Our friends over at PointsBet.com have set the lines for the Seahawks Week 1 opener on the road against the Atlanta Falcons. Below is a look at the game lines as well as a few notable player props.
-- Seahawks -140 -- Falcons +120
-- Seahawks +1 (-110) -- Falcons -1 (-110) -- O/U 49 (-110)
Analysis: It makes sense that this game is essentially a pick’em. Seattle edged Atlanta by just seven last season with Matt Ryan on the shelf, and there are enough unknowns on both sides to make this game a hard one to predict. I’d probably avoid both sides of it, including the over/under. It’s possible that this game turns into a shootout, but I could also see a 24-21 finish either way as well. Moral of the story: Without seeing either team play a game yet, I’m not sure how you’d feel confident on either side of any of the three lines above.
Sunday morning update: When I first wrote this yesterday, the Seahawks were 2.5-point favorites. The line has since shifted 3.5 points to where the Seahawks are no one-point underdogs.
-- Russell Wilson O 261.5 passing yards (-115) -- Chris Carson O 75 rushing yards (-150) -- Tyler Lockett O 66.5 receiving yards (-115) -- DK Metcalf O 59.5 receiving yards (-115)
Analysis: I don’t think you can use last year’s matchup as a proper indication for what will happen on Sunday in regard to these props. Wilson only had to throw the ball 20 times in last year’s win against the Falcons. These are all modest projections, which isn’t a surprise in Week 1, and all four could wind up hitting. However, I like the Lockett and Metcalf numbers the most. My thinking is that at worst you’d split by taking both of them. I’d be shocked if they both went under, especially considering the game over/under is 49. There are going to be points scored in this game, and banking on Seattle’s top two pass catchers to produce is a pretty safe play. I’d avoid the Carson prop until the Seahawks show us how they’re going to split up touches between their running backs.
-- Seahawks O 2.5 total touchdowns (-150)
Analysis: This feels like the biggest no-brainer of the bunch. The logic here is pretty simple: The Seahawks are going to have to score to keep up with Atlanta’s high-powered offense. Matt Ryan and Co. are going to get theirs even though Seattle’s defense should be improved. So if the Seahawks aren’t able to find the end zone three times, they will get torched in this game. I just don’t see that happening. I’ll take the over here, especially since there’s not that much juice on it.
Be sure to check out the rest of our preview content to get your ready for Sunday's matchup.