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Average Draft Positions (ADP)

by Ryan Knaus
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

Average Draft Position (ADP) can be very helpful information to prepare for fantasy drafts. Knowing where players are being taken 'on average' on a given site can enable savvy owners to reach only for the guys they must have, while allowing commonly undervalued players to fall to them opportunistically. This column focuses specifically on the ADPs for ESPN and Yahoo.

 

If you draft with competitive and informed owners, the ADPs below may be unrealistic -- that's what all of our rankings, projections and 'expert' mock drafts are for. Even seasoned owners can be duped by ADPs, as a given player's draft positions change depending upon where they're ranked on a site. Unless you've specifically ranked players beforehand, the guys you see directly in front of you in the draft room get a significant edge, both practically and psychologically.

 

For instance, ESPN has Al Horford ranked No. 47 overall (8-cat), and his ADP across all live drafts is currently 47.9, which is a whopping 34.9 spots lower than his ADP in Yahoo! leagues (9-cat). Horford is of course ranked much higher in the default Yahoo draft room (No. 19), so the disparity in his rankings is not a surprise.

 

Note that while ESPN's pre-ranks are 8-cat and Yahoo's are 9-cat, the ADP values listed below encompass all live drafts to date, be they 8-cat, 9-cat or some less common format (auction drafts are excluded, naturally). If you're more interested in auction values, check out my column elsewhere in the Draft Guide.

 

You can follow me on Twitter @Knaus_RW.

 

Before launching into a comparison of the ADPs, here's a quick look at the availability of different positions (PG, SG, SF, PF and C) for the top-200 most-drafted players in ESPN. I provided a similar chart for Yahoo in a previous column, click here to compare and contrast the two.

 

ESPN

Image and video hosting by TinyPic

 

The Yahoo chart revealed that PG was the 'scarcest' position among the top-150, yet this ESPN chart unequivocally has PG as the most abundant position. The Yahoo chart was dealing with auction values but I doubt that's the reason for the large difference -- it's more likely that ESPN is simply more lenient with PG eligibility. The top-200 players drafted in ESPN leagues also include a paucity of SFs and Cs, who represent only 16% and 17% of the players selected, respectively.

 

With that info in the back of your mind, let's take a look at the overall ADPs! Note that there are 223 players listed because 23 players were unique to either ESPN or Yahoo. I have also included a column showing the absolute difference between the two sites' ADPs.

 

PLAYER

ESPN ADP

YAHOO ADP

DIFFERENCE

Anthony Davis, Nor

1.4

1.3

0.1

Stephen Curry, GS

2.1

2.2

0.1

James Harden, Hou

3.7

3.5

0.2

Kevin Durant, OKC

4.1

4.7

0.6

LeBron James, Cle

5.1

4.6

0.5

Russell Westbrook, OKC

5.5

6.4

0.9

DeMarcus Cousins, Sac

7.1

8.3

1.2

Chris Paul, LAC

8.3

6.5

1.8

Damian Lillard, Por

9.4

14.7

5.3

Klay Thompson, GS

11.5

13.3

1.8

John Wall, Wsh

11.8

16.4

4.6

Paul George, Ind

12.7

20.3

7.6

Kawhi Leonard, SA

12.9

9.7

3.2

Jimmy Butler, Chi

14.6

13.8

0.8

Blake Griffin, LAC

14.9

18.7

3.8

Carmelo Anthony, NY

15.7

12.3

3.4

Serge Ibaka, OKC

18.3

19.6

1.3

Rudy Gobert, Uta

18.6

19.8

1.2

LaMarcus Aldridge, SA

20.2

17.3

2.9

Marc Gasol, Mem

23.1

25.8

2.7

Paul Millsap, Atl

23.7

18.1

5.6

Gordon Hayward, Uta

24.4

40.2

15.8

Nikola Vucevic, Orl

24.9

22.7

2.2

Eric Bledsoe, Pho

26

33.7

7.7

Draymond Green, GS

26

27.7

1.7

Pau Gasol, Chi

28

30

2

Nerlens Noel, Phi

29.9

32.4

2.5

Kyle Lowry, Tor

30.4

28.3

2.1

Rudy Gay, Sac

31

40.5

9.5

Andre Drummond, Det

31.1

36.1

5

Kevin Love, Cle

32.2

23.6

8.6

Hassan Whiteside, Mia

32.6

32.9

0.3

Jeff Teague, Atl

32.9

42.1

9.2

Chris Bosh, Mia

34.4

37.7

3.3

Victor Oladipo, Orl

34.8

35.7

0.9

Kyrie Irving*, Cle

38.2

22.6

15.6

DeAndre Jordan, LAC

38.8

29.3

9.5

Brook Lopez, Bkn

39

32.5

6.5

Chandler Parsons, Dal

39

68.7

29.7

Monta Ellis, Ind

40.3

58.5

18.2

Nicolas Batum, Cha

41.9

62.2

20.3

Goran Dragic, Mia

43.3

53.1

9.8

Reggie Jackson, Det

44.5

73.1

28.6

Kenneth Faried, Den

45.9

55.1

9.2

Andrew Wiggins, Min

46.4

60.9

14.5

Al Horford, Atl

47.9

13

34.9

Derrick Favors, Uta

49.5

47.3

2.2

Tyreke Evans, Nor

50.1

79.5

29.4

Isaiah Thomas, Bos

50.7

75.4

24.7

Karl-Anthony Towns, Min

52.4

61.2

8.8

Jonas Valanciunas, Tor

54.2

63.9

9.7

Ty Lawson, Hou

54.6

76.1

21.5

Mike Conley, Mem

55.1

32.9

22.2

Al Jefferson, Cha

55.7

38

17.7

Brandon Knight, Pho

56

54.5

1.5

Dwight Howard, Hou

58

60.8

2.8

Greg Monroe, Mil

58.2

56.4

1.8

Danny Green, SA

58.4

58.2

0.2

Derrick Rose, Chi

58.6

75.2

16.6

Bradley Beal, Wsh

59.3

84.7

25.4

Jarrett Jack, Bkn

59.5

119

59.5

Kobe Bryant, LAL

61.2

65.7

4.5

Kemba Walker, Cha

61.8

61.4

0.4

Khris Middleton, Mil

62.6

70.6

8

DeMar DeRozan, Tor

63.5

62.5

1

Giannis Antetokounmpo, Mil

65.2

62.1

3.1

Tobias Harris, Orl

66.6

49.9

16.7

Dwyane Wade, Mia

68.4

65.6

2.8

Dirk Nowitzki, Dal

69.1

41.4

27.7

Tim Duncan, SA

69.6

48.2

21.4

Kyle Korver, Atl

70.5

54.5

16

DeMarre Carroll, Tor

72

61.3

10.7

J.J. Redick, LAC

72.4

83.9

11.5

Zach Randolph, Mem

73.3

65.6

7.7

George Hill, Ind

73.8

72.8

1

Danilo Gallinari, Den

75.7

70.3

5.4

Markieff Morris, Pho

77.5

95.8

18.3

Trevor Ariza, Hou

81.2

47.1

34.1

Ricky Rubio, Min

82.4

76.8

5.6

Robin Lopez, NY

84.1

94.6

10.5

David Lee, Bos

84.2

103.5

19.3

Gorgui Dieng, Min

84.4

99.5

15.1

Nikola Mirotic, Chi

84.4

74.8

9.6

Ryan Anderson, Nor

85.3

100.2

14.9

Michael Carter-Williams, Mil

85.3

80.8

4.5

C.J. McCollum, Por

85.3

120.9

35.6

Jahlil Okafor, Phi

86.5

89.1

2.6

Thaddeus Young, Bkn

88.9

86.9

2

Emmanuel Mudiay, Den

90.2

101

10.8

J.R. Smith, Cle

91

118

27

Wesley Matthews, Dal

91.6

77.6

14

Marcin Gortat, Wsh

92.5

56

36.5

Arron Afflalo, NY

92.9

132.7

39.8

Jordan Clarkson, LAL

95.1

125.6

30.5

Elfrid Payton, Orl

96

69.7

26.3

Enes Kanter, OKC

96.2

91.5

4.7

D'Angelo Russell, LAL

96.5

100.7

4.2

Robert Covington, Phi

97.9

88.9

9

Jrue Holiday, Nor

100.9

60.6

40.3

Jabari Parker, Mil

101.3

90.9

10.4

Terrence Jones, Hou

103.1

95.2

7.9

Tyson Chandler, Pho

104.3

75.1

29.2

Andre Iguodala, GS

104.6

122.5

17.9

Julius Randle, LAL

105

124.2

19.2

Eric Gordon, Nor

105.9

101.9

4

Deron Williams, Dal

106.8

86.5

20.3

Jamal Crawford, LAC

107.2

127.4

20.2

Paul Pierce, LAC

107.4

135.1

27.7

Joakim Noah, Chi

107.7

82.4

25.3

Roy Hibbert, LAL

108.1

101.4

6.7

P.J. Tucker, Pho

108.5

139

30.5

Rajon Rondo, Sac

109

103.5

5.5

Tony Parker, SA

109.4

116.3

6.9

Wilson Chandler, Den

109.7

108.1

1.6

Ed Davis, Por

109.9

126.4

16.5

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Det

111.9

119.2

7.3

Stanley Johnson, Det

112

131.2

19.2

Otto Porter Jr., Wsh

112.2

140

27.8

Jerian Grant, NY

112.3

160

47.7

Harrison Barnes, GS

112.3

121.6

9.3

Mo Williams, Cle

112.8

138.9

26.1

Zach LaVine, Min

112.9

137.3

24.4

Avery Bradley, Bos

113

126.3

13.3

Tristan Thompson, Cle

113.3

129.1

15.8

Trey Burke, Uta

115.1

128

12.9

Timofey Mozgov, Cle

115.3

116.9

1.6

Frank Kaminsky III, Cha

115.4

134.8

19.4

Jeff Green, Mem

115.9

135.1

19.2

Andrew Bogut, GS

116

113.1

2.9

Joe Johnson, Bkn

116.3

101.6

14.7

Justise Winslow, Mia

116.4

139.6

23.2

Willie Cauley-Stein, Sac

116.7

138

21.3

Louis Williams, LAL

116.7

133.8

17.1

Myles Turner, Ind

116.8

139.5

22.7

Amir Johnson, Bos

116.9

132.3

15.4

Luol Deng, Mia

116.9

109

7.9

Kevin Martin, Min

117.1

92.1

25

Kristaps Porzingis, NY

117.4

139.6

22.2

Jeremy Lin, Cha

117.9

135.6

17.7

Al-Farouq Aminu, Por

118

119.6

1.6

Jared Sullinger, Bos

118.4

115.1

3.3

Meyers Leonard, Por

118.5

104.6

13.9

Alec Burks, Uta

118.5

160

41.5

Mason Plumlee, Por

118.9

137.5

18.6

Marcus Smart, Bos

119.2

122.8

3.6

Josh Smith, LAC

119.2

133.2

14

Evan Turner, Bos

119.3

138.6

19.3

Gerald Henderson, Por

119.3

160

40.7

Darren Collison, Sac

119.4

133.3

13.9

Aaron Gordon, Orl

119.8

135.3

15.5

Jusuf Nurkic, Den

120.2

121.4

1.2

Brandon Jennings, Det

120.2

118.9

1.3

Ersan Ilyasova, Det

121

94.8

26.2

Bojan Bogdanovic, Bkn

122.4

160

37.6

Ben McLemore, Sac

122.6

137

14.4

Bismack Biyombo, Tor

140

160

20

Zaza Pachulia, Dal

140

160

20

Omer Asik, Nor

140

138.2

1.8

Anderson Varejao, Cle

140

136.8

3.2

Nikola Pekovic, Min

140

128.3

11.7

Alex Len, Pho

140

160

20

David West, SA

140

126.7

13.3

Taj Gibson, Chi

140

136.9

3.1

Jordan Hill, Ind

140

135.4

4.6

Donatas Motiejunas, Hou

140

160

20

John Henson, Mil

140

140

0

Marcus Morris, Det

140

160

20

Brandon Bass, LAL

140

135.8

4.2

Nene, Wsh

140

138.5

1.5

Mitch McGary, OKC

140

160

20

Derrick Williams, NY

140

160

20

Andrea Bargnani, Bkn

140

136.1

3.9

Dennis Schroder, Atl

140

140.2

0.2

Tony Wroten, Phi

140

160

20

Isaiah Canaan, Phi

140

132.1

7.9

Jose Calderon, NY

140

136.6

3.4

Patrick Beverley, Hou

140

160

20

Aaron Brooks, Chi

140

136.6

3.4

Mario Chalmers, Mia

140

136.3

3.7

Devin Harris, Dal

140

160

20

Raul Neto, Uta

140

160

20

Mario Hezonja, Orl

140

136.6

3.4

Corey Brewer, Hou

140

160

20

Doug McDermott, Chi

140

140.1

0.1

Matt Barnes, Mem

140

160

20

Gerald Green, Mia

140

137.8

2.2

Jeremy Lamb, Cha

140

160

20

Lance Stephenson, LAC

140

136.3

3.7

Manu Ginobili, SA

140

139.8

0.2

Anthony Morrow, OKC

140

160

20

Nick Young, LAL

140

133.8

6.2

Langston Galloway, NY

140

160

20

Rodney Hood, Uta

140

160

20

Tony Allen, Mem

140

127

13

Rodney Stuckey, Ind

140

139

1

Nik Stauskas, Phi

140

160

20

O.J. Mayo, Mil

140

136.7

3.3

Dion Waiters, OKC

140

139.2

0.8

Randy Foye, Den

140

160

20

Jae Crowder Bos - SF,PF

160

108.4

51.6

Patrick Patterson Tor - PF,C

160

118.4

41.6

Iman Shumpert Cle - SG,SF

160

126.8

33.2

Kevin Garnett Min - PF,C

160

128.8

31.2

Seth Curry Sac - PG

160

130.7

29.3

Boris Diaw SA - PF,C

160

131

29

Carlos Boozer LAL - PF,C

160

131.3

28.7

Amar'e Stoudemire Mia - PF,C

160

131.5

28.5

Vince Carter Mem - SG,SF

160

134.1

25.9

Marco Belinelli Sac - SG,SF

160

134.4

25.6

Devin Booker Pho - SG

160

134.5

25.5

Kelly Olynyk Bos - C

160

134.8

25.2

Terrence Ross Tor - SG,SF

160

134.8

25.2

Patty Mills SA - PG

160

135.2

24.8

Luis Scola Tor - PF,C

160

136.3

23.7

Tim Hardaway Jr. Atl - SG,SF

160

136.6

23.4

Steven Adams OKC - C

160

137.5

22.5

Channing Frye Orl - PF,C

160

137.7

22.3

Michael Kidd-Gilchrist Cha - SF

160

137.7

22.3

Cody Zeller Cha - PF,C

160

138

22

Cory Joseph Tor - PG

160

138.8

21.2

Nemanja Bjelica Min - PF

160

139.7

20.3

Tyler Zeller Bos - PF,C

160

139.8

20.2

Kyle O'Quinn NY - PF,C

160

140.3

19.7

 

Here's a quick list of players who stand out as overvalued or undervalued.

 

Overvalued:

Paul George has looked good this preseason, but there are much safer picks than PG at No. 12 in ESPN leagues.

LeBron James was No. 8 in 8-cat in my rankings, and lower in 9-cat, yet he remains a popular No. 5 pick in both ESPN and Yahoo.

LaMarcus Aldridge at No. 20 is overly optimistic.

Chandler Parsons' knee worries me too much to approach him at 39 in ESPN leagues.

I'm clearly not as high on Andrew Wiggins as owners in ESPN (46) and Yahoo (61).

Ty Lawson's new role in Houston has him considerably lower in my ranks than his current 55/76 valuation.

Bradley Beal has never been a top-75 player in 8-cat or 9-cat, yet he's at 59 in ESPN leagues.

Hope springs eternal for Derrick Rose admirers, apparently.

David Lee is favored to start in Boston but the cluster of talented big men, and his lack of defensive stats, will keep me away from him at 84/104.

Emmanuel Mudiay's percentages and turnovers are too formidable for a 101 valuation in Yahoo.

Frank Kaminsky (115) is being consistently drafted ahead of Meyers Leonard (119) in ESPN leagues?

Other overvalued guys: Justise Winslow, Gerald Henderson, Arron Afflalo, Julius Randle...

 

Undervalued:

Rudy Gobert should be closer to the first round than 18/20, and Draymond Green should easily beat his ADP in the 26/27 range.

Kyle Lowry is a great target late in the second round, yet he's going mid-third-round on both sites.

These ADPs blend roto and H2H leagues, so it's hard to be too upset with DeAndre Jordan in the 30/40 range, but I'd happily punt with him in the second round in H2H.

Nicolas Batum is criminally underrated at 42/62.

Ditto for Greg Monroe at 58/56, who should be a total beast for Milwaukee.

If the stars align, Reggie Jackson could blow away his Yahoo! ADP of 73.

I'll take DeMarre Carroll (72/61) over DeMar DeRozan (63/63) in every draft.

C.J. McCollum at 121 in Yahoo? Clearly some owners haven't been reading Mike Gallagher's work.

P.J. Tucker is a boring but steady value pick at 109/139.

Roy Hibbert is the best of a mediocre lot of centers if available at 108/101.

Darren Collison's potential is too great, even in a reserve role, for him to be falling to 119/133.

Other undervalued guys: Kyle O'Quinn, Nemanja Bjelica, Rodney Hood, Alex Len, Aaron Gordon, Alec Burks, Al-Farouq Aminu...

 

Peruse the list at your leisure, and I hope it helps you dominate your draft! If you have any questions or insights, find me on Twitter @Knaus_RW.

Ryan Knaus
Despite residing in Portland, Maine, Ryan Knaus remains a heartbroken Sonics fan who longs for the days of Shawn Kemp and Xavier McDaniel. He has written for Rotoworld.com since 2007. You can follow him on Twitter.