown shouldn’t get overlooked. He has had three consecutive outings with at least 74 yards and he is coming off of his best game of the season, catching ten passes for 196 yards against the Steelers. Brown has seen a lot of deep balls thrown his way this season and it’s only a matter of time before he connects on a few of them. He offers terrific upside against the Ravens, who have allowed the second-most fantasy points to wide receivers this season.
Donte Moncrief: $6,500 (vs. New Orleans Saints)
Snap Count Percentage: 75.8%
Touch/Target Percentage (All Plays): 10.5%
As I mentioned last week, Andrew Luck and Donte Moncrief have developed great chemistry. Even though Andre Johnson had that big game with Matt Hasselbeck at the helm, I expected Moncrief to be the better play with Luck back. Moncrief had a nice game against the Patriots, catching six passes for 69 yards and a touchdown. Moncrief offers great upside at his price again this week, as he takes on one of the worst pass defenses in the NFL.
Cash Game Targets
Rob Gronkowski: $8,100 (vs. New York Jets)
Snap Count Percentage: 90.9%
Touch/Target Percentage (All Plays): 10.4%
Antonio Gates would have been the play here, but he missed practice on Wednesday and is currently listed as questionable for Week 7. If Gates is forced to miss the game or if he is expected to be limited, I am going to spend up at tight end. Rob Gronkowski has only seen ten combined targets over the last two weeks and the Patriots are going to want to get him more involved. The Jets have arguably the best run defense in the NFL, so look for Tom Brady and the Patriots to air it out in this matchup.
Charles Clay: $5,500 (vs. Jacksonville Jaguars)
Snap Count Percentage: 94.2%
Touch/Target Percentage (All Plays): 11.0%
Tyrod Taylor has been ruled out for Week 7, so the Bills will have EJ Manuel as their starter again this week. That’s not all bad news, as he and Charles Clay hooked up nine times for 62 yards last week against the Bengals. Clay already has 45 targets on the season, which is tied for the second most of any tight end. Clay draws a favorable matchup this week against the Jaguars, who are ranked 30th in Football Outsiders’ DVOA rankings against tight ends.