Eagles

Odds the Eagles will win the NFC East

Odds the Eagles will win the NFC East

The Eagles are riding high after a big win in London and gaining ground on both the Redskins and Cowboys as they sat idle last weekend during their bye. 

But what does it mean for their chances to win the NFC East?

The computer models are actually all over the place, with two popular models having the Eagles as the favorites to win the division and two having them as the underdog. If we look at Vegas, after spending a week behind the Redskins as the second choice to win the division, the Eagles are back in front, barely.

Let’s start with the good.

FiveThirtyEight, popular for its election analytics, currently is giving the Eagles a 57 percent chance to win the NFC East and ranks them as the sixth-best team in the NFL.

Cynthia Frelund, NFL Network’s data science expert, is giving the Eagles a 58.7 percent chance to make the playoffs. 

Now the bad.

CBSSports.com uses projections based on data from Stephen Oh of Sportsline, and his model has the Redskins as overwhelming 65-to-24 percent favorites to win the NFC East.

The New York Times, which ran 42,456 simulations on the matter, gives the Eagles a 42 percent chance to make the playoffs and a 40 percent chance to win the division. Since that model allows you to easily pick games to see how the odds change, let’s dig a little deeper.

There are three massive games for the Eagles this season and, you probably guessed it, the ones that stand out are this weekend’s test against the Cowboys and the two remaining games against the Redskins.

If the Eagles win this weekend, the model jumps just four percent to give the Eagles a 44 percent chance to win the NFC East, assuming the Redskins take care of business in Tampa, but a loss would drop the Eagles to just 22 percent. Should the Eagles win and the Redskins lose, their chances would balloon to 57 percent.

Let’s assume both the Eagles and Redskins go 2-1 over their next three games, the Week 13 matchup on Monday Night Football would have a 58 percent to 14 percent swing in a true must-win game against Washington at home. 

The bottom line is, while you might feel really good about the Eagles' chances, given the remaining schedules for both teams, the computers are split and giving the Redskins a tremendous opportunity to take the NFC East title for the first time since 2015.

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Eagle Eye Podcast: Reacting to the Carson Wentz story

Eagle Eye Podcast: Reacting to the Carson Wentz story

Derrick Gunn and Barrett Brooks discuss the Carson Wentz story from PhillyVoice. Regardless of how factual the story was, this will add pressure on Wentz next season.

The guys react to a thrilling and extremely controversial championship weekend in the NFL. How much of an officiating problem does the NFL have?

1:00 - Initial thoughts on the Carson Wentz story from PhillyVoice.
7:00 - Derrick's in the locker room daily. What is the environment there?
11:00 - Added pressure on Wentz next season.
16:00 - Saints get jobbed.
23:00 - Patriots are amazing.

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Lane Johnson replaces Tyron Smith on NFC Pro Bowl roster

usa_lane_johnson_eagles_probowl.jpg
USA Today Images

Lane Johnson replaces Tyron Smith on NFC Pro Bowl roster

Lane Johnson finally got the Pro Bowl nod he deserves.

Johnson will replace injured Cowboys offensive tackle Tyron Smith in the annual AFC-NFC All-Star game, scheduled for this weekend in Orlando, Florida. Johnson was originally snubbed when the team was announced in December.

This is Johnson’s second straight Pro Bowl selection. He was unable to play last year because the Eagles were on their way to the Super Bowl.

Johnson is the fifth Eagle now represented on the NFC Pro Bowl team. Brandon Brooks, Zach Ertz and Fletcher Cox were on the original roster and Malcolm Jenkins was also an injury replacement. 

The Eagles’ current starting line now has a total of 13 Pro Bowls to their name. Jason Peters has been picked to seven and Johnson, Brooks and Jason Kelce two apiece.

That’s a far cry from the nearly two-decade period from 1982 through 2000, when the Eagles didn’t have a single offensive lineman selected to a Pro Bowl.

After serving a 10-game suspension for a positive test for a banned substance in 2016, his second suspension, Johnson vowed that he would be as good a player without taking supplements as he was before his suspensions.

Since then he’s played two full seasons and made the Pro Bowl in each one.

The Eagles are 26-9 with Johnson in uniform during the regular season since 2016 and 50-29 with him in uniform since the Eagles drafted him in the first round in 2013. Including the playoffs, they’re 54-30 when Johnson plays. 

Johnson has a Pro Bowl escalator in his contract, which increases the base salary of each remaining year of his contract by $500,000, so his base goes from $790,000 this year to $840,000 and increases by $500,000 the next three years also — to $11,150,000 in 2019, $9,335,000 in 2020 and $8,815,000 in 2021.

Click here to download the MyTeams App by NBC Sports! Receive comprehensive coverage of your teams and stream the Flyers, Sixers and Phillies games easily on your device.

More on the Eagles