The Eagles opened as 6.5-point favorites versus the Bengals last week. While the line dipped as low as 4-points Sunday morning, it is now back to 5.5 as we approach kickoff.
In 2020, the Eagles are 0-2 straight up and against the spread. Over the last 4 seasons teams that start 0-2 against the spread are 22-7 ATS in Week 3. Meanwhile, Cincinnati is also 0-2 on the season but 1-1 ATS.
The Eagles are 0-11 against the spread versus the Bengals dating back to 1978, according to Pro Football Reference. They're just 3-7-1 straight up during that same time span.
The Eagles last beat the Bengals in 2000 and are 0-3-1 since that last win. Who could forget the tie in 2008? It was the infamous Donovan McNabb game in which he admitted he didn’t know regular season games could end in ties. He was in his 10th season.
The Eagles have not covered 8 of their last 9 September games overall, including the last 4 home games in September. Under Doug Pederson, the Eagles are 23-10 straight up at home but just 17-16 ATS. Meanwhile, Cincinnati has lost 13 games straight up on the road (14 if you include last season’s loss against the Rams in London). The Bengals are 9-4 ATS in those contests and are coming off extra rest not playing since a week ago Thursday.
Let’s look at the quarterback matchup between 2020 NFL top draft pick Joe Burrow and Carson Wentz. The rookie is coming off a performance in which he threw the ball 61 times for 316 yards and 3 touchdowns with no interceptions versus Cleveland. Burrow’s over/under on passing yards has jumped to 261.5 (on Thursday the total was 248.5). The Eagles passing defense is ranked 5th in the league through two games allowing 208.5 passing yards per game. As for Wentz, his over/under has dipped slightly to 268.5 passing yards while averaging 256 passing yards in the first two games this season.
Here are some other over/under totals of interest.
- Miles Sanders: 80.5 rush yards, 27.5 receiving yards
- Joe Mixon: 64.5 rush yards, 16.5 receiving yards
Sanders eclipsed both of the numbers listed above last week versus the Rams in his first game of the season. With Jalen Reagor out for at least a couple of weeks due to a thumb injury that required surgery, it will be interesting to see how often Pederson will call Sanders’ number on Sunday. Mixon has rushed for 69 and 46 yards respectively in Weeks 1 and 2. In Cincinnati’s opener against the Chargers Mixon had 2 receiving yards followed by a 40-yard performance last week versus the Browns.
It’s hard to dig out of an 0-2 hole if you have playoff aspirations. Since 1990, 30 teams have made the postseason after losing its first two games. The Eagles accomplished the feat twice back in 1990 and 2003. Time will only tell. This is 2020 and we’ve come to realize to expect the unexpected.