Eagles

Are Eagles worth the underdog bet against Ravens?

Eagles

The Eagles (1-3-1 straight up, 1-4 against the spread, or ATS) have reached double digits. No, not in wins, but in regards to the point spread. 

Fans will be entering Lincoln Financial Field for the first time in 2020 to see their Birds take on the Ravens (4-1 straight up, 3-1-1 ATS) as 10-point underdogs per our sports betting partner PointsBet. 

For the Eagles faithful that’s not a good sign; however, from a betting perspective that brings some good news. 

According to Rotoworld (since 1978), the Eagles are 16-6 all-time ATS when underdogs of 10-points or more. 

The same cannot be said for the Eagles in those same games as they are just 5-21 straight up. They had lost 11 straight before beating the Rams on the road in 2018. 

This will be the sixth meeting between the two Eagles and Ravens. Philadelphia is 2-3 all-time ATS (2-2-1 SU) versus their neighbors from just down the road on I-95. 

Baltimore might as well dress up as The Road Warriors for Halloween two weeks early. The Ravens have won 8 straight games on the road and are 5-0-2 in their last 7 games away from M&T Bank Stadium ATS. Taking it one step further the Ravens are 11-2-2 in their last 15 games ATS. 

The over/under on total points is 46.5. The over is 3-2 in Eagles games but just 1-4 for the Ravens. A big part of that is the fact the Ravens own the top-ranked defense in fewest points allowed per game (15.2). As for the Eagles, they are ranked 23rd in points scored per game (22.6). 

 

Flipping the script the Eagles are ranked 23rd in points allowed giving up 29.0 ppg, while the Ravens are racking up almost 30 ppg (t-8th). 

For the Eagles to have any success they’ll have to contain the Ravens 3-headed monster of Lamar Jackson, Mark Ingram and Gus Edwards. That trio is mainly responsible for the NFL’s 3rd best rushing offense this season. 

Jackson is second in the league in rushing yards amongst quarterbacks. He’s averaging 47.6 yards per game on the ground. His over/under is at 47.5. 

The Ravens are susceptible against the pass allowing two quarterbacks (Patrick Mahomes, Dwayne Haskins) to eclipse the 300-yard mark this season. However, that will be a tall task for Carson Wentz who leads the league in interceptions (9) and still owns the league’s lowest passer rating (68.5).

Wentz to throw for 300+ yards has odds of +300 ($10 bet to win $30) while he’s -106 ($10 bet to win $9.43) to pass for 250+ yards. Several days ago Wentz’s odds to throw 300+ yards was listed at +130. That’s a considerable jump from the oddsmakers who expect it to be a struggle for the Birds QB with a depleted receiving corp. 

Wentz’s over/under on passing yards is at 237.5. Ironically he’s averaging 237.6 yards in the air in 5 games this season. 

The limited number of fans will be hooting and hollering at the Linc. Will that be the added boost to will them on the road to victory? At home under Doug Pederson the Eagles are 23-10-1 straight up and 17-17 ATS. 

This is only the second time ever the Eagles are underdogs of 10+ points at home. You have to go back to 1993 when they lost 23-10 to Dallas at Veterans Stadium as 11-point dogs for the only other time the Eagles found themselves in a similar spot in South Philadelphia.