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1st and 10: Ten predictions for Ravens-Browns


1st and 10: Ten predictions for Ravens-Browns

1. The Ravens will score a first-quarter touchdown.

One of the more alarming things about this season has been the Ravens' inability to find the end zone early in games. Sustained drives have stalled, and other early possessions have gone nowhere. They have not scored a first-quarter touchdown since Week 2 at Philadelphia, and since then they have been outscored 29-9 in the first quarter. This week, the Ravens will generate an early touchdown.

2. Ray Rice will have 20 carries.

Rice's workload remains topic No. 1 in Baltimore after he had just nine carries in the loss at Houston. Rice has had two of his four biggest rushing games of his career in Cleveland, and has had at least 20 carries in all four career games there. He gets the ball early and often.

3. Bernard Pierce will have at least six touches.

The Ravens want to get both Rice and backup running back Bernard Pierce involved, and establishing the running game with those two should help the passing game. Pierce has a total of 25 touches this season (23 rushes, two receptions), or about 3.5 per game. He set career highs in the first meeting with Cleveland, with six carries for 48 yards.

4. Anquan Boldin will have at least four catches.

The veteran Ravens receiver carried the Ravens' passing game in the first meeting between these teams. He had eight catches for 125 yards in the second half alone and finished 9-131, both season highs. The Browns have cornerback Joe Haden, who missed the first meeting with a suspension, but Boldin will still find his openings.

5. Joe Flacco will throw fewer than 30 passes.

Flacco threw a season-high 46 passes, completing 28, in the win over Cleveland six weeks ago. But in Cleveland, the Ravens have generally relied on the ground game, and want to recommit to the run this week. In four career starts at Cleveland, Flacco has averaged 22 passes, and has never thrown more than 29.

6. Trent Richardson will rush for 100 yards.

The Ravens have shown a glaring weakness in run defense, and Haloti Ngata (questionable, shoulder, knee) is banged up in the middle of that defense. Richardson was held to 47 yards on 14 carries by the Ravens in September, but he's coming off a career-best 122-yard effort in the Browns' win over San Diego. Expect him to run it until the Ravens show they can stop him. Ngata's presence -- or absence -- could be huge. 

7. Terrell Suggs will have a sack.

Led by five-time Pro Bowl tackle Joe Thomas, the Browns' offensive line is decent and has yielded 13 sacks this season.  The Ravens got to Brandon Weeden once in the first meeting, with Paul Kruger recording a sack. Suggs might not yet be 100 percent, but he is a game-changer off the edge and will make things happen once again. In 18 career games against the Browns, Suggs has 13 sacks.

8. Josh Gordon will have a catch of at least 25 yards.

The Browns rookie receiver is really coming into his own, with 10 catches and four touchdowns in the Browns' past four games. He's a big-play threat who leads the league with 22.3 yards per catch, and he will test Ravens corners Cary Williams and Jimmy Smith, who both have had trouble defending double moves and deep routes.

9. The Ravens will win time of possession.

Perhaps nothing has hurt the Ravens more lately than their inability to get the defense off the field. The offense has stalled, the defense has yielded sustained drives, and the result has been whopping deficiencies in time of possession. They managed to beat Dallas despite having the ball for 19:57, compared to Dallas' 40:03, and then had the ball for 21:44 at Houston. The Ravens have held the ball more than 30 minutes just once this season -- in the first meeting with Cleveland. By establishing Ray Rice and their running game, they will do that again.

10. Ravens 23, Browns 20

The Ravens put a few streaks on the line on Sunday: John Harbaugh has never lost to the Browns, winning nine straight, and the Ravens have won 14 straight games after a loss, the longest such streak in the league. They are also 4-0 under John Harbaugh in their first game after the bye. They will be tested by an improved Browns team, and need to play better on the road than they have lately. But Suggs makes an impact on defense, Rice does the same on offense and the Ravens escape with a win.

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Justin Tucker missed a game-tying PAT, but the Ravens aren't fazed at all


Justin Tucker missed a game-tying PAT, but the Ravens aren't fazed at all

Justin Tucker making an extra point for the Baltimore Ravens is a sure thing.

As sure as the sun will rise each morning, Tucker's dependability and success have been a constant for the team. But on an afternoon where winds of around 17 mph were a factor though 60 minutes, Tucker's success came to a shocking halt. 

After Joe Flacco and the offense made their way downfield, Flacco found wide receiver John Brown in the end zone to make the score 24-23 with 24 seconds left in regulation.

In walked the most accurate kicker in NFL history to do what he's done so many times before; keep the Ravens in the game. As the ball sailed off Tucker's foot, it took a right and became the first point-after-touchdown the kicker has ever missed.

"I felt like when the ball came off my foot, that I hit it just how I wanted to," Tucker said at the podium following the Ravens' Week 7 loss to the Saints. "Don't get me wrong, today was a challenging day to kick the ball in our stadium, to the right of our bench."

Two hundred and twenty two-straight PATs. 222 consecutive makes, including 112 consecutive since PATs were moved back to the 15-yard line in 2015. Tucker was named AFC Special Teams Player of the Month for September, marking the fifth time he's been awarded the honor.

From the field to the press box and all the way to the nosebleeds, M&T Bank Stadium was in shock. 

"A lot of things go through your mind, but I've been there plenty of time," Flacco said. "If you play football long enough, you're going to be there at some point. We're a very tight team here, and the first thing you think about is your brother and him dealing with it. Justin's the best in the world at what he does, and he's the most confident person that I know. It's not going to be an issue." 

"We're a tight group – we are light years better than we've been in the past," safety Eric Weddle said in the locker room after the loss. "Shoot, 'Tuck' is going to win us some games. We're not worried about that missed kick. Shoot, I think it's the first extra point ever that he's missed. Let's not get on him too hard. He's going to be hard on himself. That wasn't the only reason we lost." 

The support for Tucker, in what was a one-off for their teammate, was apparent throughout the entire locker room. When Tucker took to the podium to address the media, long snapper Morgan Cox and punter Sam Koch stood in the interview room while their kicker tried to explain what went wrong in a show of support.

"This one just happened to get away from me," Tucker added. "I'll have to look at it. I can't tell you exactly what happened, but at the end of the day, I feel like I cost us the game. Every single one of my teammates thus far has told me the opposite, and no one plays wins or loses a game, but that's a tough thing to grapple with when you're the guy in the situation at the end of the game."

Even members of the Saints were in disbelief. Almost everyone was mentally preparing for overtime as Tucker's accuracy is known around the league.

"When [Tucker] missed it, I thought, 'Let's get up and get out of here,'" running back Mark Ingram said. "I mean, that guy is good, so I was shocked."

"I automatically was thinking about overtime and what we were going to do," quarterback Drew Brees added. "I was very, very surprised when he missed it."

What the Ravens and fans alike can take solace in is that Tucker's stats speak for themselves showing more positive plays than negative. While it was probably the most heartbreaking loss they've had since Week 17 of the 2017 season, Tucker's point of emphasis when speaking with the media postgame was about more than a missed extra point.

"But, more than anything, I just wanted to be here [at the podium]," he said. "If I was going to ever teach my son or any young person about accountability, I felt like it was really important that I stand up here and answer whatever questions you guys may have."


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What you need to know from the Ravens' 24-23 loss to the Saints

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What you need to know from the Ravens' 24-23 loss to the Saints

The Baltimore Ravens' top-ranked scoring defense clashed with the New Orleans Saints' top-ranked scoring offense in a game fans will soon never forget.

After a constant back and forth and a chance to tie the game, Justin Tucker missed his first ever point-after-touchdown attempt with seconds to spare.

Here's what you need to know from the Ravens' 24-23 loss over the Saints.

— We knew this game was going to be interesting and the Saints didn't waste any time getting things rolling. Facing a fourth down, New Orleans faked a punt for a five-yard gain from third-string quarterback Taysom Hill. The 20 play, 69-yard drive was highlighted by four fourth-down attempts, two challenges from the Ravens and a fumble recovery by nose tackle Michael Pierce on the final fourth down attempt at the six-yard line.

Not only was the 9:58 drive the longest opening drive by a team this season, it was the longest opening drive to result in zero points since the Browns' 9:59 opening drive Week 1 of 2015, per NFL research.

— Drew Brees continues making history during the 2018 season. The QB threw his 500th career touchdown to former Raven Ben Watson in the second quarter joining Brett Favre, Peyton Manning and Tom Brady in the prestigious club. Then when the clock hit zero and the Saints came away with the win, Brees also joined Manning and Favre as the third QB to beat all 32 NFL teams.

Prior to Sunday, Brees was 0-4 against the Ravens. He also became the NFL's all-time leading passer back in Week 5.

— It only took seven weeks, but rookie quarterback Lamar Jackson scored his first NFL touchdown with four seconds left in the first half. While it was only from one-yard out, it was nice to see Jackson kick it into gear with the clock ticking. He wasn't the only guy from the Ravens' 2018 draft class to make an impact. Tight end Mark Andrews scored an eight-yard touchdown late in the third quarter to put the team up 17-7 and left guard Bradley Bozeman and right tackle Orlando Brown Jr. held down the O-line for much of the afternoon. 

— The Ravens' streak of not allowing a second-half touchdown in the 2018 season came to an end Sunday. Drew Brees gave the ball to running back Alvin Kamara at the top of the fourth quarter resulting in a two-yard touchdown. Kamara finished the day with 17 attempts for 64 yards and one touchdown. 

— Jimmy Smith's first start of 2018 didn't go quite as well as he'd like.

Smith was hit with two pass interference calls, with one of them coming in the end zone leading to a Saints touchdown and the other on one of many third downs. The cornerback had trouble covering wide receiver Michael Thomas, who heading into Week 7 was ranked fourth in the NFL,  all afternoon. One of their meetings resulted in a touchdown to put the Saints up 21-17.

— Then there was, of course, Justin Tuckers' first-ever PAT miss. After Joe Flacco hit John Brown in the end zone for a 14-yard touchdown with 0:24 left on the clock, the Ravens were preparing to go into overtime until that wasn't necessary. Tucker, who is the most accurate kicker in NFL history, was on the wrong side of history when his kick went wide right.

From the field to the nosebleeds, M&T Bank Stadium was in shock as the clock expired and the final score was 24-23.

Postgame, Tucker took responsibility for the team's loss while his head coach and teammates all reiterated that a game never comes down to just one play.