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Columns - Magazine

The Gambling Solution: 11/9

by Jeremy Wardwell
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

Seattle Seahawks (-6) at Arizona Cardinals

Total points: 41.5

 

 

 

Jeremy: Last week, the Bills fell apart in a 34-21 loss to the Jets. New York recovered three Buffalo fumbles and rushed for 194 yards and three touchdowns. Jeff hit on both his picks with the Jets and over 43. This week, the Seahawks and Cardinals meet in an NFC West tilt. How will the Cardinals' depleted offense perform against Seattle's defense? Can Russell Wilson get the Seahawks back on the winning track?  Let's get to the picks.

Thursday night record:

 

Jeremy: 0-2 (last week); 7-11 (season)

Jeff: 2-0 (last week); 11-7 (season)

 

The Seattle Seahawks travel to Arizona to take on the Cardinals at University of Phoenix stadium. Seattle is coming off a 17-14 loss to the Washington Redskins to fall to 5-3 on the season. Arizona meanwhile sits at an unimpressive 4-4 after a 20-10 victory over the 49ers. That record is even more unimpressive as the wins have come against the 49ers, Colts and Bucs, three teams with a combined record of 5-21. The Cardinals will struggle to move the ball in this one as Drew Stanton will face a heavy pass rush from a Seahawks defense that has 23 sacks on the season. I'm not expecting much out of running back Adrian Peterson either. While he is coming off an impressive 37 carry, 159 yard performance against the 49ers' 32nd-ranked run defense, the Seahawks’ stop unit is significantly better and will be able to crowd the box with Stanton under center. On the other side of the ball the Seahawks’ offense is all about Russell Wilson. He completed 24 passes for 297 yards and two touchdowns while rushing 10 times for 77 yards last week and now has 17 touchdowns to only six interceptions while averaging 34 YPG on the ground. Seattle has surpassed 425 yards of offense in each of the last three games with a new player stepping up each week. Receivers Doug Baldwin, Paul Richardson and Tyler Lockett have each had a 100 yard receiving game over the last three games. I'm expecting one of them to have another big game in this one as Wilson will have time to find the open receiver against Arizona's mediocre pass rush. Where I expect Seattle to struggle is in the running game. Arizona is pretty stout against the run, allowing less than 4 YPC while Wilson leads the Seahawks in rushing. Seattle could be without Eddie Lacy, who left last week's game with a groin injury. Lacy's absence would mean more carries for Thomas Rawls and potentially C.J. Prosise, who is expected to return from an ankle injury this week. Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last five road games against Arizona and I expect that record to improve here behind another big performance from Wilson. The total for this game has been set at 41.5. The Seahawks should be able to move the ball effectively and approach their season average of 23 PPG and while neither team has a highly explosive offense, I expect this game to go over the posted total thanks to a defensive touchdown by either team. Take Seahawks giving 6 and over 41.5.

 

Pick: Seahawks (-6)

Total points: Over 41.5


Jeff: The Seahawks come off a tough loss at home to the Redskins after surrendering a late touchdown which was the difference.  The Cardinals defeated the winless 49ers.  A short week for the Seahawks is probably best as this team will be itching to get back on the field after that loss at home last weekend.  The Cardinals have been devastated by injuries, including RB David Johnson and QB Carson Palmer.  They were able to get away with it last week against a very poor 49ers team, but this week will be different as they face a very angry Seahawks team.  Look for this Seahawks defense to make it very difficult for this Cardinals offense to do much.  RB Adrian Peterson will find running room very difficult in this matchup.  QB Russell Wilson will bounce back in a big way, as I expect him to have this passing game clicking as he'll spread the ball around to his favorite targets in WR Doug Baldwin, WR Paul Richardson and TE Jimmy Graham.  This game may be close at halftime, but look for the Seahawks to pull away in the second half.  As for the total, I'm not expecting a high scoring game as I expect this Cardinals offense to struggle moving the football.  Look for the Seahawks to win this game 27-13.

 

Pick: Seahawks (-6)

Total points: Under 41.5

Jeremy Wardwell
Jeremy Wardwell is in his first season of writing Rotoworld's 'Gambling Solution' on Season Pass since 2011. He can be found on Twitter @jdwardwell5.