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Columns - Magazine

Dynasty Hot Sheet: Week 3

by Ryan McDowell
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

The Hot Sheet looks at which top players are excelling, and which ones are struggling on a week-to-week basis. Following the latest on-field trends can make our weekly lineup decisions easier while allowing dynasty players to always understand the current value of players around the league.

 

The value of the players mentioned on the Hot List is rising, thanks to their performance on the field. On the other hand, Cold List players are struggling and losing dynasty value as a result.

 

Hot List:


1)  Patrick Mahomes, QB KC

Recent Weekly Fantasy Finishes:

Week One: QB4

Week Two: QB2

Second-year Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes is the talk of the NFL after his white-hot start to the season. As you’ve heard by now, he’s the first quarterback to ever throw for ten touchdowns in the first two weeks, putting him on pace to break the single-season record. The real question dynasty owners face is how to value Mahomes in comparison to the other top quarterbacks. Don’t be afraid to rank him as the dynasty QB1 after just two games this season.

 

2)  Chris Thompson, RB WAS

Recent Weekly Fantasy Finishes:

Week One: RB5

Week Two: RB6

In 2017, Redskins pass-catching back Chris Thompson was on a torrid pace through the early part of the season before a broken leg ended his year. He played just ten games, but that was enough to give him an RB28 finish for the year. Through two games this season, he’s picked up right where he left off, with a pair of top-six weekly finishes. Thompson is among the six running backs on pace to break the single-season record for receptions by a running back. Despite the numbers he’s putting up, he’s still being underrated, which makes him the ideal trade target for contenders.

 

3)  Kenny Golladay, WR DET

Recent Weekly Fantasy Finishes:

Week One: WR17

Week Two: WR16

Entering his second season, dynasty players seemingly loved everything about Lions WR Kenny Golladay. The only doubt that kept his value in check was the presence of veteran starters Golden Tate and Marvin Jones, both top 12 fantasy scorers a year ago. Two weeks in, the young Golladay is holding his own. He’s played 93% of the snaps and is second in the LEAGUE with 106 routes run, per Pro Football Focus. Golladay was outside of the top 50 wideouts in pre-season dynasty ADP, making him one of the biggest risers of the young season. 

 

4)  Keelan Cole, WR JAX

Recent Weekly Fantasy Finishes:

Week One: WR51

Week Two: WR7

Although second-year WR Keelan Cole had a slow start to the season, as did the entire Jaguars offense, he still led the team in receiving. In Week Two, with starting RB Leonard Fournette out, the team changed their scheme and Cole exploded for a 7/116/1 line. It is fair to question if the Jags will simply go back to the conservative offense once Fournette returns to the lineup, but Cole is still a young receiver and has shown up his upside. The best part is he is still very cheap in dynasty leagues. 

 

5)  John Brown, WR BAL

Recent Weekly Fantasy Finishes:

Week One: WR37

Week Two: WR19

The Ravens completely retooled their receiving corps over the offseason, which was much needed. The signed veteran WRs Michael Crabtree, Willie Snead, and John Brown. It seems that dynasty owners had a blind spot regarding Brown, who had flashed talent but also dealt with multiple injuries and health issues during his time in Arizona. Although Crabtree has seen more targets and played more snaps, it is Brown who has the fantasy production including touchdowns in each of his first two games. 

 

Other Players Considered: Ryan Fitzpatrick, Christian McCaffrey, James Conner, Melvin Gordon, Phillip Lindsay, Todd Gurley, A.J. Green, Adam Thielen, Stefon Diggs, Juju Smith-Schuster, Michael Thomas, Will Fuller, Will Dissly, Tyler Boyd

 

Cold List: 

 

1)   David Johnson, RB ARZ

 

Recent Weekly Fantasy Finishes:

Week One: RB14

Week Two: RB44

One of…no, the biggest disappointment of the young season is the performance of Cardinals RB David Johnson. After missing the majority of the 2017 season, fantasy players couldn’t wait to see Johnson back on the field, with memories of his dominant 2016 performance still lingering in their minds. Johnson’s issues are mostly not his own as he’s simply not being used by this new coaching staff as he was previously. The team has now vowed to use Johnson more as a pass-catcher, but until then, his dynasty value tumbles.

 

2)   Dak Prescott, QB DAL

 

Recent Weekly Fantasy Finishes:

Week One: QB25

Week Two: QB21

We all pretty much saw this coming. The Cowboys dumped WR Dez Bryant and TE Jason Witten retired, making a poor pass-catching group even worse. While Dallas added some options for QB Dak Prescott, none of those players are true impact players. Although Prescott has finished as a top ten fantasy QB in each of his first two seasons, he’s now gone five consecutive games finishing outside of the top 15 scorers. With no real weapons to throw to, Prescott has almost no chance to repeat his QB1 finish. 

 

 

3)   LeSean McCoy, RB BUF

 

Recent Weekly Fantasy Finishes:

Week One: RB64

Week Two: RB26

Things just aren’t going LeSean McCoy’s way. The Bills are terrible, and McCoy has found little running room. Through two games, McCoy has just 89 total yards and was forced to leave the team’s Week Two game with a rib injury that has left his Week Three availability in doubt. To make matters much, much worse, the accusations of abuse are piling up against McCoy from former girlfriends and the mother of his child. This situation is very messy, but it’s not out of the question that McCoy could be suspended at some point this season. He has essentially no dynasty trade value at this point. 

 

 

4)   Tarik Cohen, RB CHI

Recent Weekly Fantasy Finishes:

Week One: RB42

Week Two: RB57

A year ago, RB Tarik Cohen was one of the huge surprises of the 2017 season and quickly gained dynasty value. Although his usage was not consistent last year, his dynasty value held steady. When the Bears made a coaching change this offseason, dynasty players began to chase Cohen, with visions of him becoming the next Tyreek Hill. Instead, Cohen has been a clear backup to RB Jordan Howard, who is suddenly quite involved in the passing game. If you still love the talent, now would be a good time to send a buy-low offer. 

 

 

5)   Jamaal Williams, RB GB

 

Recent Weekly Fantasy Finishes:

Week One: RB55

Week Two: RB28

With RB Aaron Jones serving a two-game suspension, Jamaal Williams had the perfect chance to tighten his grip on the Packers starting running back job. Instead, Williams has averaged 53 rushing yards per game and has yet to crack the top 25 weekly fantasy scorers. Williams is known as a solid pass-blocker and considering QB Aaron Rodgers iffy knee, Williams will still see plenty of time on the field, but Jones should quickly surpass him as a fantasy option. 

 

  

Other Players Considered: Alex Collins, Demaryius Thomas, Mitchell Trubisky, Chris Carson, DeVante Parker, Eli Manning, Michael Gallup, Jordy Nelson, Sam Bradford, Antonio Gates, Peyton Barber, Jamison Crowder, Marcus Mariota, Rishard Matthews, John Ross