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Over & Under: Mejri's Miracle

by Ethan Norof
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

OVER

 

Ersan Ilyasova, F Orlando Magic (58%): Over his last 18 games, Ghostface Ilya is averaging 8.1 points, 5.6 boards and 0.8 3PM on 39.8% shooting. He does not belong on any fantasy roster.

 

Marcus Smart, G Boston Celtics (12%): At a time when fantasy GMs need consistent production, Smart has shot 28.6% in March, including a woeful 17.0% from distance. Right now, Smart is hurting your team, not helping. 

 

Danny Green, G/F San Antonio Spurs (71%): Cool, Green (barely) contributes across the stat sheet. I’ll gladly let someone else deal with the headache. 

 

Tim Duncan, F/C San Antonio Spurs (86%): The Big Fundamental has only one flaw: He is no longer a fantasy option.   

 

Ish Smith, PG Philadelphia 76ers (65%): I love Ish, but Smith isn’t a 3-point or steals specialist, and his recent efficiency—having made just 20 of his last 72 shots (27.8%)—is nearly impossible to stomach given his volume of shots at this stage of the game.

 

UNDER

 

Salah Mejri, C Dallas Mavericks (17%): It’s Mejri’s Miracle, where Salah has come out of nowhere and looks very ready to play the role of difference-maker the rest of the way. The Mavs won’t have Chandler Parsons (knee), Zaza Pachulia is tiring and Mejri should play over David Lee. In his first two starts, the Tunisian rookie is averaging 13.5 points, 13.0 rebounds, 1.0 steals and 3.5 blocks on 55.6% shooting.

 

Thabo Sefolosha, G/F Atlanta Hawks (6%): With averages of 7.1 points, 5.6 boards, 1.0 steals, 0.8 blocks and 0.9 triples on 53.6% shooting over his last 12 games, Sefolosha makes for a good replacement for those still clinging onto the aforementioned Danny Green

 

Tim Hardaway Jr., G/F Atlanta Hawks (10%): Hardaway has worked hard for this opportunity, and his patience has recently turned into production. With Kent Bazemore again struggling and Kyle Korver’s inconsistency issues, Hardaway’s minutes in the mid-20s should continue. Since breaking out for a season-high 21 points one week ago, the former Knick is averaging 17.8 points, 3.3 treys, a steal and just 0.8 turnovers on 58.5% shooting.

 

Sean Kilpatrick, SG Brooklyn Nets (12%): I like Kilpatrick for points and threes, but as evidenced by Thursday’s stunning win over Cleveland (10 points, 4-of-13 shooting), he’s similar to having Michael Beasley when he doesn’t produce.  

 

Toney Douglas, G New Orleans Pelicans (24%): Decimated doesn’t even describe the Pelicans anymore, and Douglas is going to keep playing a larger than life role as a result. Including Thursday’s loss to the Pacers, Douglas is averaging 14.5 points, 5.0 rebounds, 5.0 assists, 1.8 steals and 2.0 3-pointers over his last six games. 

Ethan Norof
Follow Ethan Norof on Twitter @Ethan_Norof for more fantasy basketball analysis, advice and all things Los Angeles Lakers.