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Columns - Magazine

Dynasty Three & Out: Week Six

by Ryan McDowell
Updated On: October 15, 2018, 7:56 pm ET

Welcome to the Dynasty Three & Out, where each week we’ll focus on three players gaining value and three others losing dynasty value based on the latest news and performances on the field.

 

Note: Any dynasty ADP or dynasty trades referenced in this article can be found at dynastyleaguefootball.com

 

Risers:

 

Eric Ebron, TE IND

 

Currently ranked as the TE2 in fantasy leagues entering Monday Night Football, Colts TE Eric Ebron has been one of the pleasant surprises this season. The former first round pick of the Lions always flashed glimpses of his ability and upside while with Detroit but struggled with consistency. Although he was close, he never cracked the ranks of a TE1, finishing the past three seasons as the TE13, TE14 and TE13. A change of scenery is apparently just what Ebron needed as his offseason move to Indianapolis has done wonders. Ebron has weekly ranks of TE4, TE11, TE21, TE6, TE1 and TE4, pending MNF. It is an amazing turnaround for a player many dynasty owners had already given up on. Admittedly, Ebron is taking full advantage of his situation with TE Jack Doyle and WR T.Y. Hilton missing multiple games already this season. Regardless, his performance has been impressive. Ebron currently leads the Colts in receiving yards (326), Air Yards (525) and touchdowns (six). As a result of his early-season performance, his dynasty ADP is also on the rise. He jumped from TE20 in the preseason to TE13 in just one month, with an overall rank of 135. 

 

David Njoku, TE CLE

 

When it comes to Browns second-year TE David Njoku, it has been a tale of two seasons. Playing alongside veteran QB Tyrod Taylor, who started the team’s first three game, Njoku was the TE28 with weekly fantasy finishes of TE26, TE26 and TE31. Njoku’s outlook took a dramatic turn after rookie QB Baker Mayfield took over. Njoku’s weekly finishes have been TE15, TE10 and TE2, pending MNF. Njoku ranks as the TE5 in the past three games and is up to the TE9 on the season. As a former first round pick, Njoku has already been carrying dynasty value, being drafted as a top six fantasy tight end in dynasty leagues for much of the past year. His recent performance has just reminded dynasty owners that he’s probably worth the lofty ADP.  With the volume Njoku is seeing alongside Mayfield, we should expect the production and value gain to continue. After averaging five targets per game in the first three weeks with Taylor, that number doubled to 10 with Mayfield under center. 

 

 

Robert Woods, WR LAR

 

After opening with performances of WR54 and WR35, it was fair for fantasy owners of Rams WR Robert Woods to assume he was the clear third option of the talented receiving trio in Los Angeles. We would later be reminded that HC Sean McVay and QB Jared Goff will spread the ball around, game planning to take advantage of the best weekly matchups. That’s what we’ve seen so far and partially due to injuries to WRs Brandin Cooks and Cooper Kupp, Woods has risen to the top of the depth chart and nearly the top of overall fantasy ranks. After a part month that including weekly finishes of WR2, WR16, WR13 and WR13, Woods is now the WR6 for the season. Again, thanks to injuries but impressive nonetheless, Woods leads the team in targets (51), receptions (36), receiving yards (524) and Air Yards (570). Not surprisingly, Woods’ dynasty ADP is quickly moving up as well, going from WR37 and 80 overall in September to WR29 and 58 overall this month. With Kupp expected to miss some time with an ACL injury, Woods' high-level production should continue. 

 

 

Fallers:

 

Kenyan Drake, RB MIA

 

Things are not quite dire for Dolphins RB Kenyan Drake but they sure aren’t looking good for fantasy players who were counting on the Miami back as a fantasy starter. Drake currently ranks as the RB26 for the season with weekly fantasy finishes of RB30, RB12, RB60, RB56, RB6 and RB26. While the two RB1 finishes on the season are nice, being intertwined with a pair of games outside the top 50 is maddening for fantasy players. Drake carried the ball 14 times in the season-opener but hasn’t reached that number since, bottoming out in Week Four with only three carries. Veteran RB Frank Gore, once thought to simply be Drake insurance, now has a ten-carry lead on Drake over the course of the season. Drake’s saving grace has been his involvement in the passing game, averaging five targets per game. Drake’s dynasty ADP dropped 20 spots since the preseason, currently ranking him as the RB23.

 

 

Marcus Mariota, QB TEN

 

It’s no secret that Titans QB Marcus Mariota and the entire Tennessee offense is desperately struggling this season. We all got another reminder of that in Week Six as they were shut out by the Ravens. Mariota has been dealing with an elbow injury along with changes on the coaching staff and the loss of his top targets a year ago, TE Delanie Walker and WR Rishard Matthews. Regardless of the exact reason, Mariota’s dynasty value is fading fast. His current positional ADP of QB18 is the lowest of his career and that comes after setting a previous low ADP of QB14 last month. Mariota’s 

Weekly fantasy ranks have been QB34, QB25, QB7, QB31 and QB25, ranking him as the QB30 for the season. There was talk of a quarterback controversy earlier in the season and if the Titans had a better backup option than Blaine Gabbert, Mariota might have already been benched.

 

Larry Fitzgerald, WR ARI

 

This one stings! After years of elite production, Cardinals WR Larry Fitzgerald has fallen victim of a combination of age and a pathetic Arizona offense. It is difficult to say which is more to blame but it honesty doesn’t matter. At 35-years-old, NFL players can quickly fall off a cliff. Fitzgerald has weekly fantasy ranks of WR29, WR81, WR83, WR78, WR77 and WR48. It was widely expected that Fitzgerald would retire following last season, especially when HC Bruce Arians and QB Carson Palmer opted to step away but Fitzgerald came back for, presumably, one more season. He probably regrets that decision now. The Cardinals coaching staff looks inept and Fitzgerald is charged with helping break in a rookie quarterback. It’s only name value that is even keeping Fitzgerald on dynasty rosters at this point. He was one of the biggest ADP fallers from preseason, when he ranked as the WR29 to his current ADP of WR63.