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It ain't crazy to say John Carlson can win the Norris Trophy

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NBC Sports Washington

It ain't crazy to say John Carlson can win the Norris Trophy

We knew John Carlson was good, but we didn’t know he could be this good.

Carlson led all defensemen in points last season with 68, shattering his previous career-high of 55.

The 28-year-old blueliner established himself as the team’s top defenseman in the wake of an injury to Matt Niskanen. In the month Niskanen was out of the lineup in October and November, Carlson led the NHL in time on ice per game at 27:47.

Before, Carlson was known as a puck-moving defenseman who was far more skilled in the offensive zone than the defensive. Playing nearly 30 minutes per game, Carlson showed he was a much more balanced player than previously thought as he was tasked with playing difficult minutes against tough competition on both ends of the ice.

It was an eye-opening season that established Carlson as a top defenseman, and he did it while playing the majority of the season with a rookie defenseman as his partner in Christian Djoos.

The addition of Michal Kempny to the lineup gave the Caps’ blueline a boost last season and solidified the team’s top-four on defense. Now, Carlson and Kempny are expected to start the season as the team’s top pair, giving Carlson an advantage he did not get in his career year last season.

Even with a new long-term deal in hand, don’t be surprised if Carlson looks even better in 2018-19. He established as one of the top defenseman in the league, and defensive guru Todd Reirden is now the man in charge as head coach. As he enters the season on the top pairing with an established partner, there’s no reason to think Carlson won’t put up similar offensive numbers as last year, that he won’t continue his strong play on the defensive end of the ice and that he won’t be among the finalists for the Norris Trophy.

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Bradon Holtby back in net as Capitals continue road trip against the Winnipeg Jets

Bradon Holtby back in net as Capitals continue road trip against the Winnipeg Jets

The Capitals continue a four-game road trip with their second game in as many nights when they play the Winnipeg Jets (8 p.m., NBC Sports Washington) on Wednesday night. The two teams came close to meeting in the Stanley Cup Final last season. The Jets lost in the Western Conference Final to the Vegas Golden Knights in five games while the Caps went on to win the title.  

Here are four things to watch:

Power up

The NHL’s two best power plays go at it on Wednesday. The Jets lead the league at 34 percent with second-year pro Patrik Laine playing their version of Alex Ovechkin. Laine has seven power-play goals. The Capitals have cooled some lately and were 0-for-2 against Minnesota on Tuesday night, but remain second in the league at 30.3 percent. Ovechkin and Evgeny Kuznetsov each have six power-play goals. Washington’s top unit, which also includes John Carlson, Nicklas Backstrom and T.J. Oshie, has a combined 45 power-play points in 17 games.  

Holtby’s Back

The Caps rolled the dice and started backup goalie Pheonix Copley in Minnesota to begin the roads trip and he played well with 26 saves in a 5-2 victory against the Wild. That worked out. Now they have saved starter Braden Holtby for Winnipeg, a team many see as the favorite to win the Western Conference. 

Holtby (.900 save percentage, 3.24 goals-against average) is starting to round into form. He stopped 93 of 99 shots in the final three games of last week’s homestand – though Washington lost two of those three in regulation. 

Killing it

The Capitals killed five of six penalties against Minnesota on Tuesday, but they still rank 28th in the NHL (72.7 percent). Adding Tom Wilson to that unit after his 20-game suspension was reduced certainly helped. Wilson played 5:23 short handed against the Wild. But Washington is still without PK mainstay Brooks Orpik (lower body injury), who remains on long-term injured reserve. 

All even 

Good thing the Jets have been so good on the power play because they haven’t done well at even strength. With 26 five-on-five goals, Winnipeg is 29th overall. Look out for center Mark Scheifele, though. He has 12 points (six goals, six assists) at even strength. Scheifele scored twice against the Capitals last Feb. 13 in Winnipeg and assisted on the game-winning goal in overtime of a 4-3 victory. Washington led that game 3-1 with 8:30 to go. Scheifele scored a short-handed goal with 15 seconds left to send the game to overtime.  

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5 takeaways from the neutral arbitrator’s ruling on Tom Wilson

5 takeaways from the neutral arbitrator’s ruling on Tom Wilson

Tom Wilson finally made his season debut on Tuesday after his 20-game suspension was reduced to 14 games. The suspension was reduced by neutral arbitrator Shyam Das, who issued his decision Tuesday in a 42-page ruling.

Wilson was originally suspended for a hit he delivered to St. Louis Blues forward Oskar Sundqvist.

Just as Bettman did in the first appeal, Das sheds light on several fascinating aspects of the process and various arguments used. Here are my five biggest takeaways from Tuesday’s ruling.

Think Sundqvist hit shows that Wilson is a dirty player? No one else seems to

Wilson has developed a bit of a reputation among some fans for being a dirty player and many have used this incident as evidence of that. Behind closed doors, however, it seems like everyone is in agreement that Wilson was making a hockey play and just missed.

Das wrote, “The NHLPA stresses that Wilson had no intent to injure or target Sundqvist's head, as [head of the Department of Player Safety George Parros] acknowledged. It is agreed that he was making a hockey play. His hit, even assuming it was a violation of Rule 48 -- which the NHLPA disputes -- was off ‘by inches,’ as recognized by the DPS.”

It used to be fairly common for a player who cut across the middle in the offensive zone to get blown up by the opposition. It’s not that way anymore, but there’s nobody seems to question that Wilson was simply back checking and going after the puck carrier and not simply head-hunting.

Careful what you put in an email

In a footnote, Das detailed how the NHLPA tried to argue both Commissioner Gary Bettman and Deputy Commissioner Bill Daly attempted to influence the DPS’s decision of whether or not to suspend Wilson.

The NHLPA cites an email Daly sent to Parros at 5:05 p.m. on September 30, 2018 stating: "Looks like a big one. The Emergency Assistance Fund [which receives forfeited salary of penalized players] is going to be happy." Immediately prior to sending this email, Daly had been copied on five emails sent to Parros by other DPS personnel all stating that in their opinion Wilson had violated Rule 48. The NHLPA also cites Parros' testimony that the day before the DPS hearing on this incident he was at an unrelated meeting at which the Commissioner said something to the effect: "You're going to do the right thing or Do the right thing.

Conspiracy theorists are going to run away with this as proof that the NHL is somehow out to get the Caps, but I think it is important to note that the neutral arbitrator—the key word being neutral—did not buy the NHLPA’s argument. Das wrote, “The evidence as a whole, including Parros’ testimony, does not establish that the DPS was improperly influenced by the cited comments of League officials.”

Patrick Kaleta mattered a lota

Who is Patrick Kaleta? Kaleta is former player with an extensive history of supplementary discipline. His name appears 34 times in Das’ ruling so you know he must be important.

The NHLPA argued Kaleta was the “most appropriate comparison” to Wilson because he was suspended three times and fined once over the course of 94 games and with less total ice time. Despite his extensive history, the DPS issued a suspension of only 10 games in 2013 for a hit he delivered to the head of Columbus Blue Jackets defenseman Jack Johnson. That 10-game suspension was reached by doubling his prior suspension of five games.

The DPS made a point of saying that because Wilson was facing discipline for the fourth time in 105 games, his history was “unprecedented.” The reason why the DPS felt that way was because it drew a distinction Wilson was suspended all four times whereas Kaleta was fined once in his four violations during the comparable period and it was not taking the fine into account. Once you add that in, it is easy to see the argument as to why the length of Wilson’s suspension seems extreme in comparison.

How the suspension went from 20 to 14

How the DPS reached 20 games for the suspension was detailed in Bettman’s ruling, but here’s a quick refresher. Parros took Wilson’s last suspension of three games and doubled it to account for the weight of a playoff game (6), tripled that number because Wilson is a repeat offender (18) and added two more games because the hit caused an injury (20).

The sticking point for Das was tripling the last suspension which Das said there was no precedent of the league doing in the past.

“I conclude that Wilson's suspension should be reduced to 14 games,” Das wrote. “I have arrived at this length by treating his most recent prior 3 playoff game suspension as the equivalent of 6 regular season games, as Parros did, doubling that based on all relevant circumstances to 12 games -- which certainly constitutes more severe punishment consistent with the CBA -- and adding 2 games, as Parros did, based on the injury to Sundqvist.”

The change was that instead of multiplying the past suspension by three, Das though it appropriate to double it instead just as the league did with Kaleta.

This wasn’t a win for Wilson

Getting Wilson back was good news for the Caps and it saves him $378,048.78 that he would have otherwise had to forfeit, but let’s be clear, this was not a win for Wilson.

A 14-game suspension is still a significant suspension and it would have felt massive had the league originally given him 14 games on Oct. 3. It just doesn’t seem that way now because the original suspension was for 20 games.

The neutral arbitrator ruled that Wilson’s hit was illegal and worthy of a significant suspension. The only issue was basically that he didn’t like the NHL’s math. Das’ ruling should in no way be considered vindication for Wilson. Everything that has been said about Wilson in the wake of the suspension remains true. He still has to change the way he plays because the next suspension will be greater. Even if the NHL is beholden to the double modifier Das determined to reach 14 games, the best case scenario for the next suspension will be 24 to 28 games depending on if the DPS takes into account the extra two games tacked on for injury or not. That’s the best case scenario. Neither he nor the team can afford that.

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