Skip navigation
Sign up to follow your favorites on all your devices.
Sign up

Who has best chance of making NASCAR’s Chase and who is in trouble? What the numbers say

STP 500

STP 500

Rob Carr

With wins this season, Kevin Harvick, Joey Logano, Brad Keselowski, Denny Hamlin and Jimmie Johnson are all but set to be in the Chase for the Sprint Cup.

So who will be the other 11 drivers to make the 16-driver field?

CNBC’s Eric Chemi examines that issue through statistical probabilities.

He also looks at how many different winners there likely will be when the field is set after the season’s 26th race (at Richmond in September). There were 13 different winners last year and three drivers who made it on points - including Ryan Newman, who went on to finish second to Kevin Harvick for the championship.

For more on Chemi’s analysis and the chances of your driver, check out his story.