Barring a miracle, this iteration of the Orioles will end in 23 games.
At the end of the season, Wei-Yin Chen, Chris Davis and Matt Wieters all become free agents.
It would be a surprise if any returned.
Besides those three, Darren O’Day, Gerardo Parra and Steve Pearce can also depart.
What are the chances they’ll be back? Who could replace them?
For the second time in as many years, the Orioles could lose the major league home run king via free agency.
A year ago, Nelson Cruz left for a four-year contract. Davis should beat that.
Davis won’t be 30 until next year, and with his 22 home runs and 51 RBIs in second half games, he’s gotten hot at the right time.
Last month, executive vice president of baseball operations Dan Duquette said in a talk to season ticket holders that the Orioles wanted to re-sign Davis.
Davis has consistently avoided contract talk this season, and it’s highly questionable that the Orioles could outbid others.
WHERE DOES HE GO?: The Astros, Red Sox and even the Yankees could give him a five-year deal in the $100 million area.
WHO REPLACES HIM?: There’s no likely first baseman on the major league roster. Christian Walker and Trey Mancini are highly thought of, but Walker has little major league experience, and Mancini hasn’t played above Double-A.
Besides Davis, it’s an unimpressive lot of free agent first basemen out there. The Orioles are likely to trade for a 2016 first baseman and hope that Walker or Mancini are the long-term answers.
Had Wieters not had Tommy John surgery last year, he could have eclipsed Russell Martin’s five-year, $82 million deal from last year.
Because he hasn’t often caught on consecutive days since returning in June, some have questioned whether he’ll get more than a three-year contract.
Wieters, Chen and Davis will all refuse qualifying offers by the Orioles.
There will only be a handful of catchers on the market and Scott Boras, who represents Chen, Davis and Wieters, will be able to cash in.
WHERE DOES HE GO?: The smart money is on Atlanta, where Wieters lives in the off-season, but the Diamondbacks and White Sox desperately need catching and could add a fourth or five year.
WHO REPLACES HIM?: Caleb Joseph is a reasonable choice, and Steve Clevenger has impressed since his return. Clevenger may be useful in other positions, so it’s likely the Orioles add a veteran catcher, too.
The Orioles would like to have Davis back and are resigned to Wieters’ leaving, but there seems to be almost no likelihood that Chen will be back.
The Orioles have nurtured Chen, trying to rest him. He rebelled in June when they briefly sent him to Frederick to try and keep him fresh.
In his first four major league years, Chen has a 43-31 record with a sub-4 ERA. He’s struck out more than three times as many batters as he’s walked.
The $15.466 million he’s earned in the four years is a bargain, and he could approach that total in annual salary on a three-year deal.
WHERE COULD HE GO?: The market is full of big name pitchers: Johnny Cueto, Zack Grienke, David Price and Jordan Zimmermann are the stars.
Chen could fit into the second tier with teams that miss out on one of the bigger names.
Arizona, San Diego, Texas, both Los Angeles teams and Seattle could work for Chen.
WHO REPLACES HIM?: The Orioles don’t have another left-handed starter close to major league ready, so they’ll have to trade for one or sign another free age
Parra was having a career year when he was traded to the Orioles on July 31, but he’s scuffled since.
Without him, the Orioles having a gaping hole in right field, and as Buck Showalter would say, they’ll have to spend all winter looking for a player like him.
WHERE DOES HE GO?: The guessing here is the Orioles re-sign him for a four-year deal at $40 million.
O’Day has been brilliant during his time with the Orioles, but one area the team has excelled at is acquiring and developing relievers.
In his four years with the Orioles, O’Day is 23-8 with a 1.97 ERA and struck out nearly four times as many as he’s walked.
Look for a three-year deal at perhaps $18-20 million.
WHERE DOES HE GO?: O’Day likes the area, and the Nationals need relievers.
WHO REPLACES HIM?: The Orioles have Brad Brach, Mychal Givens and Chaz Roe, but O’Day will still be missed.
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After a terrific 2014 and a less-than-stellar 2015, Pearce could re-sign with the Orioles, say on a one-year, $4 million deal. If someone offers him two years, he’s gone.