Cap Considerations

Caps After Daytona (Spring)

Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

Normally, the Daytona 500 is such a unique race that there is very little that can be learned by a driver’s performance at Daytona International Speedway. Notably, last year Kevin Harvick, Joey Logano, and Martin Truex Jr. each carried their momentum forward and completed virtual sweeps of the top 10 in the first half of the season. With that in mind, Harvick and Logano kept their caps in the NASCAR Fantasy Live intact this week, while Truex earned a little bump because he was more moderately priced.

It is difficult to say if the same thing will happen this year to someone else, but those three drivers carried their 2015 Chase-momentum into 2016 into this year and continue to be highly regarded to finish well in the next few races.

There was an open question about whether Kyle Busch could sustain his speed through the off-season after winning last year’s Championship. He ran in the top 10 for the entire race, with just a few laps outside that mark. Busch was easily the strongest driver in the Joe Gibbs Racing in terms of laps inside the top 10. Teamwork is hard to maintain at Daytona because the draft jumbles the field, but Denny Hamlin’s victory and Carl Edwards’ top-10s could be attributed to their ability to draft together. That was cold comfort to Matt Kenseth, however, who got bumped out of first in the final corner of the last lap and finished 14th.

Last week the Cap Considerations article touched on who would be the biggest losers after Daytona. There are a handful of races that require certain drivers to be adjusted for that event only. Dale Earnhardt Jr., Austin Dillon, Clint Bowyer, and David Ragan took the biggest loses in regard to cap value, but that is only because they were adjusted to a level that is more representative of their season-long potential.

Chase Elliott dropped 25 cents due to his crash. He spun early in the Daytona 500 because he was pushing the envelope a little too much. Conversely, his principle freshman rival Ryan Blaney earned a 25 cent increase because he ran among the top 10 most of the day. Fantasy players will have a clearer picture of how the rookie battle is going to shape up after next week’s Folds of Honor Quicktrip 500 at Atlanta Motor Speedway.

Brad Keselowski was another driver who lost 25 cents and fell to $27.25 in the NASCAR Fantasy Live game, but his adjustment had as much to do with Busch’s advancement. At the top of the order, there is only so much room for drivers demanding more than $27 and when one driver increases, another nearly always decreases.

Only six drivers increased this week. Eight drivers decreased in value, but fantasy owners can expect bigger movement next week. As one of the unrestricted, intermediate speedways, Atlanta is going to reveal more than the specialty restrictor-plate, superspeedway.  

 

Driver

Diff

 |

This week’s cap

Gainers

Kyle Busch

 $     0.25

 |

 $    27.50

Denny Hamlin

 $     0.25

 |

 $    26.25

Martin Truex Jr.

 $     0.25

 |

 $    25.75

Ryan Blaney

 $     0.25

 |

 $    16.25

Brian Vickers

 $     0.25

 |

 $      5.25

David Gilliland

 $     0.25

 |

 $      5.25

Losers

Brad Keselowski

 $    (0.25)

 |

 $    27.25

Chase Elliott

 $    (0.25)

 |

 $    16.75

Casey Mears

 $    (0.25)

 |

 $    12.75

Danica Patrick

 $    (0.25)

 |

 $    11.75

Austin Dillon

 $    (1.00)

 |

 $    19.00

Dale Earnhardt Jr.

 $    (1.25)

 |

 $    26.75

Clint Bowyer

 $    (2.00)

 |

 $    20.00

David Ragan

 $    (3.00)

 |

 $      7.00

 


Source URL: https://www.nbcsports.com/edge/article/cap-considerations/caps-after-daytona-spring-0