Phillies

Marlins 6, Phillies 4: We can safely call this Phillies' lowest point of 2019 season

Marlins 6, Phillies 4: We can safely call this Phillies' lowest point of 2019 season

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It doesn't get much worse than this. The reeling Phillies were swept at home by the Marlins for the first time in 10 years.

We can safely call this the Phillies' lowest point of the season.

Sunday's 6-4 loss — which saw the Phillies out-hit 16-4 — was their seventh straight defeat. They have just one win since June 11, when they were tied with the Braves.

This is the first time the Phillies have been swept at home by the Marlins since Aug. 7-9, 2009.

At 39-38, the Phils have their worst record since they were 13-12. They have spent every day this season over .500.

During this rough month of June, the Braves have separated themselves from the Phillies in the division, building a lead of 6½ games.

The Phils are in the midst of playing 25 consecutive games against the NL East. So far, they are 1-8. On the season, they are 16-17 against the NL East.

Next up is a four-game home series against the Mets, followed by a nine-game road trip to Miami, Atlanta and New York that closes out the first half.

Spot start for De Los Santos

Needing a sixth starter because of the two rainouts earlier this week in D.C., the Phillies turned to 23-year-old right-hander Enyel De Los Santos, who made two starts last season.

De Los Santos did not deliver the clutch start the Phillies needed, allowing eight of the first 12 batters he faced to reach base and surrendering four runs over four innings. 

De Los Santos put the leadoff man on in all four innings and three of them came around to score. He did induce three double plays, which helped him avoid an even rockier outing.

The Phils have been hesitant to use De Los Santos in this role, seemingly preferring him as a reliever because of his lack of consistent secondary pitches. Because of all the injuries to the Phillies' bullpen, De Los Santos had been used out of the bullpen the previous two times he was called up this season. 

Expect to see him optioned back to Triple A Lehigh Valley either tonight or tomorrow.

Actual first-inning runs

The Phillies have been horrid in the first inning since Andrew McCutchen's season-ending injury on June 3, hitting .103 with a grand total of four runs in 16 first innings entering Sunday's game.

In the opening frame Sunday, Marlins rookie right-hander Jordan Yamamoto walked the first three batters he faced and two scored on Jean Segura's two-run single.

It's not just the loss of McCutchen stagnating this offense. It's also the fact that the Phillies have gotten very little out of the Maikel Franco-Cesar Hernandez-Odubel Herrera trio, and that their only everyday player who has outperformed his career rates is Rhys Hoskins. (This excludes Scott Kingery, who had only the shaky rookie year to measure against.)

Up next

The Mets come to town for a four-game series. Noah Syndergaard (hamstring) is not currently listed among the Mets' pitching probables for the series but could be activated Wednesday.

Monday night at 7:05 — Zach Eflin (6-7, 2.83) vs. LHP Steven Matz (5-5, 4.28)

Tuesday night at 7:05 — Jake Arrieta (6-6, 4.12) vs. Walker Lockett (0-1, 23.14)

Wednesday night at 7:05 — Nick Pivetta (4-2, 5.54) vs. LHP Jason Vargas (3-3, 3.75)

Thursday afternoon at 1:05 — Aaron Nola (6-2, 4.55) vs. Zack Wheeler (6-5, 4.69)

The DH sucks but would undoubtedly help the Phillies

The DH sucks but would undoubtedly help the Phillies

The designated hitter coming to the National League is an inevitability. To some, it's a welcome inevitability. Personally, I hate it, but I acknowledge I'm probably outnumbered.

It's not about watching pitchers hit. That is the over-simplified one-line response from DH proponents. It is about many additional elements of strategy not having a DH adds. If you're a pitcher, it affects how you approach the 6-7-8-9 hitters. There is more thinking ahead. 

That goes for managers, too, who face the difficult of question of, "Do I pull Jacob deGrom with two outs and two on in the bottom of the sixth inning in a scoreless game for the extra offense?"

That doesn't happen in the AL. The Justin Verlanders of the world pitch until they're no longer effective. There is no difficult decision for the manager. 

There is also less need for a bench. AL teams sometimes run three-man benches. And plenty of AL bench players exist only as defensive replacements and/or pinch-runners.

But whatever. It's probably coming. Could be coming as early as 2021, according to Jim Bowden.

It would actually benefit the Phillies, though. The Phils face a potential logjam in the corner infield with Rhys Hoskins, Alec Bohm, Scott Kingery and Jean Segura. Only one of them can play third base. And Hoskins or Bohm would be at first base. If the DH came to the NL in 2021, the Phils could just slot Bohm into that position.

They could also use Hoskins, who isn't exactly an above-average defensive first baseman, as the DH. And toward the end of Bryce Harper's 13-year contract, his days of effective right field defense could be over and that may be the ideal spot for him.

It will be an adjustment when the NL rules change, and there will be some hard feelings, but the baseball world will probaby get over it within a few years. MLB has already adopted the three-batter rule for relievers, altered active rosters to 26 and prevented teams from utilizing their entire 40-man roster in September. These changes, in conjunction, are pretty significant too.

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Phillies' 2020 World Series odds are pretty surprising

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Phillies' 2020 World Series odds are pretty surprising

Most of the baseball world agrees that the Phillies are improved with the additions of No. 2 starter Zack Wheeler, shortstop Didi Gregorius, and the new contingent of manager Joe Girardi, pitching coach Bryan Price and hitting coach Joe Dillon.

The question is how much improved?

The Phils won 81 games last season, a year after winning 80. Both years, they totally collapsed in September. Both years, a good number of players were simply playing out the string, though the effort level was more questionable in 2018 than in 2019.

Even though the Phillies were quiet this offseason after their two big signings, and even though the NL East is still a beast, they should still exceed 81 wins. If they don't, there's a serious problem. If they don't, the GM probably won't be here to try to rectify things next offseason.

The over/under win totals are out and the Phillies' number is 85.5 at FanDuel and 84.5 at DraftKings.

I'd go over at 84.5. Think about how many injuries the Phillies suffered last season. Think about the talent gap between Wheeler and every Phillies starting pitcher behind Aaron Nola last season. The impact of Girardi, Price and Dillon won't be all that quantifiable, but it is realistic that this revamped coaching staff can conjure a few more wins out of the 2020 Phillies, whether it's in-game decision-making or better instructions given to young players who underperformed last season.

At DraftKings, the Mets' over/under is a game better than the Phillies' at 85.5. The Braves are at 90.5 and the Nationals 88.5. The Marlins are at 64.5, higher than only one team, the Tigers.

Much more surprising are the Phillies' World Series odds. They have the sixth-shortest odds to win it all. Seriously. They're +1800. Here is the Top 10:

Yankees: 3.5/1
Dodgers: 5/1
Astros: 6/1
Braves: 11/1
Nationals: 14/1
Phillies: 18/1
Mets: 20/1
Twins: 20/1
Red Sox: 22/1
Cubs: 22/1

Apparently, the expectation is that the NL Central will be bringing up the rear in 2020. Really, the only NL Central team that improved was the Reds. The Cardinals lost Marcell Ozuna, the Brewers lost Yasmani Grandal and the Cubs didn't spend money on a single major-league free agent.

Four of the top seven teams being NL East teams just shows you how much of a battle these next seven months will be for the Phils.

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