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Columns - Magazine

Dynasty Mock Draft

by Ryan McDowell
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

As fantasy football continues to grow exponentially, die-hard enthusiasts are always looking for a new and unique challenge. Dynasty leagues offer just that as they provide the hard-core player the ability to manage their team throughout the entire year since they get the luxury of retaining their entire roster each season. These leagues are not for the faint of heart, as they require a high level of skill and strategy. Regardless, dynasty leagues continue to be the fastest growing segment of fantasy football as they provide a year-round opportunity for owners to stay connected to the game since there truly is no off-season.

 

The writers at dynastyleaguefootball.com (DLF) were asked to take part in a mock draft to be showcased here exclusively within the Rotoworld Draft Guide. DLF finished this mock draft in early July to give you a glimpse at the most recent evaluation of the ever-changing dynasty stock market.

 

Remember, this is a dynasty league draft, so there is a great emphasis placed on youth and upside, while aging veterans aren’t valued as highly as they would be in a re-draft format. After all, an initial dynasty draft is intended to set teams up to be competitive not just for this year, but for many years to come.

 

Before getting into the draft analysis, you need to understand the league’s starting roster requirements and scoring format. The 12-team PPR (one point per reception) league was set up as follows:

 

Starting Lineups

 

1 Quarterback

1 Running Back

1 Wide Receiver

1 Tight End

4 “Flex” position for a RB, TE or WR

20 Total Roster Positions

 

You’ll notice a few things here that I want to explain further. First, there are no team defenses or kickers included. There are two reasons for this. Many leagues are moving away from using these positions in dynasty leagues. The kicker position has proven to be almost impossible to predict on a weekly basis, while other league are either moving to individual defensive players, or away from the defensive side of the ball altogether.

 

You’ll also notice that there is only one starting player required at the RB, WR and TE positions. This allows participants the flexibility to build their team however they like, focusing on RB, WR or a balanced approach.

 

Finally, the 20 total roster spots may seem like a lot, but this actually represents a small number of roster spots for the typical dynasty league. This is another big change from seasonal leagues and an important one as it allows dynasty owners the time and flexibility to wait on younger players who might not be producing yet.

 

Scoring

 

This league rewards one point per reception, four points per passing touchdown and six points per rushing or receiving touchdown

 

As you can see, the format chosen was one of the most common in order to give you an accurate idea of dynasty player valuation. Before joining any dynasty league, make sure you do your due diligence and really evaluate your new league’s lineups and scoring system. Failure to do so will put your team at a disadvantage early on and one that will be very difficult to recover from.

 

With all that being said, here are the round-by-round results from DLF’s recent dynasty mock draft.

 

ROUND ONE

 

1.01 – Odell Beckham, WR NYG

1.02 – Julio Jones, WR ATL

1.03 – Dez Bryant, WR DAL

1.04 – AJ Green, WR CIN

1.05 – Rob Gronkowski, TE NE

1.06 – Mike Evans, WR TB

1.07 – Antonio Brown, WR PIT

1.08 – Le’Veon Bell, RB PIT

1.09 – Andrew Luck, QB IND

1.10 – Alshon Jeffery, WR CHI

1.11 – Calvin Johnson, WR DET

1.12 – Eddie Lacy, RB GB

 

Round One Review

 

Every year that passes, the trend of building around wide receivers becomes more and more popular and that is shown here as two-thirds of the first round was made up of wideouts. One way this year is unique though is the parity throughout the top tier. There are as many as nine players who could make a strong case to be the top overall selection in a startup dynasty draft. With this in mind, the later picks in the opening round offer better value.

 

Best Value in Round One

 

Considering the parity I mentioned, choosing the one player who offers the best value is a difficult task. If pressed though, I would opt for Steelers’ receiver Antonio Brown, who led all receivers in fantasy scoring in 2014 and is also the top scorer when combining the 2013 and 2014 seasons. He lacks the size of some of the other elite receivers in the first round, but his consistency trumps height and in the latter half of the first round, he is an excellent choice to build a team around.

 

Biggest Risk in Round One

 

There are no reaches to be found in the first round, but there are some players that carry more risk than others. You can point to the injury history of Rob Gronkowski or the relative lack of experience of Mike Evans or Odell Beckham, but the player that causes me the most concern is Packers’ running back Eddie Lacy. I’ve already discussed the popular trend of building around receivers, a strategy I strongly believe in, and when also considering the concussion history of Lacy, he would be a player I would avoid in round one.

 

ROUND TWO

 

2.01 – Jamaal Charles, RB KC

2.02 – Demaryius Thomas, WR DEN

2.03 – DeAndre Hopkins, WR HOU

2.04 – Randall Cobb, WR GB

2.05 – Todd Gurley, RB STL

2.06 – DeMarco Murray, RB PHI

2.07 – Sammy Watkins, WR BUF

2.08 – Jordy Nelson, WR GB

2.09 – Amari Cooper, WR OAK

2.10 – Jeremy Hill, RB CIN

2.11 – TY Hilton, WR IND

2.12 – Brandin Cooks, WR NO

 

Round Two Review

 

While the focus was on receivers in the first round, the second round saw some running backs starting to come off the board including the first rookie, Rams’ back Todd Gurley. In many ways, the second round can be just as crucial as the opening round, especially when there is depth like we are enjoying this year. You’ll also notice the beginning of a focus on acquiring youth. Five of the twelve players chosen this round are either rookies or sophomores. Along with the trend of building around receivers, building around youth and ignoring older veterans has also become a popular strategy.

 

Best Value in Round Two

 

There have been some concerns about Broncos’ wide receiver Demaryius Thomas and his prospects after quarterback Peyton Manning calls it a career, but I believe that line of thinking is being overstated. After all, Thomas broke out playing alongside Tim Tebow as his quarterback. The Broncos will be facing some major questions once Manning decides to move on, but Thomas’ talent should not be among them.

 

Biggest Risk in Round Two

 

Along with Gurley, the other top ranked rookie this year, Amari Cooper, also came off the board in the second round. There is always some element of risk when relying on rookies in a startup draft, but the knee injury suffered by Gurley and the competition he faces in Tre Mason magnify the risk he carries. Don’t get me wrong. I’m not advocating for Gurley to be selected later in the draft. The second round is the traditional spot where top rookies will be selected and if you don’t take him, someone else will, but it’s not a pick without risk.

 

ROUND THREE

 

3.01 – Jordan Matthews, WR PHI

3.02 – Aaron Rodgers, QB GB

3.03 – Jimmy Graham, TE SEA

3.04 – Melvin Gordon, RB SD

3.05 – Adrian Peterson, RB MIN

3.06 – Kevin White, WR CHI

3.07 – Keenan Allen, WR SD

3.08 – DeVante Parker, WR MIA

3.09 – Kelvin Benjamin, WR CAR

3.10 – LeSean McCoy, RB BUF

3.11 – Allen Robinson, WR JAX

3.12 – Emmanuel Sanders, WR DEN

 

Round Three Review

 

We continue to see the early rounds dominated by wide receivers. Through the third round, there have been 36 picks made and 23 of those, over 60%, have been wideouts. While many teams are focusing on acquiring youth, it’s also clear that others are using a “win now” strategy and collecting proven and reliable veterans.

 

Best Value in Round Three

 

I generally support the late round quarterback strategy, but considering Luck is now a consensus first round dynasty startup pick, Packers’ signal caller Aaron Rodgers is an excellent value in the early third round. Rodgers is widely considered the best quarterback in the game and should have several years left as a top fantasy producer. Grabbing Rodgers (or Luck) early in the draft allows that owner to focus on all other positions in the subsequent rounds since the quarterback position is set.

 

Biggest Risk in Round Three

 

The deeper we go in each draft, the riskier players become. This is common sense, but also makes selecting a player a challenging task. In this round, the player that has me concerned is coming off of one of the best seasons by a rookie receiver in NFL history, but still feels risky as a top end fantasy asset. Kelvin Benjamin had over 1,000 receiving yards and nine touchdowns, a stat line that only ten receivers in NFL history have accomplished, though three of those occurred last year. Benjamin also showed up to camp overweight and still has questionable hands. In the third round, I’m looking for someone more reliable.

 

ROUND FOUR

 

4.01 – Golden Tate, WR DET

4.02 – Lamar Miller, RB MIA

4.03 – Travis Kelce, TE KC

4.04 – Matt Forte, RB CHI

4.05 – Marshawn Lynch, RB SEA

4.06 – CJ Anderson, RB DEN

4.07 – Martavis Bryant, WR PIT

4.08 – Russell Wilson, QB SEA

4.09 – TJ Yeldon, RB JAX

4.10 – Nelson Agholor, WR PHI

4.11 – Brandon Marshall, WR NYJ

4.12 – Davante Adams, WR GB

 

Round Four Review

 

Here, we begin to see a little diversification among positions as quarterbacks, running backs and even a tight end come off the board. There was also a bit more reliance on the veterans during this round as compared to the earlier rounds, a sign that the well runs dry for teams chasing youth.

 

Best Value in Round Four

 

While there is certainly some risk that he could be a complete bust, I like the value of rookie running back TJ Yeldon late in the fourth round. He was a beast through much of his college career and should be the every down back for the Jaguars, a young up and coming offense.  With a big rookie year, Yeldon could see his value rise dramatically by this time next year.

 

Biggest Risk in Round Four

 

Again, there are many types of risks found here in round four, including older players who may not have much fantasy relevance left beyond the 2015 season, along with some players who have injury concerns. One player who carries a different kind of risk though is Packers’ receiver Davante Adams. Adams is a talented player, but the Packers’ depth at receiver could leave Adams on the outside looking in for the next year or two. I think it’s important to have a long-term plan in dynasty and Adams could be part of that, but this price tag is too costly at this time.

 

ROUND FIVE

 

5.01 – Carlos Hyde, RB SF

5.02 – Arian Foster, RB HOU

5.03 – Jarvis Landry, WR MIA

5.04 – Ameer Abdullah, RB DET

5.05 – Giovani Bernard, RB CIN

5.06 – Dorial Green-Beckham, WR TEN

5.07 – DeSean Jackson, WR WAS

5.08 – Matt Ryan, QB ATL

5.09 – Alfred Morris, RB WAS

5.10 – Breshad Perriman, WR BAL

5.11 – Jerick McKinnon, RB MIN

5.12 – Greg Olsen, TE CAR

 

Round Five Review

 

By round five, the strategy of most teams is now clear. While some teams are collecting wide receivers and have as many as four through five rounds, others are working to fill their starting lineup before adding positional depth.

 

Best Value in Round Five

 

I am not quite sold on 49ers running back Carlos Hyde as a fantasy star, but I think his early fifth round price tag is very fair, especially considering some of the other backs who went ahead of Hyde who are relatively unproven as well. With Frank Gore now playing for Indianapolis, Hyde should get his shot to prove he can be the every down back and the team still lacks receiving weapons, meaning they should lean heavily on the running game.

 

Biggest Risk in Round Five

 

I love the talent of Titans’ rookie receiver Dorial Green-Beckham. Early in his Missouri career, I considered him the best NFL/fantasy prospect in college, but some off-field concerns, a year away from game action and a poor NFL landing spot has me reevaluating his dynasty value. I’d love to add him to my dynasty roster as a player to stash and see what develops, but that does not equate to a fifth round startup value.

 

ROUND SIX

 

6.01 – Jeremy Maclin, WR KC

6.02 – Eric Decker, WR NYJ

6.03 – Cam Newton, QB CAR

6.04 – Charles Johnson, WR MIN

6.05 – John Brown, WR ARI

6.06 – Donte Moncrief, WR IND

6.07 – Michael Floyd, WR ARI

6.08 – Julian Edelman, WR NE

6.09 – Tevin Coleman, RB ATL

6.10 – Josh Gordon, WR CLE

6.11 – Torrey Smith, WR SF

6.12 – Teddy Bridgewater, QB MIN

 

Round Six Review

 

I see this round as a large drop off in talent and fantasy potential compared to the previous rounds. This means dynasty owners are now required to take more chances as they try their best to stick to their respective strategies and form a competitive team.

 

Best Value in Round Six

 

Many of the players selected in this round are largely unproven, but there is one player who seems like a relative sure thing and that is quarterback Cam Newton. Newton has plenty of detractors and although he had his worst fantasy season of his career in 2014, up until then he hadn’t finished outside of the top five quarterbacks in any year. With his rushing numbers taking a hit, Newton slid outside of QB1 range, but at his young age and with an improving offense, it’s fair to expect a bounce back year in 2015.

 

Biggest Risk in Round Six

 

I’m tempted to choose Josh Gordon as the biggest risk, and he is certainly a risky investment in dynasty leagues, but he also has WR1 upside, which he has proven. One player who has yet to prove anything in the NFL is Donte Moncrief, and he might not get the chance to show what he’s got this year either. With the loss of Reggie Wayne and Hakeem Nicks, many expected Moncrief to make the leap. Later in the off-season though, the Colts also acquired Duron Carter, Andre Johnson and first round rookie pick Phillip Dorsett. There is obviously a chance for Moncrief to overcome this crowded depth chart, but it makes things much more difficult.

 

ROUND SEVEN

 

7.01 – Duke Johnson, RB CLE

7.02 – Mark Ingram, RB NO

7.03 – CJ Spiller, RB NO

7.04 – Phillip Dorsett, WR IND

7.05 – Larry Fitzgerald, WR ARI

7.06 – Cody Latimer, WR DEN

7.07 – Andre Ellington, RB ARI

7.08 – Andre Johnson, WR IND

7.09 – Latavius Murray, RB OAK

7.10 – Isaiah Crowell, RB CLE

7.11 – Julius Thomas, TE JAX

7.12 – Ryan Tannehill, QB MIA

 

Round Seven Review

 

Looking at round seven, one thing that jumps out to me are the teammates being drafted, and therefore, valued, so closely to each other. Here, we have CJ Spiller and Mark Ingram going back to back early in the round. Many are expecting a rebound from Spiller in a new offense, while Ingram finally showed what he’s capable of during a late season surge in 2014. There’s also a pair of previously mentioned Colts’ receivers Dorsett and Johnson, both offering nice value being drafted after Moncrief. Finally, we have a pair of Browns’ running backs, rookie Duke Johnson and second year man Isaiah Crowell. It remains to be seen how the Browns’ backfield will shake out, but I like the value of both players at this point.

 

Best Value in Round Seven

 

With so many owners taking a chance on second or third tier running backs in this round, tight end Julius Thomas slipped through to the end of the round. Just a season ago, Thomas was considered a top three tight end and was being drafted as early as the third round. Moving from the Broncos and Peyton Manning to the Jaguars and Blake Bortles will be a big change for Thomas, but I think Thomas could see just as many targets as he had in the Mile High City and should regain much of his dynasty value.

 

Biggest Risk in Round Seven

 

When a player sits on the sidelines for nearly the entire year and can’t find a way to get on the field, I have concerns. This is the case for Broncos’ receiver Cody Latimer, who only saw four targets during his entire rookie season. With Wes Welker and Julius Thomas out of the picture, Latimer should see a bigger role in the offense, but I question if that will be enough for him to earn his value in the seventh round.

 

ROUND EIGHT

 

8.01 – Shane Vereen, RB NYG

8.02 – Tre Mason, RB STL

8.03 – Devin Funchess, WR CAR

8.04 – Austin Seferian-Jenkins, TE TB

8.05 – Zach Ertz, TE PHI

8.06 – Drew Brees, QB NO

8.07 – Brian Quick, WR STL

8.08 – Joseph Randle, RB DAL

8.09 – Justin Forsett, RB BAL

8.10 – Jay Ajayi, RB MIA

8.11 – Kendall Wright, WR TEN

8.12 – Tyler Eifert, TE CIN

 

Round Eight Review

 

Round eight included a small tight end run with three pass catching tight ends coming off the board, Austin Seferian-Jenkins, Zach Ertz and Tyler Eifert. Each of these is in that deep second tier of tight ends. The depth of the position and that second tier specifically allows dynasty owners to wait until the eighth round, or even later, to grab their starting tight end. Much like the depth of the quarterback position, this means many owners will enter the tenth round with only running backs and wide receivers on their roster.

 

Best Value in Round Eight

 

There might be a bit of bias on display here, but I love the value of Seferian-Jenkins in the eighth round. While he did not have a breakout rookie season, as few tight ends do, he was solid in his debut with average at best quarterback play and competition for targets. That competition won’t go away as he’s playing alongside Mike Evans and Vincent Jackson, but the quarterback play should be improved with top overall pick Jameis Winston added to the fold. I would not be surprised at all to see ASJ make the leap to the top five tight end group.

 

Biggest Risk in Round Eight

 

One of the storylines of the off-season in the NFL and especially among fantasy football fanatics is the Dallas Cowboys’ running back situation. With DeMarco Murray gone, who would get the chance to run behind the best offensive line in the league? For now, it appears the answer to that question will be Joseph Randle and that expectation has moved him from a waiver wire player a year ago into the top eight rounds. I’m not sold Randle will be the man the Cowboys turn to, or that he can enjoy even a fraction of the success we saw from Murray.

 

ROUND NINE

 

9.01 – Kenny Stills, WR MIA

9.02 – Doug Martin, RB TB

9.03 – Roddy White, WR ATL

9.04 – Jonathan Stewart, RB CAR

9.05 – Mike Wallace, WR MIN

9.06 – Jameis Winston, QB TB

9.07 – Devin Smith, WR NYJ

9.08 – Victor Cruz, WR NYG

9.09 – Jaelen Strong, WR HOU

9.10 – Martellus Bennett, TE CHI

9.11 – Pierre Garcon, WR WAS

9.12 – Frank Gore, RB IND

 

Round Nine Review

 

There’s another nice mix of established veterans and unproven newcomers in round nine and at least for this round, I’d have to side with the old guard. Roddy White, Jonathan Stewart, Mike Wallace, Martellus Bennett and Frank Gore should all be fantasy starters while others could be waiting multiple years to see if their young players prove their worth.

 

Best Value in Round Nine

 

Based on that review, I’m obviously going with a veteran and it’s a difficult choice, but I really like the value represented by Stewart at this point in the draft. A rollercoaster career of highlight reel runs followed by nagging injuries have forced him from the lineup too often. Not only have the injuries been nagging to Stewart and his fantasy owners, but the presence of DeAngelo Williams as the constant competition was another factor diminishing Stewart’s value. Williams is now gone and Stewart should have the starting job and lion’s share of carries on lockdown. I can’t wait to see how Stewart performs with a commitment from the Panthers to be their every down back.

 

Biggest Risk in Round Nine

 

Speaking of injury risks, there is a player I’m concerned about more than others. While I expect Stewart to overcome his injuries, I can’t say the same for Giants’ receiver Victor Cruz, who suffered a torn patella last season. Recent reports have Cruz nearing 100%, but Cruz may never be the same player and with Odell Beckham clearly taking over the role as Eli Manning’s top target, I would avoid Cruz.

 

ROUND TEN

 

10.01 – Brandon LaFell, WR NE

10.02 – Bishop Sankey, RB TEN

10.03 – David Johnson, RB ARI

10.04 – David Cobb, RB TEN

10.05 – Christine Michael, RB SEA

10.06 – Marcus Mariota, QB TEN

10.07 – Rueben Randle, WR NYG

10.08 – Matthew Stafford, QB DET

10.09 – Vincent Jackson, WR TB

10.10 – Eric Ebron, TE DET

10.11 – Marvin Jones, WR CIN

10.12 – Maxx Williams, TE BAL

 

Round Ten Review

 

By round ten, some teams have already filled their starting lineup and are focusing on acquiring depth and youth. Others are looking for veteran starters after loading up on high upside players in the early portion of the draft. Both strategies have their merit and both are on display here. We also see those teams that ignored the quarterback or tight end position earlier in the draft being rewarded with the like of Lions’ Matthew Stafford and Eric Ebron. Both have their doubters, but in round ten, both offer very good positional value.

 

Best Value in Round Ten

 

Many have given up on Stafford as a fantasy starter after his disappointing 2014 performance, but prior to that, Stafford was coming off three consecutive seasons as a top 12 quarterback. With a healthy Calvin Johnson back on the field, Stafford should see a return to the volume passing that made him a strong fantasy asset.

 

Biggest Risk in Round Ten

 

Some recent news has Christine Michael in the risky category as there are reports that he could be the odd man out in Seattle, with the possibility that undrafted free agent Thomas Rawls could challenge Michael for the third running back job. Some would argue that Michael getting out of Seattle would be a good thing for him and his fantasy outlook and that could be true, but being let go by a team with the Seahawks’ recent track record and losing your job to an undrafted free agent would not look good.

 

ROUND ELEVEN

 

11.01 – Matt Jones, RB WAS

11.02 – Jordan Cameron, TE MIA

11.03 – Ben Roethlisberger, QB PIT

11.04 – Cordarrelle Patterson, WR MIN

11.05 – Percy Harvin, WR BUF

11.06 – Devonta Freeman, RB ATL

11.07 – Charles Sims, RB TB

11.08 – Marqise Lee, WR JAX

11.09 – Tyler Lockett, WR SEA

11.10 – Javorius Allen, RB BAL

11.11 – Ryan Mathews, RB PHI

11.12 – Dwayne Allen, TE IND

 

ROUND TWELVE

 

12.01 – Terrance Williams, WR DAL

12.02 – Anquan Boldin, WR SF

12.03 – Philip Rivers, QB SD

12.04 – Ladarius Green, TE SD

12.05 – Sammie Coates, WR PIT

12.06 – Jace Amaro, TE NYJ

12.07 – Peyton Manning, QB DEN

12.08 – Kyle Rudolph, TE MIN

12.09 – Chris Conley, WR KC

12.10 – Josh Hill, TE NO

12.11 – Stevie Johnson, WR SD

12.12 – Derek Carr, QB OAK

 

ROUND THIRTEEN

 

13.01 – Cameron Artis-Payne, RB CAR

13.02 – Jordan Reed, TE WAS

13.03 – Montee Ball, RB DEN

13.04 – Tony Romo, QB DAL

13.05 – Joique Bell, RB DET

13.06 – Delanie Walker, TE TEN

13.07 – Terrance West, RB CLE

13.08 – Chris Ivory, RB NYJ

13.09 – Michael Crabtree, WR OAK

13.10 – Rashad Jennings, RB NYG

13.11 – Coby Fleener, TE IND

13.12 – Steve Smith, WR BAL

 

Rounds Eleven-Thirteen Review

 

I see two main trends playing out in this trio of mid rounds. First, some teams are still filling in their starting lineup and the depth of the quarterback position allows for that to happen. Players like Philip Rivers, Ben Roethlisberger and Peyton Manning falling this far is a blessing for the owners who focused on grabbing top backs and receivers early on. The other point here is the amount of youth being selected. Obviously, many are trying to catch lightning in a bottle with young and relatively unknown players like Matt Jones, Josh Hill and Cameron Artis-Payne.

 

Best Value in Rounds Eleven-Thirteen

 

With so many good players still being selected, this is a difficult choice, but I will opt for a personal favorite in tight end Ladarius Green. With the recent suspension of Antonio Gates, Green has been thrust to the forefront of the minds of dynasty owners and his metrics and frame tell us he could be one of the breakout players of the 2015 season. The true test will come in Week Five when Gates returns to the field. If Green is sent packing back to the bench, it may be time to give up hope, but I don’t think that will happen.

 

Biggest Risk in Rounds Eleven-Thirteen

 

Again, there are many options for this title and considering how late we are in the draft, any risk is mitigated considering the small cost of the player. Nonetheless, I will make a choice and peg Jordan Reed as the risk I would avoid in this range. Reed came into the league with an injury history and after a great start to his rookie season, suffered a season-ending injury. His sophomore season too was marred by injuries and also coincided with the surprisingly strong play of teammate and backup tight end Niles Paul. There have already been reports of concern about Reed’s knee and an off-season surgery, which have killed Reed’s dynasty value. Even at this late point of the draft, I would look elsewhere for tight end help.

 

ROUND FOURTEEN

 

14.01 – Mike Davis, RB SF

14.02 – Roy Helu, RB OAK

14.03 – LeGarrette Blount, RB NE

14.04 – Jason Witten, TE DAL

14.05 – Justin Hunter, WR TEN

14.06 – Marques Colston, WR NO

14.07 – Knile Davis, RB KC

14.08 – Josh Robinson, RB IND

14.09 – Dwayne Bowe, WR CLE

14.10 – Robert Turbin, RB SEA

14.11 – Reggie Bush, RB SF

14.12 – DeAndre Smelter, WR SF

 

ROUND FIFTEEN

 

15.01 – Justin Hardy, WR ATL

15.02 – Andre Williams, RB NYG

15.03 – Sam Bradford, QB PHI

15.04 – Jeff Janis, WR GB

15.05 – Darren McFadden, RB DAL

15.06 – Denard Robinson, RB JAX

15.07 – Josh Huff, WR PHI

15.08 – Jeremy Langford, RB CHI

15.09 – Clive Walford, TE OAK

15.10 – Tom Brady, QB NE

15.11 – Joe Flacco, QB BAL

15.12 – Theo Riddick, RB DET

 

ROUND SIXTEEN

 

16.01 – Marquess Wilson, WR CHI

16.02 – Colin Kaepernick, QB SF

16.03 – Stefon Diggs, WR MIN

16.04 – Tre McBride, WR TEN

16.05 – Tavon Austin, WR STL

16.06 – Charles Clay, TE BUF

16.07 – Jay Cutler, QB CHI

16.08 – Larry Donnell, TE NYG

16.09 – Eli Manning, QB NYG

16.10 – Robert Griffin III, QB WAS

16.11 – Khiry Robinson, RB NO

16.12 – Kenny Bell, WR TB

 

Rounds Fourteen-Sixteen Review

 

The late round quarterback theory is still in full effect with starting caliber players still being found as late as round sixteen. If you are not opting for an early round pick of Andrew Luck or Aaron Rodgers, there’s little reason to select any quarterback with players like Tom Brady, Colin Kaepernick and Eli Manning falling this far.

 

Best Value in Rounds Fourteen-Sixteen

 

Obviously I will choose a quarterback here. While Manning and Brady are very reliable fantasy producers, I like the value of Kaepernick in the sixteenth round. After all, unlike most other quarterbacks falling this far, he is still young and also offers fantasy upside on the ground as well. I think Kaepernick was being greatly overrated and overdrafted two years ago, but now the pendulum has swung too far in the other direction.

 

Biggest Risk in Rounds Fourteen-Sixteen

 

One quarterback I can’t endorse is new Eagles’ starter Sam Bradford. Many fantasy players are excited to acquire the shot caller of the potent Eagles’ offense, but my concern is in Bradford’s lengthy injury history. He has never shown he can stay healthy and even when he has been on the field, he’s failed to live up to his billing as a top overall pick in the NFL Draft. Again, there’s little risk with such a late pick, but I can’t see taking Bradford over Brady, Manning, Kaepernick and Joe Flacco.

 

ROUND SEVENTEEN

 

17.01 – Blake Bortles, QB JAX

17.02 – Cole Beasley, WR DAL

17.03 – Paul Richardson, WR SEA

17.04 – Vernon Davis, TE SF

17.05 – James White, RB NE

17.06 – Antonio Gates, TE SD

17.07 – Stedman Bailey, WR STL

17.08 – Andy Dalton, QB CIN

17.09 – Gavin Escobar, TE DAL

17.10 – Danny Woodhead, RB SD

17.11 – Robert Woods, WR BUF

17.12 – Darren Sproles, RB PHI

 

ROUND EIGHTEEN

 

18.01 – Nick Foles, QB STL

18.02 – Stevan Ridley, RB NYJ

18.03 – Allen Hurns, WR JAX

18.04 – Carson Palmer, QB ARI

18.05 – Trent Richardson, RB OAK

18.06 – Rashad Greene, WR JAC

18.07 – Alex Smith, QB KC

18.08 – Markus Wheaton, WR PIT

18.09 – Robert Housler, TE CLE

18.10 – Mohamed Sanu, WR CIN

18.11 – Darren Waller, WR BAL

18.12 – Kenny Britt, WR STL

 

ROUND NINTEEN

 

19.01 – Branden Oliver, RB SD

19.02 – Geno Smith, QB NYJ

19.03 – Ronnie Hillman, RB DEN

19.04 – Thomas Rawls, RB SEA

19.05 – Rod Streater, WR OAK

19.06 – Fred Jackson, RB BUF

19.07 – Heath Miller, TE PIT

19.08 – Richard Rodgers, TE GB

19.09 – Doug Baldwin, WR SEA

19.10 – Jimmy Garoppolo, QB NE

19.11 – Eddie Royal, WR CHI

19.12 – Aaron Dobson, WR NE

 

ROUND TWENTY

 

20.01 – Nick Toon, WR NO

20.02 – Johnny Manziel, QB CLE

20.03 – Kamar Aiken, WR BAL

20.04 – Chris Matthews, WR SEA

20.05 – Virgil Green, TE DEN

20.06 – Vince Mayle, WR CLE

20.07 – Justin Blackmon, WR JAX

20.08 – Duron Carter, WR IND

20.09 – Ahmad Bradshaw, RB FA

20.10 – Zac Stacy, RB NYJ

20.11 – Cecil Shorts, WR HOU

20.12 – Ty Montgomery, WR GB

 

Rounds Seventeen-Twenty Review

 

These final four rounds feature what many would call dart throws or shots in the dark. At this point in the draft, many owners may just be ready to finish it off and move onto other aspects of building their team. Don’t fall prey to that mindset. Instead, continue doing your research and find the best value. Every year, there are players chosen in these late rounds who go on to become top 50 players.

 

Best Value in Rounds Seventeen-Twenty

 

I’d really like to highlight one or both of Johnny Manziel and Justin Blackmon here, both selected in the final round of our draft, but I just can’t. Both have shown us with their off-field actions that they don’t consider football their top priority; meaning all the talent in the world makes little difference. Instead, I’ll choose the final pick in the draft, Ty Montgomery. This is strictly a scheme pick as the Packers have shown time and time again their success at drafting wide receivers. Going back to be beginning of the Ted Thompson era, the Packers have hit on Greg Jennings, Randall Cobb, James Jones and Jordy Nelson as picks in the first three rounds, with Davante Adams seemingly next in line. This history makes me more than willing to take a shot on Montgomery, even if it comes with a waiting period.

 

Biggest Risk in Rounds Seventeen-Twenty

 

The good news is there is very little risk with these late round picks. The risk that is present though is bypassing a potential star player for a “name” veteran who will never make a difference on your team. Two examples of this are Alex Smith and Kenny Britt. Both are long shots to ever start a meaningful game for your fantasy team, so why waste a roster spot on them?