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This week saw some huge injuries to top level talent making the playoffs really uncertain in season long leagues and providing some clear opportunity to stray from the chalk in DFS.
Full disclosure from week 15
Let’s take a quick look at the players we called out last week to see how they performed to keep us honest. In Week 15 we were correct in predicting that 2 of our 4 over-valued players would not return 2:1 value. We are now at 49 out of 69 (71%) on the year so far.
Jonathan Stewart ($7,500) – DNP
Stewart sat out with a foot injury. His status for this week is up in the air too
DeSean Jackson ($6,400) – 24.3 FDP
Like the mirage he has been his entire career D-Jax pulled a number on us on Sunday firing off 153 yards and a touchdown including an exquisite 77-yard catch and run all the way to paydirt. Let’s safely assume he is over his knee bruise and firmly in the WR1/2 range for a #revenge game against Philly this week.
Jordan Matthews ($6,100) – 25.9 FDP
Matthews hobbled into this last week’s matchup with an injured back that had limited him the game prior and all week in training. He shook it off to dust up Patrick Peterson and the Cardinals for 159 yards and a TD in the week 15 loss.
TJ Yeldon ($6,300) - DNP
Did not play due to a sprained MCL injury. He is unlikely to suit up this week too.
Questionable players for week 16
Drew Brees ($8,200)
Brees is suffering from a torn Plantar Fascia and there is a good chance he may not play this week. This is an incredibly painful injury and players who have suffered this include Tony Gonzalez, Jimmy Graham, Marques Colston and most recently Peyton Manning. If he does suit up expect him to be extremely limited, unable to move around in the pocket and to lack zip on his throws.
Correspondingly the Jacksonville D has become an interesting sneaky week 16 play.
Alshon Jeffery ($7,800)
He doesn’t always play football, but when he does it’s awesome. He is…. The most frustrating football player in the world. Another week another soft tissue injury for the Chicago number one wideout. Even in a mouth watering matchup against the Bucs Jeffery cannot be trusted after leaving last week’s game in the third quarter due to a hamstring injury.
Danny Amendola ($6,500)
Last season we didn’t get the good or the bad with Danny Amendola as he was hardly used in the Patriots championship season. This year, injuries have torn apart the Superbowl champs and Amendola has found himself in a featured role. And with this comes good Amendola and bad Amendola. Good Amendola catches pretty much anything thrown his way and makes fantasy owners happy with great production. Bad Amendola gets injured consistently and is slow to recover. So this year we’ve seen the good and are now in the midst of the bad. No one is doubting his toughness but if he does see the field at less than 100% as he nurses an MCL sprain and faces an invigorated Jets D there are better options at this price.
Lamar Miller ($6,500)
Yes he is questionable with a quadriceps injury, but even if he wasn’t he must have done something really nasty to someone senior in the Miami Dolphins organization for him to be treated so dismally in his contract year. He has shown how talented he is if given the opportunity by way of a featured role in a game, but it’s just not going to happen for him this year. Maybe he played one too many pranks on Tannehill. Maybe he insulted GM Mike Tannebaum’s wife. Maybe he ate the last weenie at the preseason party 4 years in a row… It doesn’t matter. If you take away the week 13 Miller-20-touch-as-feature-back anomaly, since his week 7 explosion of 236 yards from scrimmage, these are the amount of carries he has had: 9, 12,16,7,5,12,9.
He has to have an uber efficient kind of day for him to return value and playing banged up at the end of a contract year that volume is most likely not going to be there.