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DFS FanDuel Fit: Scottish Open

Justin Rose

Justin Rose

Michael Madrid-USA TODAY Sports

The PGA TOUR heads overseas this week for a co-sanctioned Scottish Open.

The event has been hosted by The Renaissance Club for each of the last three editions. That gives us a bit of history to work with but with so many PGA TOUR pros playing the event this week, we won’t want to lean too heavily on that history.

Instead, let’s look at some potential course-fit stats to help us find some potential Fanduel value options.

Coastal Comfort

The Renaissance Club only has a few holes that are directly on the water but it’s still considered a coastal course as the winds will whip in from the coast and play a big role, given the exposed nature of a links layout.

Here are the top performers in adjusted strokes gained per round on coastal courses, over the last two years:

Jon Rahm
Justin Thomas
Scottie Scheffler
Patrick Cantlay
Collin Morikawa
Viktor Hovland
Xander Schauffele
Joaquin Niemann
Jordan Spieth
Justin Rose
Tyrrell Hatton
Corey Conners
Sungjae Im
Matt Fitzpatrick
Ryan Palmer

We can also look at a golfer’s performance versus their baseline to see who over-performs most. Here is that list:

Jeff Winther
Haotong Li
Padraig Harrington
James Morrison
Justin Rose
Ryan Palmer
Maverick McNealy
Garrick Higgo
Kalle Samooja
Matthew NeSmith
Jack Senior
Jon Rahm
Matthieu Pavon
Daniel van Tonder
Scott Hend

Overlap List: the names that appear on both lists are Jon Rahm, Justin Rose, and Ryan Palmer.

One aspect of coastal performance is being able to alter your shot trajectory and Palmer is great at that, spending his entire life playing in the Texas winds.

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Lovers of Links

We don’t get a large sample to work with when it comes to playing on links layouts.

However, we can still give it a look to see who likes the challenge of playing on this style of course.

Here are the golfers with the highest strokes gained per round on links courses, over the last two years:

Aaron Rai
Tommy Fleetwood
Jon Rahm
Tyrrell Hatton
Viktor Hovland
Jordan Spieth
Scottie Scheffler
Lucas Herbert
Matt Fitzpatrick
Xander Schauffele
Dylan Frittelli
Justin Thomas
Mackenzie Hughes
Rasmus Hojgaard
Ryan Palmer

Rai won this event in 2020, on this course. He beat Fleetwood in a playoff that year and here they are at No. 1 and 2 on the list of recent links lovers.

FanDuel Focus

Justin Rose ($10,100): The Englishman is no stranger to a links layout and he broke out with a top 5 at the 1998 Open Championship. His love of links hit a rough patch with his next 12 finishes at The Open landing outside of the top 10. He’s posted three top 10s at The Open since then and has been showing glimpses of form again with a top 15 at the PGA Championship and a top 5 in Canada.

Tommy Fleetwood ($10,600): The ball-striking stud had this to say when contending at the Scottish Open last year, “I’m from a links town. I grew up on the only parkland course in the town pretty much, but I’ve played a lot of links golf in my life and I do feel comfortable out there, whatever the conditions. You get a beautiful morning like today and it’s a pleasure to be out there and at the same time, the harder the conditions get, kind of enjoy that in a sick way, as well, like the different skills that that requires.” He has a playoff loss and T26 in two tries at TRC, and I look for him to get back in the mix this week.

Good luck with your lineups this week and check back tomorrow for some more course-fit analysis.