Oregon is no longer a contender for the College Football Playoff. The Ducks have fallen from No. 6 to No. 14 in the CFP rankings after being upset by Arizona State. Barring an insane amount of surprises over the final two weekends of college football, the Ducks are out of the final four.
So, Rose Bowl?
The Pac-12 North Division champion Ducks still have a chance at playing in the Rose Bowl by winning the Pac-12 title game on December 6th in Santa Clara, California. Oregon will face either Utah or USC in the Pac-12 Championship. If Utah loses to Colorado, USC will be the Pac-12 South champions. If the Utes beat the Buffaloes, Utah takes the crown.
Another route to roses… If the Ducks lose the Pac-12 title game to Utah and the Utes get into the playoff, Oregon could still go to the Rose Bowl, as the conference’s next best team.
Although, Oregon’s drop out of the top-10 severely hurts Utah’s resume as contenders.
The Rose Bowl is played vs. a Big Ten opponent in Pasadena, California at 2 p.m. (PT) on January 1, 2020. Possible Big Ten opponents: Minnesota, Wisconsin or Ohio State.
What is the next best-case scenarios for rest the 2019 season?
If Oregon beats Oregon State, loses the Pac-12 Title game which sends Utah to the Rose Bowl, the Ducks are looking at two options: an at-large bid to the Cotton Bowl or the Pac-12’s No. 2 bowl tie-in, the Alamo Bowl.
The Cotton Bowl is played vs. an at-large bid in Arlington, Texas at 10 a.m. (PT) on December 28, 2019. Possible Cotton Bowl opponents: Alabama, Boise State, Florida.
The Alamo Bowl is played vs. the Big 12’s No. 2 team in San Antonio, Texas at 4:30 p.m. (PT) on December 31, 2019. Likely Big 12 opponent: Baylor.
If Oregon loses to Oregon State and in the Pac-12 Title game, the Holiday Bowl would be the Ducks’ likely destination.
The Holiday Bowl is vs. Big Ten opponent in San Diego, California at 5 p.m. (PT) on December 27, 2019.
Oregon is one win away from its first 10-win season since 2014 with a chance to be crowed Pac-12 Champions. Now that the national title is out of the picture, senior quarterback Justin Herbert said, “It means everything,” to learn from the ASU loss and refocus on finishing the season strong.