Despite the fact that the Ravens missed out on Michael Brockers, it’s hard not to look at the offseason and see modest levels of progress.
The Ravens added two interior defensive linemen to help out with a pass rush that could use a boost on the inside and kept Matthew Judon around on a franchise tag.
Even still, the Ravens and general manager Eric DeCosta still have a lot of work to do before next season begins. And they’ve got nine picks — and seven in the first four rounds — to fill out the roster.
Meaning, the Ravens have the ammunition to trade up for a player in the top half of the first round, should they choose. But while that option might seem tantalizing to the fanbase, it doesn’t make sense to move up for certain positions. One of those positions is wide receiver.
The Ravens’ team website answered this question from a fan a week ago about the prospect of moving up in the draft for another wideout for Lamar Jackson. While it’s true that adding Jerry Jeudy or Ceedee Lamb or even a Justin Jefferson or Henry Ruggs-type wideout would only further elevate the offense, it’s not the most sensical move for the roster.
Baltimore picks 28th in the draft, so if it felt it needed to trade with Denver to get the 15th selection to pick one of Lamb or Jeudy, that’d cost them a chunk of their draft capital.
According to a trade value chart, the Ravens’ 28th selection is currently worth about 660 “points.” Should they move up to 15th overall, which is worth 1,050 points, they’d have to make up a difference of 390 points. Meaning, a potential trade to 15th would cost the Ravens — approximately — the 28th pick, the 55th pick, and the 129th pick.
Of course, that’s only speaking from a mathematical perspective. The Ravens would likely have to part with an additional pick in 2021 too, if past history is any future indicator. Should there be a bidding war for one of those wideouts, the price would only go up from there.
The argument, of course, can be made that, when whoever that assortment of picks is stacked against Jeudy or Lamb, the newest wide receiver would outweigh those selections in the later rounds.
But with a wide receiver class as loaded as this year’s class is, there will certainly be a wide receiver of value, both on the field and in the draft room, when the Ravens pick in the first, second and third rounds.
Additionally, the Ravens would have to take a good look at the resources they’ve invested into the team if they’re sure about trading up for a wide receiver. Since 2016, the Ravens have picked five times in the first round. Four picks were offensive players — three of whom play skill positions (Jackson, Hayden Hurst and Marquise Brown).
With the Ravens other, perhaps more pressing needs on the roster, which include interior offensive line, edge rusher and inside linebacker, making a trade to acquire a receiver and diminish the chances of filling the rest of the holes on the roster isn’t something the Ravens should entertain.
When you look at the investments the Ravens have made on offense in recent years, paired with the context of this year’s draft and other team needs across the board, it simply doesn’t make sense to invest even more top resources into more skill positions on the offense.
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