Josh Ellis

NFL playoff picture: Eagles' odds increase with Monday Night Football result

ap_doug_pederson.jpg
AP Images

NFL playoff picture: Eagles' odds increase with Monday Night Football result

On Monday night, the Eagles got a vital first bit of good news in their quest to make the playoffs as a wild card.

The Seahawks defended their home field and defeated the Vikings, 21-7. Since the Eagles will need to leap the two teams ahead of them in the standings, who both hold head-to-head tiebreakers, this was a huge step.

Let’s take a look at the situation after Week 14.

The Eagles (6-7) have three remaining games and can now still make the playoffs with just two wins, however, three wins would be much better. They’ll travel to L.A. to take on the Rams on Sunday Night Football this weekend.

As it stands, the New York Times model is giving the Eagles an 11 percent chance to make the playoffs and FiveThirtyEight has the Eagles at 18 percent, however, a lot of that has to do with the assumption that the Eagles will lose two of three. Should they be able to win, especially this weekend, the numbers will drastically change in their favor.

With Two Wins 

For the Eagles to make the playoffs with an 8-8 record, they would need:

The Vikings (6-6-1) to lose two of their remaining games: at home against Miami, at Detroit and at home against the Bears.

… and …

The Panthers (6-7) would also need to lose two of their remaining games: at home against the Saints, at home against the Falcons and on the road against the Saints. 

… and …

The Packers (5-7-1) would need to lose one of their remaining games: at Chicago, at the Jets or home against the Lions.

… and …

The Redskins to lose to the Eagles.

With Three Wins 

The Eagles are nine-point underdogs on Sunday night, but if they can pull the stunner, you’d feel better about them coming home to beat the Texans and going on the road to beat the Redskins on the final weekend of the year.

For the Eagles to make the playoffs with a 9-7 record they would need:

The Cowboys (8-5) to lose all three of their remaining games.

or

The Vikings (6-6-1) would need to lose one of their remaining games at home against Miami, at Detroit and at home against the Bears.

… and …

The Panthers (6-7) would also need to lose one of their remaining games at home against the Saints, at home against the Falcons and on the road against the Saints. 

There’s still a chance, but the Eagles are simply going to have to start playing better football.

NFC standings after Week 14

Rams (11-2)
Saints (11-2)
Bears (9-4)
Cowboys (8-5)
Seahawks (8-5)
Vikings (6-6-1)
Panthers (6-7)
Eagles (6-7)
Redskins (6-7)
Packers (5-7-1)

Click here to download the new MyTeams App by NBC Sports! Receive comprehensive coverage of your teams and stream the Flyers, Sixers and Phillies games easily on your device.

More on the Eagles

NFL playoff picture: Here's how Eagles can still make the playoffs despite loss to Cowboys

NFL playoff picture: Here's how Eagles can still make the playoffs despite loss to Cowboys

So you’re telling us there’s a chance.

Yeah, a small one, but there’s a chance the Eagles can still make the playoffs.

Here’s what has to happen:

NFC East

The Eagles (6-7) need to win their remaining games against the Rams, the Texans and the Redskins.

The Eagles would need the Dallas Cowboys (8-5) to lose all of their remaining games against the Colts, Buccaneers and Giants.

The Eagles would win the NFC East with a record of 9-7 to the Cowboys' 8-8.

The wild card

The Eagles would likely need to win their remaining games against the Rams, the Texans and the Redskins to jump two of the teams ahead of them. Should the Eagles win only two of their remaining games, add one additional loss to the teams below.

The Eagles would need the Seahawks (7-5) to lose three of their remaining four games to NFC opponents, the Vikings, the 49ers and the Cardinals.

The Eagles would need the Vikings (6-5-1) to lose two of their remaining four games to the Seahawks, Dolphins, Lions and Bears.

The Eagles would need the Panthers (6-7) to lose one of their remaining three games to the Saints, Falcons and Saints again.

Is it possible? Yes, but it’ll take some much better play from the Eagles on the field to pull it off.

***

NFL standings as of Monday morning:

Rams (11-2)

Saints (11-2)

Bears (9-4)

Cowboys (8-5)

Seahawks (7-5)

Vikings (6-5-1)

Panthers (6-7)

Eagles (6-7)

Redskins (6-7)

Packers (5-7-1)

Click here to download the new MyTeams App by NBC Sports! Receive comprehensive coverage of your teams and stream the Flyers, Sixers and Phillies games easily on your device.

More on the Eagles

Social media erupts with anger after refs rule a fumble in favor of Cowboys

Social media erupts with anger after refs rule a fumble in favor of Cowboys

Less than 10 seconds into the crucial matchup against the Dallas Cowboys, the refs made a ridiculous call that will likely have a huge hand in deciding who will win the game, and probably the NFC East.

If you didn’t see the play, here is the end where five Eagles surround the ball, but it's determined that no clear possession was gained.

Not only is this clearly a fumble but had the refs done their job right the first time, there’s no question who would have been awarded possession. Instead, the Cowboys kept the ball and everyone on Twitter lost their collective minds.

It's a long game — we’ll see if the Eagles can overcome this one.

Click here to download the new MyTeams App by NBC Sports! Receive comprehensive coverage of your teams and stream the Flyers, Sixers and Phillies games easily on your device.

More on the Eagles