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Over-Under Game: GoodKnight

by Ethan Norof
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

OVER

 

Rajon Rondo, PG Chicago Bulls (88%)

 

Even in favorable eight-category formats where turnovers aren’t tracked, Rondo simply doesn’t have the chance to put up the same kind of numbers he did last year in his new surroundings. He’s the clear third fiddle on a roster that includes Jimmy Butler and Dwyane Wade, and it shouldn’t be surprising that he’s struggling to produce as a result. He’s had just one game with double-digit assists, is posting a very mediocre 5.0 dimes per game over his last five and carries uninspiring averages for the entirety of the young campaign: 7.7 points, 4.6 boards, 6.7 assists and 1.3 steals (2.9 TO) on 37.7% shooting.

 

Marvin Williams, F Charlotte Hornets (70%)

 

Williams was on my avoid list after re-signing in Charlotte on a big money deal, and everything we’ve seen from him so far this season validates that line of thought. Perhaps he’s trying too hard to prove he’s worth his new contract since he’s actually shooting it more now (10.5 FGA) than he did last season (9.2 FGA), but his efficiency is down across the board and currently has more total shots attempted (63) than points scored (58). It’s going to be awfully hard for Starvin’ Marvin’ to return the type of value he did last year so long as Michael Kidd-Gilchrist remains healthy and Frank Kaminsky stays involved.  

 

Zach Randolph, F/C Memphis Grizzlies (78%)

 

I have significantly more tolerance for investing a roster spot in Z-Bo if you play in a points league, but he’s just not cutting the mustard elsewhere. The big man does absolutely nothing defensively, is not a candidate to play 30-plus minutes with any kind of regularity and his game translates to the value of an undrafted free agent in standard leagues. I wouldn’t hesitate in cutting him loose for a player with more upside and room to grow.

 

Brandon Knight, G Phoenix Suns (81%)

 

Knight looks like the latest victim of Phoenix’s failure to learn from its previous three-guard experiments, not a player who is going to contend for Sixth Man of the Year. The former lottery pick is not contributing defensive stats in the box score, has more games shooting below 40% than above and isn’t doing enough in any one category—even points—to be considered a specialist. This is a mid-round sale about to hit the clearance bin in short order, and even then Knight’s stock may remain on the shelf for a while.

 

Kenneth Faried, F/C Denver Nuggets (76%)

 

Unless Faried is shipped out of Denver to a team with a clear and obvious need at power forward, it’s hard to see how he’s going to accrue any kind of real and sustainable fantasy value. The minutes simply aren’t there and the competition definitely is, so don’t be afraid to move on from a contributor that the Nuggets seemingly already have.

 

 

UNDER

 

E’Twaun Moore, G New Orleans Pelicans (16%)

 

I’m skeptical at best that Archie Goodwin is suddenly going to cut into E’Twaun Moore’s role, especially after the Pelicans paid the latter more than $20M this offseason and simply took a flier on the former when he was unexpectedly let go by his former employer. Moore entered Tuesday’s game with averages of 14.2 points, 2.8 assists and a 3-pointer on 28-of-58 shooting (48.3%) over his last five contests, but keep in mind Jrue Holiday’s return will only further cloud this picture.

 

Wilson Chandler, G/F Denver Nuggets (28%)

 

Despite the fact that he’s currently dealing with a hamstring injury, Chandler has really been playing a nice brand of basketball to launch the 2016-17 season. After a lost year in which the veteran didn’t even touch the floor, Chandler has been very involved—even in a crowded frontcourt—and Mike Malone has shown no interest in moving away from that trend. He’s not doing much across the stat sheet, but he’s doing enough to currently serve as an asset in 12-team for mats.

 

Malcolm Brogdon, SG Milwaukee Bucks (6%)

 

Brogdon is more of a stash in deeper 12-team formats or 14-plus team leagues, but he’s had a steady role in the rotation since Day 1 and that should only grow as he gets more comfortable and as Milwaukee’s season progresses. He has the capability to rack up money stats, and it wouldn’t be surprising to see his opportunities increase as we move forward in the absence of Khris Middleton (hamstring). Tony Snell is not the answer.

 

Mirza Teletovic, F Milwaukee Bucks (14%)

 

With back-to-back games of at least 20 minutes and 10 (!) triples made during that stretch, it’s time to just keep an eye on Teletovic again. As a player that has the potential to serve as a bargain bin three-point specialist, Teletovic’s involvement can be safely monitored from the waiver wire for now.

 

Domantas Sabonis, PF Oklahoma City Thunder (8%)

 

Since bottoming out against the Lakers (zero points, zero rebounds, seven minutes) to end October, the rookie has looked like a different player since we flipped the calendar to November. In the four games OKC has played this month, Sabonis is averaging a respectable 10.0 points, 5.8 rebounds, 0.5 steals, 0.5 blocks and 1.8 3-pointers on 43.2% from the field. He’s coming off the best game of his young career (15 points, 10 rebounds, four 3PM) and his minutes are trending in the right direction. Don’t sleep on the fact that he’s launched 34 shots (making 14 of them) in his last three games, either. 

Ethan Norof
Follow Ethan Norof on Twitter @Ethan_Norof for more fantasy basketball analysis, advice and all things Los Angeles Lakers.