Flyers

Flyers burnt by NHL’s hottest team as key stretch begins off rails

Flyers burnt by NHL’s hottest team as key stretch begins off rails

BOX SCORE

SUNRISE, Fla. — The Flyers were short on rest, and the Panthers were long on speed.

The result was a 4-1 Flyers loss Sunday at the BB&T Center, and only a late rebound goal by Travis Konecny avoided a shutout.

All four Panthers goals came as the result of stretch passes as Evgenii Dadonov (twice), Aleksander Barkov and Jonathan Huberdeau took turns skating past gasping Flyers defenders.

Flyers coach Dave Hakstol didn’t blame turnovers on three of those goals, and he didn’t fault goalie Petr Mrazek, either.

“It was not the volume [of shots], but it was the absolute grade-A chances,” Hakstol said. “The number of breakaways (Mrazek) had to face … It wasn’t the turnovers. They transitioned — it was their quick transition coming out.”

Coupled with a 7-6 shootout loss Saturday to Tampa, the Flyers got just one point on their trip to Florida.

Worse yet, including a weak effort in a 4-1 loss Thursday to the Hurricanes, the Flyers have lost three straight games while maintaining their second-place standing in the Metropolitan Division.

Shayne Gostisbehere, who is a South Florida native, was asked about that short rest.

“It’s an easy excuse,” he said. “(The Panthers) haven’t played (since Friday), and we played (Saturday) afternoon. But it comes down to our readiness.

“(The Panthers) are a quick team. We knew what they were going to do, but we didn’t respect it enough. They got their chances. They were not cheating but pushing us out of the zone quickly.”

For the Flyers, who are 26-10-4 since Dec. 4, this is their third mini-losing streak in the past three months. But they've been resilient all season.

That has to give Flyers fans hope despite the talk about not being ready or watching an upstart team skate past them.

Then again, the Panthers have been the hottest team in the NHL since Jan. 30, winning 13 of 16 games. With the win over the Flyers, they went 6-0-0 during this homestand.

And with players such as Barkov, Huberdeau, Vincent Trocheck and Dadonov on the top two lines, the Panthers have speed and skill.

Radko Gudas, whose interference penalty led to a Panthers power-play goal that made it 1-0 just 2:41 into the game, took some of the heat.

“It wasn’t our best defensive coverage,” he said. “The Panthers played a lot of stretch passes. They were gone, and we were still in the zone. It took us a while to adapt. We could’ve done a way better job.”

Gudas wasn’t buying the tired legs argument, either.

“It was a tough two games,” he said. “But those excuses — everybody’s in good condition. I don’t think that should be a factor at this point in the year.

“We wanted more than one point out of this trip. For us, these next two games are crucial.”

Health check
Hakstol said Johnny Oduya “got dinged up” and could not finish the game.

Why this year's Flyers team has been an analytics nightmare

Why this year's Flyers team has been an analytics nightmare

WASHINGTON — At least the Flyers spared us from the throwaway cliché of “If we play like this, we’ll win a lot of games this season” following their 3-1 loss to the Capitals on Sunday afternoon (see observations). 

It’a an all-too overused line that is thrown out there when a team dominates in possession time and by outshooting their opponent by a significant margin, only to be on the short end of the final score — much like the Flyers were in Washington.

It’s hardly believable on a number of levels. 

First, only the elite teams in the league dominate possession consistently over the course of an 82-game season enough to actually believe that, and secondly, the Flyers have proven when they do play like that, they simply don’t win. 

The Flyers have been an analytics nightmare this season when it comes to the metrics of shot totals.

The “Corsi For Percentage” at even strength metric is an easy computation of the team that attempts more shots (shots on goal, blocked shots and missed shots) than its opponent. Over the course of an 82-game season, the conventional wisdom is that the better Corsi teams will win a higher percentage of games.

Quite simply, more volume equates to more victories. 

For the most part, this season has played out like the proponents of advanced metrics would have hoped for. The top ten teams in the CF% metric are currently occupying a playoff spot, while eight of the bottom 10 teams are currently outside the playoff picture. 

Except in the case of the 2018-19 Flyers, who are a completely flawed team in the analytics department.  

Sunday’s game was yet another example of the Flyers dominating possession and shot totals only to lose, and the most puzzling part is that this has been the case all season long.

When outshooting their opponents, the Flyers are a dismal 10-20-2, but when they’ve been outshot, they’re a head scratching 23-12-6. You’d expect those records to be flipped.

Under interim head coach Scott Gordon, those lopsided shot totals are even more tilted. The Flyers' CF% is 43.7 percent in the team’s wins under Gordon and nearly even at 50.5 percent in their losses.

By comparison, the Ottawa Senators, as you might expect, own the worst Corsi For Percentage in the NHL at 45.1 percent, as they’ve played the majority of their games in the defensive zone this season.
But how does one explain the Flyers? 

During their eight-game winning streak in January, the team's CF% was a miserable 41.4 percent when rookie Carter Hart was bailing them out on a nightly basis. Throughout their eight-game winless stretch in December and January, it was a very respectable 52.3 percent.   

Numbers don’t always tell the whole story. 

With the Flyers this season, they seem to be telling us a lie. 

They needed to win the majority of games in which they outplayed the opposition, and to win a handful of games when they didn’t. 

Jakub Voracek may have summarized it best Sunday: “I don’t want to take anything out of this season, to be honest. I had way higher expectations. I think everybody did. It’s really disappointing. It sucks.”

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Capitals 3, Flyers 1: Swept by defending champs as 2018-19 run nearing end

Capitals 3, Flyers 1: Swept by defending champs as 2018-19 run nearing end

BOX SCORE

WASHINGTON — The Capitals completed a four-game season sweep of the Flyers for the first time since the 2006-07 season following a 3-1 win Sunday at Capital One Arena.

Back-to-back losses to the Islanders and Capitals will almost ensure the Flyers won’t qualify for the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The highest point total the Flyers can finish with is 92, if they can run the table over their final six games.

Here are my observations from Capital One Arena:

• The Flyers entered this game having surrendered an average of 42 shots per game over their last five games — the most they’ve allowed in any five-game stretch this season. Against the Capitals, though, they were clearly the better team, controlling play as they dominated in shot attempts by an overwhelming 44-10 margin in the second period alone, but couldn’t generate the game-tying goal. You have to wonder where that energy level was Saturday against the Islanders.

• The Flyers need a Tom Wilson-type player for next season. Wayne Simmonds was that kind of player in his prime, but no longer. The closest they had was Scott Hartnell, who played a similar style.

Wilson was a first-round pick because of his skill level combined with the edge he brings to the ice. The Caps simply don’t win the Stanley Cup without his feisty and chippy play, which was a difference maker in the Cup Final. With his 1-0 goal in this game, Wilson now has a career-high 22 goals this season, four of those against the Flyers.

• Sean Couturier will be my vote for the Bobby Clarke award as the Flyers' MVP this season with his all-around, two-way play, and a second straight 30-goal season.

However, I don’t think Couturier has had a Selke-worthy season like he showed in 2017-18 when he finished second to Anze Kopitar. Couturier was nearly flawless last season in his defensive positioning and his puck management in his end of the ice, but not quite as good this season. He had one of those miscues that led to the Caps' second goal of the game.

• The defensive pairing of Robert Hagg and Radko Gudas had apparently run its course. After the Hagg-Gudas pair looked awful in the game against the Islanders, it wasn't much better in the opening 10 minutes of this game.

The Flyers played much better defensively once interim head coach Scott Gordon paired Hagg with Philippe Myers and Gudas with Shayne Gostisbehere. However, the Flyers were exploited with the fourth line on the ice and Hagg pinching deep with no recognition from the forwards, which led to Jakub Vrana’s breakaway goal.

• Jakub Voracek scored a power-play goal, giving him 20 goals for the season and the sixth time in his last seven seasons in Philadelphia. While Voracek will never be considered a pure goal scorer, this puts him near exclusive company. Only 20 current players have six 20-goal seasons over the last seven seasons.

• Did you catch the delay before the opening faceoff? Phil Varone’s name was on the lineup card submitted to the official scorer, but Varone was a healthy scratch in favor of Justin Bailey. Had the change not been made prior to the faceoff, Bailey would have been ruled ineligible, according to rule 5.2 in the NHL rulebook, and the Flyers would have been forced to play with 11 forwards (which they’ve done a handful of times over the past month).

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