The NCAA Tournament announcement comes with the excitement of filling out your bracket and maybe placing some bets.
Every year, March is a little mad, which causes fans to study and search for their Cinderella(s) and sure bets. Will Saint Mary’s pull the upset over Villanova? Are you picking UC Irvine to be the next UMBC? What about the Ducks?
No. 12 seed Oregon will play No. 5 seed Wisconsin in the first round of the South Region. The latest line has Wisconsin as a 1-point favorite and a 118 total point over/under (lowest of any first-round game in the NCAA Tournament). Turns out, the matchup has become the most bet on game in the NCAA Tournament.
The most bet on NCAA Tournament game so far is the Oregon-Wisconsin game. Not a surprise since the public is excited about the Ducks 8-game winning streak. William Hill though says while 70% of the tickets are on Oregon to cover as 1-point dogs, only 57% of the $ is on UO.— Darren Rovell (@darrenrovell) March 19, 2019
What should you do? A look at recent history shows that putting money down for the Ducks has paid out. Oregon has made a drastic change in the last three weeks and are riding an eight-game winning streak into the NCAA Tournament, including four victories to become Pac-12 Tournament champions. Oregon won six of those eight games by double-digits.
Most importantly (for your wallet) in each of those wins, Oregon has covered the spread.
3/16/19 Oregon vs. UW: The Ducks were 1.5-point favorites and beat the Huskies by 20 points.
3/15/19 Oregon vs. ASU: The Ducks were 2-point favorites and beat the Sun Devils by 4 points.
3/14/19 Oregon vs. Utah: The Ducks were 4.5-point favorites and beat the Utes by 12 points.
3/13/19 Oregon vs. WSU: The Ducks were 11.5-point favorites and beat the Cougars by 33 points.
3/9/19 Oregon at UW: The Ducks were 6-point under dogs and beat the Huskies by 8 points.
3/6/19 Oregon at WSU: The Ducks were 7-point favorites and beat the Cougars by 11 points.
3/2/19 Oregon vs. Arizona: The Ducks were 4.5-point favorites and beat the Wildcats by 26 points.
2/28/19 Oregon vs. ASU: The Ducks were 1.5-point favorites and beat the Sun Devils by 28 points.
Another note (for your wallet)… Every game has gone under, except the overtime win against Arizona State in the Pac-12 Tournament semifinals.
3/16/19 Oregon vs. UW over/under 119.5 total points: Result: 116 points, under
3/15/19 Oregon vs. ASU over/under 134 total points: Result: 154 points, over
3/14/19 Oregon vs. Utah over/under 137 total points: Result: 120 points, under
3/13/19 Oregon vs. WSU over/under 137 total points: Result: 135 points, under
3/9/19 Oregon at UW over/under 124.5 total points: Result: 102 points, under
3/6/19 Oregon at WSU over/under 142.5 total points: Result: 133 points, under
3/2/19 Oregon vs. Arizona over/under 130 total points: Result: 120 points, under
2/28/19 Oregon vs. ASU over/under 138 total points: Result: 130 points, under
(All odds via Bovada)
Oregon’s defensive prowess has become highly entertaining to watch. But can the Ducks slow down Wisconsin’s top offensive player and four-year starter, Ethan Happ? Don’t come pounding on my door if Oregon loses or it goes over, but I had to point out the trend. If you’ve been betting the Ducks and the under, you’ve been making some major money.