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Expert Mock Draft 2.0

by Eno Sarris
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:09 pm ET

Round 1

 

 

1.1    Mauricio Rubio (Baseball Prospectus) - Mike Trout CF, ANA

1.2    Tim Heaney (KFFL) - Miguel Cabrera 3B, DET

1.3    Bret Sayre (Baseball Prospectus) - Paul Goldschmidt 1B, ARI

1.4    D.J. Short (Rotoworld) - Andrew McCutchen CF, PIT

1.5    Peter Kreutzer (AskRotoMan) - Robinson Cano 2B, SEA

1.6    Scott Gilroy (DynastySportsEmpire) - Clayton Kershaw - SP, LAD

1.7    Howard Bender (FanGraphs) - Carlos Gonzalez LF, COL

1.8    Brent Hershey (BaseballHQ) - Adam Jones CF, BAL

1.9    Eno Sarris (Rotoworld) - Chris Davis 1B, BAL

1.10    Ray Guilfoyle (FakeTeams) - Ryan Braun LF, MIL

1.11    Drew Silva (Rotoworld) - Hanley Ramirez SS, LAD

1.12    Brett Talley (TheFantasyFix) - Joey Votto 1B, CIN

1.13    Ryan Boyer (Rotoworld) - Troy Tulowitzki - SS, COL

1.14    Nick Shlain (RotoWire) - Adrian Beltre 3B, TEX

 

Clayton Kershaw is moving up in mocks and he moved up from 13th to sixth between our magazine mock and this one. Hard to argue with his excellence, even as the pitching numbers get better and better every year. Robinson Cano also moves from 11th to 5th, though there's no real great reason for it. Joey Votto moves into the first round here and Price Fielder drops out. I'd probably have them reversed, since it doesn't really seem like Joey Votto's power days are going to come back. Otherwise, the only real question of the first round is where you put Ryan Braun. He's going anywhere from sixth to tenth and that's a fairly large spread for the first round.

 

 

Round 2

 

2.15    Nick Shlain - Jacoby Ellsbury CF, NYY

2.16    Ryan Boyer - Prince Fielder - 1B, TEX

2.17    Brett Talley - Yasiel Puig RF, LAD

2.18    Drew Silva - Bryce Harper OF, WSH

2.19    Ray Guilfoyle - Edwin Encarnacion 1B, TOR

2.20    Eno Sarris - Jason Kipnis 2B, CLE

2.21    Brent Hershey - Dustin Pedroia 2B, BOS

2.22    Howard Bender - Evan Longoria 3B, TB

2.23    Scott Gilroy - Jose Bautista RF, TOR

2.24    Peter Kreutzer - Freddie Freeman 1B, ATL

2.25    D.J. Short - David Wright 3B, NYM

2.26    Bret Sayre - Carlos Gomez CF, MIL

2.27    Tim Heaney - Jose Reyes SS, TOR

2.28    Mauricio Rubio - Yu Darvish SP, TEX

 

Bryce Harper might actually be more divisive than Braun. Our first mock had him go sixth, and here he goes 18th. Buying him in the first requires more faithcasting than taking him in the second. He's shown he has power and speed; taking him in the first means you believe he'll capitalize on the power he hasn't quite shown for a full season yet. Edwin Encarnacion seems like a fine pick here, maybe even undervalued. I think Jason Kipnis will be the best second baseman in fantasy baseball this year, so I was happy to get him where I got him. David Wright fell seven spots, but the only real problem with picking him is wondering how many plate appearances he’ll give you this year.

 

 

Round 3

 

3.29    Mauricio Rubio - Giancarlo Stanton RF, MIA

3.30    Tim Heaney - Alex Rios CF, TEX

3.31    Bret Sayre - Ian Desmond SS, WSH

3.32    D.J. Short - Shin-Soo Choo RF, TEX

3.33    Peter Kreutzer - Jay Bruce RF, CIN

3.34    Scott Gilroy - Justin Upton RF, ATL

3.35    Howard Bender - Adam Wainwright SP, STL

3.36    Brent Hershey - Eric Hosmer 1B, KC

3.37    Eno Sarris - Jean Segura SS, MIL

3.38    Ray Guilfoyle - Jose Fernandez SP, MIA

3.39    Drew Silva - Ryan Zimmerman 3B, WSH

3.40    Brett Talley - Max Scherzer SP, DET

3.41    Ryan Boyer - Stephen Strasburg SP, WSH

3.42    Nick Shlain - Hunter Pence RF, SF

 

The most notable aspect of this round three compared to the magazine's version is that pitching moved up into the third. Jose Fernandez, Adam Wainwright, Max Scherzer and Stephen Strasburg were third rounders this time, last time only Cliff Lee and Stephen Strasburg were third rounders. There's been some talk around the industry that elite pitchers are more steady year to year than the pitching population as a group, but for my money, the fact that they are less projectable than hitters, get hurt more often, and stay hurt longer is good enough reason to wait longer. I'll admit that I hoped that Stephen Strasburg would make it into the fourth round, though. Alex Rios went from 37th to 30th, and that seems notable: people just can't agree on his stolen base total this year.

 

 

Round 4

 

4.43    Nick Shlain - Chris Sale SP, CWS

4.44    Ryan Boyer - Jason Heyward RF, ATL

4.45    Brett Talley - Yoenis Cespedes CF, OAK

4.46    Drew Silva - Cliff Lee SP, PHI

4.47    Ray Guilfoyle - Matt Holliday LF, STL

4.48    Eno Sarris - Felix Hernandez SP, SEA

4.49    Brent Hershey - David Price SP, TB

4.50    Howard Bender - Elvis Andrus SS, TEX

4.51    Scott Gilroy - Starling Marte LF, PIT

4.52    Peter Kreutzer - Buster Posey C, SF

4.53    D.J. Short - Justin Verlander SP, DET

4.54    Bret Sayre - Albert Pujols 1B, ANA

4.55    Tim Heaney - Madison Bumgarner SP, SF

4.56    Mauricio Rubio - Adrian Gonzalez 1B, LAD

 

Now the pitchers begin to go hot and heavy. I have Madison Bumgarner higher and David Price lower, but I'd feel better about getting a pitcher if I had one in hand by this round. That's a little higher than it used to be for me, but pitching is creeping upwards in drafts. Starling Marte might feel high for those of you looking at his batting average on balls in play, but Marte doesn't ever pop the ball up, has good foot speed, and doesn't strike out a ton. That's a good recipe for a strong batting average, and we know he has power and speed. Look at that veteran trio right in a row: Buster Posey, Justin Verlander, Albert Pujols: that group could make their owners very happy. We know what kind of upside they own. Jason Heyward and Yoenis Cespedes have more upside and power/speed potential, but neither is going to have a batting average like the Giants' catcher or the Angels' first baseman. And how much will Heyward and Cespedes steal anyway?

 

 

Round 5

 

5.57    Mauricio Rubio - Matt Carpenter 3B, STL

5.58    Tim Heaney - Craig Kimbrel RP, ATL

5.59    Bret Sayre - Josh Donaldson 3B, OAK

5.60    D.J. Short - Mark Trumbo 1B, ANA

5.61    Peter Kreutzer - Manny Machado 3B, BAL

5.62    Scott Gilroy - Allen Craig LF, STL

5.63    Howard Bender - Wil Myers RF, TB

5.64    Brent Hershey - Joe Mauer C, MIN

5.65    Eno Sarris - Anthony Rizzo 1B, CHC

5.66    Ray Guilfoyle - Matt Kemp CF, LAD

5.67    Drew Silva - Ian Kinsler 2B, DET

5.68    Brett Talley - Jose Altuve 2B, HOU

5.69    Ryan Boyer - David Ortiz DH, BOS

5.70    Nick Shlain - Alex Gordon LF, KC

 

Josh Donaldson fell eight spots and into the fifth round between our two mocks, but I see no reason why. Sure, his BABIP might fall a bit, but even at .280 with mid-twenties home runs and good runs and RBI, he's a good, solid third baseman. The numbers you saw last year were in line with what he did in the minor leagues and it just took him a bit to get acclimated and comfortable. Matt Carpenter went ten spots higher in our first draft, but once it gets to the fifth round, it doesn't matter if he can score 126 runs again. He'll score close to 100, have a good batting average, and plays second base. I don't know about Allen Craig here, but if he fits in the outfield, he'll hit for a good average and smack 18 or so home runs. I love Wil Myers here, though. Even if the average regresses, he'll hit for power and steal some bags. My team already had a first baseman, but Anthony Rizzo has all the makings of a star: he has a better-than-average strikeout rate, a strong batted ball mix, no pop-ups, good walk rate, above-average power and he's pre-peak. For those worried about his platoon splits, his walk, strikeout, and power rates against lefties are fine. It's all bad batted ball luck. Mark Trumbo has a legit chance at 40 home runs in the desert, and those are batting average points, too.

 

 

Round 6

 

6.71    Nick Shlain - Billy Hamilton SS, CIN

6.72    Ryan Boyer - Greg Holland RP, KC

6.73    Brett Talley - Pedro Alvarez 3B, PIT

6.74    Drew Silva - Carlos Santana C, CLE

6.75    Ray Guilfoyle - Jose Abreu 1B, CWS

6.76    Eno Sarris - Jayson Werth RF, WSH

6.77    Brent Hershey - Kenley Jansen RP, LAD

6.78    Howard Bender - Aroldis Chapman RP, CIN

6.79    Scott Gilroy - Zack Greinke SP, LAD

6.80    Peter Kreutzer - Everth Cabrera SS, SD

6.81    D.J. Short - Martin Prado LF, ARI

6.82    Bret Sayre - Jordan Zimmermann SP, WSH

6.83    Tim Heaney - Wilin Rosario C, COL

6.84    Mauricio Rubio - Gerrit Cole SP, PIT

 

And here's Billy Hamilton. I guess by round six, you have four hitters and a pitcher that you like, and it's time to take a shot. But picking Billy Hamilton is taking a shot. The floor for him is back in the minor leagues working on his defense and his swing from the left side. He could also end up platooning (vs lefties) in center field and pinch running, which might still be worth Rajai Davis numbers. But if you're picking him here, you're hoping he's Vince Coleman. He *might* be Vince Coleman. No surprise that Jose Abreu is in this round then. His floor is probably Kendrys Morales, which gives him a better floor than Hamilton. But his ceiling is lower, too. I love Gerrit Cole here, though. In the second half last year, Cole started throwing his breaking stuff more and got more strikeouts. He could easily be a fantasy ace this year, going for number two prices.

 

 

Round 7

 

7.85    Mauricio Rubio - Shane Victorino LF, BOS

7.86    Tim Heaney - Aaron Hill 2B, ARI

7.87    Bret Sayre - Trevor Rosenthal RP, STL

7.88    D.J. Short -  Cole Hamels SP, PHI

7.89    Peter Kreutzer - Anibal Sanchez SP, DET

7.90    Scott Gilroy - Kyle Seager 3B, SEA

7.91    Howard Bender - Jedd Gyorko 3B, SD

7.92    Brent Hershey - Ben Zobrist RF, TB

7.93    Eno Sarris - Alex Cobb SP, TB

7.94    Ray Guilfoyle - Homer Bailey SP, CIN

7.95    Drew Silva - Doug Fister SP, WSH

7.96    Brett Talley - Matt Cain SP, SF

7.97    Ryan Boyer - Yadier Molina C, STL

7.98    Nick Shlain - Brandon Belt 1B, SF

 

This round is a fairly golden spot to get an elite closer like Trevor Rosenthal. The position players and starting pitchers that are going in this round are not elite, and even their upside is a bit muted. Well, Cole Hamels has elite talent, but probably for only five rounds. Doesn't matter how you get it if you get it though. It's a testament to the weakness of the position that two guys that may not crack .260 are seventh-round picks. Alex Cobb may not crack 90 but his curve and change are great, and his command is as well -- this is absolutely the place to go get him. Belt moves up almost 50 picks in this mock, which is a surprise. Picking him here means you think the adjustments he made in the second half last year will stick, and that has he has the upside to crack more than 20 homers along with his speed. He could be a lighter version of Eric Hosmer.

 

 

Round 8

 

8.99    Nick Shlain - Carlos Beltran RF, NYY

8.100    Ryan Boyer - Masahiro Tanaka SP, NYY

8.101    Brett Talley - Domonic Brown LF, PHI

8.102    Drew Silva - Billy Butler DH, KC

8.103    Ray Guilfoyle - Desmond Jennings LF, TB

8.104    Eno Sarris - Michael Cuddyer RF, COL

8.105    Brent Hershey - James Shields SP, KC

8.106    Howard Bender - Mike Napoli 1B, BOS

8.107    Scott Gilroy - Matt Adams 1B, STL

8.108    Peter Kreutzer - Shelby Miller SP, STL

8.109    D.J. Short - Koji Uehara RP, BOS

8.110    Bret Sayre - Mat Latos SP, CIN

8.111    Tim Heaney - Pablo Sandoval 3B, SF

8.112    Mauricio Rubio - Starlin Castro SS, CHC

 

Speaking of adjustments, Belt made the adjustment once he heard that Domonic Brown had made a similar change. Similar players in that they both hadn't quite shown the power they were supposed to, Brown is actually ahead of Belt in that he's shown the power that we're hoping Belt will show. He also plays a tougher position to fill, so it's a little strange to see him go after the Giants first baseman. Desmond Jennings seems like a perennial breakout candidate, but other than batted ball luck, there doesn't seem like a lot more potential there. He is what he is, no? Then again, at least he's younger than the old man Michael Cuddyer and that should have implications for his health. Matt Adams may pull too often -- he was shifted late in the season and his batting average tanked accordingly -- and he strikes out a bit too often, and he's iffy against lefties. At least he has functioning hips and doesn't strike out nearly a third of the time like Mike Napoli. A round later, and I love the pitchers taken here, more than the last round -- trade a little certainty for upside and you get Masahiro Tanaka, Shelby Miller and Mat Latos.

 

 

Round 9

 

9.113    Mauricio Rubio - Salvador Perez C, KC

9.114    Tim Heaney - Josh Hamilton LF, ANA

9.115    Bret Sayre - Brian McCann C, NYY

9.116    D.J. Short - Brad Miller SS, SEA

9.117    Peter Kreutzer - Brandon Phillips 2B, CIN

9.118    Scott Gilroy - David Robertson RP, NYY

9.119    Howard Bender - Nelson Cruz RF, TEX

9.120    Brent Hershey - Brett Gardner LF, NYY

9.121    Eno Sarris - Brett Lawrie 3B, TOR

9.122    Ray Guilfoyle - J.J. Hardy SS, BAL

9.123    Drew Silva - Mike Minor SP, ATL

9.124    Brett Talley - Leonys Martin CF, TEX

9.125    Ryan Boyer - Daniel Murphy 1B, NYM

9.126    Nick Shlain - Brandon Moss 1B, OAK

 

If you're in a truly deep league, you really do have to worry about position scarcity. In a league like this, though, this round shows you why you just need to get value. Brad Miller is projected for a double-double with a good batting average, and Starlin Castro has proven he can be a positive in all categories, and J.J. Hardy has settled into a healthy stretch with his customary power. Can you say much more than the outfielders taken in this round? I might even like those options better than the second basemen here. Brandon Phillips keeps hitting 18 homers, but he doesn't steal bases anymore and is post-peak by age. Daniel Murphy is all batting average once he returns to his customary stolen base total. Normally I'd say wait forever on catchers in a one-catcher league -- I love some late catchers -- but Brian McCann? With that short porch? And the DH spot? Giddyap.

 

 

Round 10

 

10.127    Nick Shlain - Gio Gonzalez SP, WSH

10.128    Ryan Boyer - Michael Wacha SP, STL

10.129    Brett Talley - Alexei Ramirez SS, CWS

10.130    Drew Silva - Austin Jackson CF, DET

10.131    Ray Guilfoyle - Hisashi Iwakuma SP, SEA

10.132    Eno Sarris - Joe Nathan RP, DET

10.133    Brent Hershey - Kris Medlen SP, ATL

10.134    Howard Bender - Danny Salazar SP, CLE

10.135    Scott Gilroy - Julio Teheran SP, ATL

10.136    Peter Kreutzer - Curtis Granderson CF, NYM

10.137    D.J. Short - Hyun-Jin Ryu SP, LAD

10.138    Bret Sayre - Chase Utley 2B, PHI

10.139    Tim Heaney - Aramis Ramirez 3B, MIL

10.140    Mauricio Rubio - Matt Moore SP, TB

 

Pair your old men position players -- Curtis Granderson and his fading contact rate, Chase Utley and his degenerative knee condition, Aramis Ramirez and all of his breaking body parts -- with your young pitchers -- Michael Wacha and his excellent change-up, Danny Salazar and his crazy velocity and dropping splitter, Julio Teheran and his stable of plus pitches, Hyun-Jin Ryu and the delivery that the same each time, and Matt Moore's velocity -- and you get the tenth round. This is why I usually shop for pitching in this round. Maybe Joe Nathan is the last plus closer, or maybe the old man with his career-worst velocity will show his age this year.

 

 

Round 11

 

11.141    Mauricio Rubio - Jurickson Profar 2B, TEX

11.142    Tim Heaney - Glen Perkins RP, MIN

11.143    Bret Sayre - Anthony Rendon 2B, WSH

11.144    D.J. Short - Wilson Ramos C, WSH

11.145    Peter Kreutzer - Matt Wieters C, BAL

11.146    Scott Gilroy - Andrelton Simmons SS, ATL

11.147    Howard Bender - Jim Johnson RP, OAK

11.148    Brent Hershey - Xander Bogaerts SS, BOS

11.149    Eno Sarris - Sonny Gray SP, OAK

11.150    Ray Guilfoyle - Jonathan Lucroy C, MIL

11.151    Drew Silva - Michael Bourn CF, CLE

11.152    Brett Talley - Khris Davis LF, MIL

11.153    Ryan Boyer - Andrew Cashner SP, SD

11.154    Nick Shlain - Jered Weaver SP, ANA

 

Best Pick: In a round full of risky picks, Glen Perkins stands out as super safe. He's been an elite reliever by rates since moving into the bullpen, and he's done it long enough to believe he'll do it again. He is on a bad team, but he's cheap for a few more years and isn't likely to be moved without a good return, and teams are less likely give up a lot for a reliever.

 

Worst Pick: Andrelton Simmons pops it up more than almost anyone, and those are automatic outs. Even if the power sticks around, the batting average isn't likely to recover.

 

 

 

Round 12

 

12.155    Nick Shlain - Sergio Romo RP, SF

12.156    Ryan Boyer - Alfonso Soriano LF, NYY

12.157    Brett Talley - Patrick Corbin SP, ARZ

12.158    Drew Silva - Justin Morneau 1B, COL

12.159    Ray Guilfoyle - Jason Grilli RP, PIT

12.160    Eno Sarris - Norichika Aoki LF, KC

12.161    Brent Hershey - Coco Crisp LF, OAK

12.162    Howard Bender - Jed Lowrie SS, OAK

12.163    Scott Gilroy - Will Venable RF, SD

12.164    Peter Kreutzer - Jon Lester SP, BOS

12.165    D.J. Short -Ernesto Frieri RP, ANA

12.166    Bret Sayre - Adam Eaton CF, CWS

12.167    Tim Heaney - Johnny Cueto SP, CIN

12.168    Mauricio Rubio - Addison Reed RP, ARZ

 

Best Pick: Patrick Corbin may not have a change-up, but his slider is a top-three slider by whiff rates and he's made it work with great command. Even a little regression would make this a great pick.

 

Worst Pick: Adam Eaton has a little bit of everything, but if he doesn't steal bases, it may not be enough. And he really didn't try to run a lot last year. And the White Sox didn't steal a ton of bases last year. Will he steal much more than 20? Will he hit 10? Will he hit .270? He seems like a better real-life player than fantasy one. Or he should go later to reflect the risk at least.

 

 

Round 13

 

13.169    Mauricio Rubio - Christian Yelich LF, MIA

13.170    Tim Heaney - Ben Revere CF, PHI

13.171    Bret Sayre - Steve Cishek RP, MIA

13.172    D.J. Short - Michael Brantley LF, CLE

13.173    Peter Kreutzer - Rafael Soriano RP, WSH

13.174    Scott Gilroy - Francisco Liriano SP, PIT

13.175    Howard Bender - Avisail Garcia RF, CWS

13.176    Brent Hershey - Casey Janssen RP, TOR

13.177    Eno Sarris - Jeff Samardzija SP, CHC

13.178    Ray Guilfoyle - Jonathan Papelbon RP, PHI

13.179    Drew Silva - Grant Balfour RP, TB

13.180    Brett Talley - Bobby Parnell RP, NYM

13.181    Ryan Boyer - Tony Cingrani SP, CIN

13.182    Nick Shlain - Victor Martinez DH, DET

 

Best Pick: I promise I won't pick a lot of my own, but Jeff Samardzija has 94+ mph velocity, an average slider by whiff rates, and an elite splitter. His command used to be more of an issue than it's become. He has all the tools he needs to be elite.

 

Worst Pick: Jonathan Papelbon lost two ticks on his fastball and his slider now goes slower than most relievers' curves. The best news would be that he's hiding an injury, because if it's just age, the next few years might be kind of scary.

 

 

Round 14

 

14.183    Nick Shlain - Hiroki Kuroda SP, NYY

14.184    Ryan Boyer - Carl Crawford LF, LAD

14.185    Brett Talley - Jason Castro C, HOU

14.186    Drew Silva - Jim Henderson RP, MIL

14.187    Ray Guilfoyle - B.J. Upton CF, ATL

14.188    Eno Sarris - Kole Calhoun RF, ANA

14.189    Brent Hershey - Howie Kendrick 2B, ANA

14.190    Howard Bender - Nick Swisher 1B, CLE

14.191    Scott Gilroy - Eric Young Jr. OF, NYM

14.192    Peter Kreutzer - Justin Masterson SP, CLE

14.193    D.J. Short - Chase Headley 3B, SD

14.194    Bret Sayre - R.A. Dickey SP, TOR

14.195    Tim Heaney - George Springer OF, HOU

14.196    Mauricio Rubio - Marlon Byrd RF, PHI

 

Best Pick: Hiroki Kuroda is old, but he's got great command, doesn't depend on his fastball velocity, and has a great splitter. Won't those things be true again this year?

 

Worst Pick: Eric Young, Jr. does have one tool. He can steal a base. But he's got way too much in common with another one-tooler, Emilio Bonifacio, to take him this early. It may not be a great outfield in New York, but it's a crowded one.

 

 

Round 15

 

15.197    Mauricio Rubio - Chris Archer SP, TB

15.198    Tim Heaney - Asdrubal Cabrera SS, CLE

15.199    Bret Sayre - Dexter Fowler CF, HOU

15.200    D.J. Short - Zack Wheeler SP, NYM

15.201    Peter Kreutzer - Nolan Arenado 3B, COL

15.202    Scott Gilroy - John Axford RP, CLE

15.203    Howard Bender - Clay Buchholz SP, BOS

15.204    Brent Hershey - Drew Smyly SP, DET

15.205    Eno Sarris - Brian Dozier 2B, MIN

15.206    Ray Guilfoyle - Todd Frazier 3B, CIN

15.207    Drew Silva - Evan Gattis C, ATL

15.208    Brett Talley - Fernando Rodney RP, TB

15.209    Ryan Boyer - Nate Jones RP, CWS

15.210    Nick Shlain - Huston Street RP, SD

 

Best Pick: If you take a starting third baseman with the upside to hit .280 with 20 homers in the middle of a closer run, you're living right. Nolan Arenado hits in the right park and has a plus hit tool.

 

Worst Pick: Fernando Rodney is just another closer in the middle of that closer run, and he's in front of a superior reliever in Danny Farquhar. Ever since Farquhar went over the top and gained three ticks of gas, he's been lights-out. He could close by the All-Star break.

 

 

Round 16

 

16.211    Nick Shlain - Neftali Feliz RP, TEX

16.212    Ryan Boyer - Jonathan Villar SS, HOU

16.213    Brett Talley - Neil Walker 2B, PIT

16.214    Drew Silva - CC Sabathia SP, NYY

16.215    Ray Guilfoyle - C.J. Wilson SP, ANA

16.216    Eno Sarris - Jose Veras RP, CHC

16.217    Brent Hershey - Marco Estrada SP, MIL

16.218    Howard Bender - Ubaldo Jimenez SP, CLE

16.219    Scott Gilroy - Jimmy Rollins SS, PHI

16.220    Peter Kreutzer - Angel Pagan CF, SF

16.221    D.J. Short - Josh Reddick RF, OAK

16.222    Bret Sayre - Yan Gomes C, CLE

16.223    Tim Heaney - Dan Straily SP, OAK

16.224    Mauricio Rubio - Jhonny Peralta SS, STL

 

Best Pick: Marco Estrada has an elite change-up by whiffs, a great curve for ground balls, and a fastball that, though it only goes about 89, gets a lot of whiffs. He has great command too! The only problem is the occasional homer due to the bad velocity. Go get him.

 

Worst Pick: Jhonny Peralta has a lot of questions hanging over his head after his suspension. And he was very mediocre not too many years ago.

 

 

Round 17

 

17.225    Mauricio Rubio - Adam Lind DH, TOR

17.226    Tim Heaney - Rajai Davis OF, DET

17.227    Bret Sayre - Colby Rasmus CF, TOR

17.228    D.J. Short - Erick Aybar SS, ANA

17.229    Peter Kreutzer - Rex Brothers RP, COL

17.230    Scott Gilroy - A.J. Griffin SP, OAK

17.231    Howard Bender - Michael Morse OF, SF

17.232    Brent Hershey - Chris Carter 1B, HOU

17.233    Eno Sarris - Corey Kluber SP, CLE

17.234    Ray Guilfoyle - Corey Hart RF, MIL

17.235    Drew Silva - Torii Hunter CF, DET

17.236    Brett Talley - Justin Ruggiano OF, CHC

17.237    Ryan Boyer - A.J. Pollock

17.238    Nick Shlain - Omar Infante 2B, KC

 

Best Pick: Take a third baseman during the closer run, and then take Rex Brothers two rounds later. That's how you do it.

 

Worst Pick: Justin Ruggiano isn't young enough to be part of the future in Chicago, strikes out too much, and has terrible platoon splits. What's there to like, really?

 

 

Round 18

 

18.239    Nick Shlain - A.J. Burnett SP, PIT

18.240    Ryan Boyer - Tommy Hunter RP, BAL

18.241    Brett Talley - Dan Haren SP, LAD

18.242    Drew Silva - Mark Teixeira 1B, NYY

18.243    Ray Guilfoyle - Tyson Ross SP, SD

18.244    Eno Sarris - Miguel Montero C, ARZ

18.245    Brent Hershey - Lance Lynn SP, STL

18.246    Howard Bender - Joakim Soria RP, TEX

18.247    Scott Gilroy - Oswaldo Arcia RF, MIN

18.248    Peter Kreutzer - Gerardo Parra RF, ARZ

18.249    D.J. Short - Rick Porcello SP, DET

18.250    Bret Sayre - Josh Johnson SP, SD

18.251    Tim Heaney - Kendrys Morales 1B, SEA

18.252    Mauricio Rubio - Denard Span OF, WAS

 

Best Pick: Rick Porcello learned a curve ball and now has a weapon against lefties. Add to that the fact that his infield defense just got a ton better, and you've got the recipe for a sleeper.

 

Worst Pick: Denard Span might have the upside to hit .280 with fewer than ten homers and fewer than 20 stolen bases. At this point in the draft, you might as well go for upside, that seems like it's attainable on the wire.

 

 

Round 19

 

19.253    Mauricio Rubio - Danny Farquhar RP, SEA

19.254    Tim Heaney - Ian Kennedy SP, SD

19.255    Bret Sayre - Jarrod Parker SP, OAK

19.256    D.J. Short - Jackie Bradley Jr. CF, BOS

19.257    Peter Kreutzer - Joe Kelly, SP STL

19.258    Scott Gilroy - Kolten Wong 2B, STL

19.259    Howard Bender - Oscar Taveras OF, STL

19.260    Brent Hershey - Alejandro De Aza CF, CWS

19.261    Eno Sarris - Alex Wood SP, ATL

19.262    Ray Guilfoyle - Alexander Guerrero 2B, LAD

19.263    Drew Silva - Tim Hudson SP, SF

19.264    Brett Talley - Will Middlebrooks 3B, BOS

19.265    Ryan Boyer - Ryan Howard 1B, PHI

19.266    Nick Shlain - A.J. Pierzynski C, BOS

 

Best Pick: Alex Wood's delivery may look like a toddler melting down on the mound, but he's got great stuff and his long-term health is an issue for another owner at another time.

 

Worst Pick: Joe Kelly might not even start, and even though he has gas, he doesn't really have a pitch for whiffs.

 

 

Round 20

 

20.267    Nick Shlain - Kelly Johnson 2B, NYY

20.268    Ryan Boyer - Scott Kazmir SP, OAK

20.269    Brett Talley - Ivan Nova SP, NYY

20.270    Drew Silva - Derek Jeter SS, NYY

20.271    Ray Guilfoyle - Chris Tillman SP, BAL

20.272    Eno Sarris - Marcell Ozuna CF, MIA

20.273    Brent Hershey - Cody Allen, RP, CLE

20.274    Howard Bender - Yordano Ventura SP, KC

20.275    Scott Gilroy - Joaquin Benoit RP, SD

20.276    Peter Kreutzer - Nate McLouth, OF, WAS

20.277    D.J. Short - Adam LaRoche 1B, WSH

20.278    Bret Sayre - Josh Willingham LF, MIN

20.279    Tim Heaney - Brandon Beachy SP, ATL

20.280    Mauricio Rubio - Nick Castellanos 3B, DET

 

Best Pick: Whether it's at second or third, Kelley Johnson is probably going to play a lot in New York this year. And that positional flexibility makes him an ideal utility / backup MI / backup CI.

 

Worst Pick: Nate McLouth seems like a fourth outfielder, firmly. Even as little as I like Denard Span this year for fantasy.

 

 

Round 21

 

21.281    Mauricio Rubio - Felix Doubront SP, BOS

21.282    Tim Heaney - Nick Markakis RF, BAL

21.283    Bret Sayre - Kevin Gausman SP, BAL

21.284    D.J. Short - John Lackey SP, BOS

21.285    Peter Kreutzer - Yovani Gallardo SP, MIL

21.286    Scott Gilroy - Alex Avila C, DET

21.287    Howard Bender - Devin Mesoraco C, CIN

21.288    Brent Hershey - Adam Dunn DH, CWS

21.289    Eno Sarris - Sergio Santos RP, TOR

21.290    Ray Guilfoyle - Chris Owings SS, ARZ

21.291    Drew Silva - Chad Qualls RP, HOU

21.292    Brett Talley - Matt Garza SP, TEX

21.293    Ryan Boyer - Emilio Bonifacio 2B, CHC

21.294    Nick Shlain - Alcides Escobar SS, KC

 

Best Pick: You know which pitcher has the best stuff in this round? Kevin Gausman. High nineties velocity, with two off-speed pitches with elite whiff rates, you have to watch the pitches and not the pitcher to love him. The body language has been off, the results terrible, but he's the only Orioles starter that could be an ace right now.

 

Worst Pick: Chris Owings needs to unseat an incumbent that was league average last year. Also one that his GM just traded for in one of his higher-profile deals in Arizona. Maybe he does it?

 

 

Round 22

 

22.295    Nick Shlain - Bartolo Colon SP, NYM

22.296    Ryan Boyer - Jose Quintana SP, CWS

22.297    Brett Talley - Mark Melancon RP, PIT

22.298    Drew Silva - Carlos Martinez RP, STL

22.299    Ray Guilfoyle - Javier Baez SS, CHC

22.300    Eno Sarris - Matt Joyce OF, TB

22.301    Brent Hershey - Chris Johnson 3B, ATL

22.302    Howard Bender - James Paxton SP, SEA

22.303    Scott Gilroy - Wily Peralta SP, MIL

22.304    Peter Kreutzer - Archie Bradley SP, ARZ

22.305    D.J. Short - Andre Ethier OF, LAD

22.306    Bret Sayre - Jose Iglesias SS, DET

22.307    Tim Heaney - Jesse Crain RP, HOU

22.308    Mauricio Rubio - Martin Perez SP, TEX

 

Best Pick: Chris Johnson is not sexy. His 2013 BABIP was super high, too. But it's been high his whole career. He has a spray-to-all-fields-with-power approach that leads to good batting averages. A great CI.

 

Worst Pick: James Paxton may have some questions about his third pitch and his true talent velocity, but at least he pitches in a nice home park. Martin Perez has only shown one good pitch (the change-up is nice) and pitches in Texas.

 

 

Round 23

 

23.309    Mauricio Rubio - Trevor Plouffe 3B, MIN

23.310    Tim Heaney - Tyler Clippard RP, WAS

23.311    Bret Sayre - Scooter Gennett 2B, MIL

23.312    D.J. Short - Pedro Strop RP, CHC

23.313    Peter Kreutzer - Lorenzo Cain OF, KC

23.314    Scott Gilroy - Nick Franklin 2B, SEA

23.315    Howard Bender - Michael Pineda SP, NYY

23.316    Brent Hershey - Tim Lincecum SP, SF

23.317    Eno Sarris - Robbie Grossman OF, HOU

23.318    Ray Guilfoyle - Jhoulys Chacin SP, COL

23.319    Drew Silva - Alexi Ogando SP, TEX

23.320    Brett Talley - Brandon Kintzler RP, MIL

23.321    Ryan Boyer - Erasmo Ramirez RP, MIA

23.322    Nick Shlain - Stephen Drew SS, BOS

 

Best Pick: Lorenzo Cain hasn't put it together yet, but he has power and speed and a starting role if he can stay healthy. Great fifth outfielder or utility in a league that's a little deeper like this one.

 

Worst Pick: It's harder to pick bad picks at this point in the draft -- the investment level isn't high -- but Jhoulys Chacin doesn't have strikeout upside, pitches in a tough park, and is hurting now.

 

 

Round 24

 

24.323    Nick Shlain - Peter Bourjos CF, STL

24.324    Ryan Boyer - Taijuan Walker SP, SEA

24.325    Brett Talley - Yonder Alonso 1B, SD

24.326    Drew Silva - Ricky Nolasco SP, MIN

24.327    Ray Guilfoyle - Dan Uggla 2B, ATL

24.328    Eno Sarris - Derek Holland SP, TEX

24.329    Brent Hershey - Garrett Richards SP, LAA

24.330    Howard Bender - Carlos Quentin OF, SD

24.331    Scott Gilroy - Wade Miley SP, ARZ

24.332    Peter Kreutzer - Dayan Viciedo RF, CWS

24.333    D.J. Short - Dee Gordon SS, LAD

24.334    Bret Sayre - Dillon Gee SP, NYM

24.335    Tim Heaney - Dustin Ackley 2B, SEA

24.336    Mauricio Rubio - Junichi Tazawa RP, BOS

 

Best Pick: In the bench rounds in a redraft league is the perfect place to go for the moon. I went for a DL slot pickup in Derek Holland, but picking Taijuan Walker is similar: if it works out, mega-bonus. If not, there's the wire.

 

Worst Pick: If it works out for Peter Bourjos, he probably plays 2/3 of the time, hits .260, whops ten homers and steals 15 bases or so. Meh.

 

 

Round 25

 

25.337    Mauricio Rubio - Junior Lake CF, CHC

25.338    Tim Heaney - Ervin Santana SP, KC

25.339    Bret Sayre - Mike Moustakas 3B, KC

25.340    D.J. Short - LaTroy Hawkins RP, COL

25.341    Peter Kreutzer - Zach McAllister SP, CLE

25.342    Scott Gilroy - James Loney 1B, TB

25.343    Howard Bender - Ike Davis 1B, NYM

25.344    Brent Hershey - Jake Peavy SP, BOS

25.345    Eno Sarris - Matt Dominguez 3B, HOU

25.346    Ray Guilfoyle - Brian Wilson RP, LAD

25.347    Drew Silva - Noah Syndergaard SP, NYM

25.348    Brett Talley - Kelvin Herrera RP, KC

25.349    Ryan Boyer - Mark Reynolds 3B, MIL

25.350    Nick Shlain - Byron Buxton OF, MIN

 

Best Pick: Matt Dominguez finished the year on a power surge and plays in a power park. He looked like everything Mike Moustakas was supposed to be.

 

Worst Pick: Zach McAllister doesn't have a single pitch that grades out as average by whiffs and grounders. If he pitched in the National League, at least he'd have that going for him.