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FanDuel Fades: April 14

Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

Welcome to the FanDuel Fades where we highlight players that we think you should avoid tonight.  It's worth emphasizing that this is meant exclusively for daily leagues and the players are being weighed against their FanDuel prices.  This is NOT meant to provide any insight into how we view these players in playoffs-long fantasy leagues.  After the recommendations you'll find today's list of probable goaltenders, which we update during the afternoon.

 

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Ales Hemsky RW (Dallas) - $5,300

 

The Stars as a whole look strong going into their first round series, but Hemsky is far from being one of their main offensive threats.  He had just 13 goals and 39 points in 75 contests and is projected to start the postseason on the team's third line. Plus while Minnesota is the clear underdogs in the first round series, the Wild have the potential to at least be strong defensively and between the pipes.  With all that in mind, you might not see enough production out of Hemsky in this series to justify even that modest price.  Plus if you want a discount right winger, there's always 2014 Conn Smythe Trophy-winner Justin Williams, who is priced at $4,600.

 

Brayden Schenn LW (Philadelphia) - $6,500

 

Schenn had a solid regular season, but he'll be leading a Flyers team that is facing an uphill battle against the Presidents' Trophy-winning Washington Capitals.  He might take a hit from a plus/minus perspective and scoring on goalie Braden Holtby will be a very difficult task.  To be fair to the Flyers, they certainly might have a good series and even end up besting Washington, but they are entering this series as heavy underdogs and with that in mind, it would probably be best to avoid some of them like Schenn until we're a couple games into the series and have a better sense for how they're stacking up.

 

Logan Couture C (San Jose) - $6,600

 

In terms of today's centers, Logan Couture was one of the worst value picks during the 2015-16 campaign.  He averaged 3 FanDuel points per game, which in a vacuum is more than fine for that price, but when you compare it to Jason Spezza (3.5 FanDuel points per game, $7,000), Nicklas Backstrom (3.4, $6,500), and Evgeny Kuznetsov (3.6, $6,100) it becomes harder to justify going with Couture at the same price point.  Plus while I'm optimistic about San Jose's chances against Los Angeles, I do expect the goals to be hard to come by in that series, so I'm not eager to bet on players on either side for now.  If I was going to pick a player from San Jose though, I would be going after someone that was better value relative to his positional peers.

 

Kari Lehtonen G (Dallas) - $8,500

 

First off, the Stars haven't named a starting goaltender yet for Game 1 and given that this is the playoffs, it wouldn't be at all surprising if we don't find out until minutes after the game.  While not the same situation, the Penguins had quietly ruled out Marc-Andre Fleury for Game 1 on Tuesday, if not earlier, but all the signs during practice made it seem like Fleury would be the starter.  Now to be clear, that was an injury situation, but the point is that the Penguins withheld that information to try to gain an edge on the Rangers and we will continue to see teams being secretive where possible throughout the playoffs.  That makes the Stars goalie situation a particularly difficult one to navigate through as they have no clear cut starter.  Beyond all that though, Lehtonen didn't have a good season and while the Wild aren't looking intimidating offensively - especially given their injury woes - Lehtonen certainly wouldn't be my first choice tonight for a goalie.

 

Jason Pominville RW (Minnesota) - $5,600

 

Pominville was held off the scoresheet for his last four regular season games and hasn't found the back of the net since March 1.  He had a pretty rough season overall too with just 36 points in 75 contests so I'm not too optimistic about him going into the playoffs.

 

Shayne Gostisbehere D (Philadelphia) - $5,300

 

This is a bit of a tough one because while I've already talked about how I think it'd be better to avoid some of the Flyers players until we get a better sense of their series, Shayne Gostisbehere has been a good pick for much of the 2015-16 campaign.  However, this will be his playoff debut and we don't know how he'll handle the pressure.  Between the odds being heavily stacked against Philadelphia and the uncertainty about Gostisbehere in particular, I'd recommend passing on him tonight.  That being said, if Gostisbehere has a solid Game 1, then I'll likely be far more upbeat about him for Game 2.


Goaltenders

Philadelphia (Steve Mason) @ Washington (Braden Holtby) confirmed

NY Islanders (Thomas Greiss) confirmed @ Florida (Roberto Luongo) confirmed

Minnesota (Devan Dubnyk) confirmed @ Dallas (Kari Lehtonen) confirmed

San Jose (Martin Jones) confirmed @ Los Angeles (Jonathan Quick) confirmed


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