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Stanley Cup Playoffs 2019: The ultimate Capitals-Hurricanes series preview

Stanley Cup Playoffs 2019: The ultimate Capitals-Hurricanes series preview

Round 1: Washington Capitals vs. Carolina Hurricanes

Capital vs. Hurricanes Schedule:

Game 1: Hurricanes at Capitals. Thursday, 4/11 at 7:30 p.m. ET. (Broadcast on NBC Sports Washington)
Game 2: Hurricanes at Capitals. Saturday, 4/13 at 3:00 p.m. ET. (Broadcast on NBC)
Game 3: Capitals at Hurricanes. Monday, 4/15 at 7:00 p.m. ET. (Broadcast on NBC Sports Washington)
Game 4: Capitals at Hurricanes. Thursday, 4/18 at 7:00 p.m. ET. (Broadcast on NBC Sports Washington)
Game 5 (If Necessary): Hurricanes at Capitals. Saturday, 4/20 at Time TBD. (Channel TBD)
Game 6 (If Necessary): Capitals at Hurricanes. Monday, 4/22 at Time TBD. (Channel TBD)
Game 7 (If Necessary): Hurricanes at Capitals. Wednesday, 4/24 at Time TBD. (Channel TBD)

See the full detailed schedule here.

Capitals vs. Hurricanes Stats that Matter:

Washington Capitals Team Stats:

- 48-26-8, 104 points, first in the Metropolitan Division
- 3.34 goals per game (5th)
- 3.02 goals against per game (16th)
- 20.8-percent power play percentage (12th)
- 78.9-percent penalty kill percentage (24th)

Carolina Hurricanes Team Stats:

- 46-29-7, 99 points, first wild card
- 2.96 goals per game (16th)
- 2.70 goals against per game (tied for 7th)
- 17.8 power play percentage (20th)
- 81.6-percent penalty kill percentage (8th)

Washington Capitals Top Performers:

Goals: 1) Alex Ovechkin: 51, 2) T.J. Oshie: 25, 3) Jakub Vrana: 24
Assists: 1) John Carlson: 57, 2) Nicklas Backstrom: 52, 3) Evgeny Kuznetsov: 51
Points: 1) Alex Ovechkin: 89, 2) Nicklas Backstrom: 74, 3) Evgeny Kuznetsov: 72

Carolina Hurricanes Top Performers:

Goals: 1) Sebastian Aho: 30, 2) Justin Williams: 23, 3) Teuvo Teravainen: 21
Assists: 1) Teuvo Teravainen: 55, 2) Sebastian Aho: 53, 3) Justin Williams: 30
Points: 1) Sebastian Aho: 83, 2) Teuvo Tervainen: 76, 3) Justin Williams: 53

Washington Capitals Goaltending:

Braden Holtby: 59 GP, 32-19-5 record, .911 save percentage, 2.82 GAA, 3 shutouts
Pheonix Copley: 27 GP, 16-7-3 record, .905 save percentage, 2.90 GAA, 1 shutout

Carolina Hurricanes Goaltending:

Petr Mrazek: 40 GP, 23-14-3 record, .914 save percentage, 2.69 GAA, 4 shutouts
Curtis McElhinney: 33 GP, 20-11-2 record, .912 save percentage, 3.34 GAA, 2 shutouts
Scott Darling: 8 GP, 2-4-2 record, .884 save percentage, 3.34 GAA, 0 shutouts
Alex Nedeljkovic: 1 GP, 1-0-0 record, .923 save percentage, 2.00 GAA, 0 shutouts

Capitals vs. Hurricanes Head-to-head record:

Capitals won season series 4-0-0

Dec. 14: 6-5 Capitals win (shootout)

Alex Ovechkin scored his second hat trick in as many games to help the Caps overcome a 4-1 deficit and force a shootout. Jakub Vrana scored the winner in the sixth round.

Dec. 27: 3-1 Capitals win

Washington completely locked it down on defense and Braden Holtby did the rest, turning aside 28 out of 29 shots for the win.

March 26: 4-1 Capitals win

After battling to a 1-1 tie through 40 minutes, Washington broke the game open in the third period with three goals.

March 28: 3-2 Capitals win

The Caps swept both legs of a home-and-home with the Hurricanes, rallying back from a 2-1 deficit in the third period in Raleigh. Washington scored twice in the final frame with Nic Dowd deflecting the game winner past goalie Curtis McElhinney.

Three keys of the series for Washington:

1. Goaltending: Petr Mrazek is one of the hottest goalies in the NHL since the trade deadline. In that time, he has gone 9-2-0 with a .943 save percentage and 1.72 GAA. If that goalie shows up in the playoffs, the Caps are in trouble.

But will he?

Mrazek is on his third NHL team in two seasons. He was even left exposed in the Vegas expansion draft and was not taken. This is not a goalie many teams look at as a starter. He has done well in a goalie tandem with McElhinney this season, but can he handle being the No. 1 for playoff series? He is a sink or swim goalie and Carolina’s hopes for a first-round upset will likely sink or swim with him.

2. Physical play: The Capitals can play a number of different styles, but they are really at their best when they are physically wearing down opponents.

The Hurricanes are not a heavy team. Will they be able to keep track of Ovechkin while Wilson is throwing his weight around? Will their defense be able to withstand the grinding cycle Washington employs in the offensive zone? Will their offense be able to withstand the physical beating the Caps’ blue line imposes on opponents at the blue line?

If the answer is no, Carolina is going to get worn down very quickly.

3. Figuring out the defense: The injury to Michal Kempny is a big blow and it was made worst by the fact that it happened so close to the end of the regular season. As a result, head coach Todd Reirden really has not had much time to figure out what the ideal defensive lineup looks like without Kempny in it.

Is playing Carlson on the left, his off-side, really the best solution? Can he find chemistry with Nick Jensen?

If Carlson has to go back to the right, who plays on the top pairing with him? Will it be just one player or a platoon? The Hurricanes most likely do not have the offensive depth to keep up with Washington, but if the top defensive pairing proves to be a weakness Carolina is able to exploit, that will greatly mitigate Washington’s advantage in offensive depth.

Capitals vs. Hurricanes Expert Picks:

Craig Laughlin, Capitals color commentator: Capitals in 5
Ryan Billie, Capitals producer: Capitals in 6
Brian McNally, Capitals beat writer: Capitals in 7
JJ Regan, Capitals beat writer: Capitals in 5
Brent Johnson, on-air analyst: Capitals 6
Alan May, on-air analyst: Capitals in 5
Al Koken, Capitals game reporter: Capitals in 6
Rob Carlin, host of Caps Pregame Live and Caps Postgame Live: Capitals in 5
Joe Beninati, Capitals play by play commentator: Capitals in 6
Grant Paulsen, host of Caps FaceOff Live and Caps Overtime Live: Capitals in 6
Courtney Laughlin, on-air analyst: Capitals in 6

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How Jakub Vrana could be game changer for Caps over next two seasons

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USA Today Sports Images

How Jakub Vrana could be game changer for Caps over next two seasons

The Capitals took care of their last major order of business this summer by signing restricted free agent Jakub Vrana to a two-year contract extension. 

The deal: Two years, $6.7 million with a salary-cap hit of $3.35 million. That’s not bad for an RFA who posted 24 goals in his age 22/23 season.

Washington now has 13 forwards under contract and six defensemen plus both goalies. According to the invaluable web site CapFriendly.com, that leaves salary-cap space of $935,706. That's tight. 

The Capitals need to add one more depth defenseman to get to seven. Christian Djoos received a qualifying offer of $715,000, but as an RFA himself elected to go to arbitration. That hearing is July 22. Chandler Stephenson, another RFA, also chose arbitration. The forward has his hearing on Aug. 1. There might be room only for Djoos unless another move is made. 

During his age 22/23 season, Vrana broke through with a career-high in goals (24) and points (47) and established himself as a legitimate top-six forward on an aging team that needs its young talent to produce if it wants to continue as a Stanley Cup contender.

With captain Alex Ovechkin, 33, center Nicklas Backstrom, 31, and right wing T.J. Oshie, 32, in the top six, Washington has kept a good mix with Vrana, 23, Tom Wilson, 25, and Evgeny Kuznetsov, 27, all still in their 20s. Vrana, especially, plays at a speed few others on the roster other than Carl Hagelin can match.  

Since the 2010-11 season, a player who began a season 22 or younger scored 24 goals just 95 times. The list of 55 players who accomplished that feat is littered with stars (Connor McDavid, Nathan McKinnon, Patrick Kane, Taylor Hall) or young phenoms (Sebastian Aho, Auston Matthews, Jack Eichel) and there are very few one-hit wonders or busts on that list. 

At worst, those players have provided steady production for several seasons. The Capitals are hoping for a lot more from Vrana, who scored his 24 goals and got his 47 points with limited power-play time (93:28) on the second unit. 

That might not change much this year, but it’s intriguing to think what Vrana could do if injuries strike and he’s moved up. He was on the ice for 59 goals at even strength and just 37 against, which was the best differential among all Capitals forwards last season.   

The two-year bridge contract is no real surprise. The Capitals took the same tact in 2017 with Andre Burakovsky, their 2013 first-round draft pick. But Burakovsky, while he scored some huge goals in the Stanley Cup playoffs, struggled to maintain consistency in his game and never had a year like Vrana’s 2018-19. He was traded to Colorado last month in part because of the salary-cap crunch and he just drove coaches crazy for the better part of five years.

Vrana is in essence betting on himself. If he is able to make another leap and get to that 30-goal mark, he will still be a restricted free agent after the 2020-21 season at age 25, but one with vastly more leverage. He would be arbitration eligible. He was not eligible this summer. He would be in line for a big payday on a long-term deal from Washington - or would have just two years left before unrestricted free agency after the 2022-23 season.

A similar RFA case happened with the Toronto Maple Leafs and forward Kasperi Kapanen this summer. The Leafs gave their young winger a three-year bridge deal worth $9.6 million and a $3.2 million salary-cap hit. They, too, were facing a tough salary-cap crunch. Kapanen was the 22ndoverall pick in 2014. Vrana was 13ththat same year. Kapanen had 20 goals and 24 assists (44 points) this past season. Vrana gets more power-play time, but Kapanen kills penalties (125:22).    

So Vrana in the end received a little more money than the Kapanen deal and can re-set his contract sooner if he breaks out big. Washington believes that he can and will because Vrana’s skill is undeniable. 

Go back and look at some of his best goals from last season. They often came off the rush when opposing defenders simply couldn’t deal with him or when he snuck behind a defender for a rip off and a scoring chance. He is almost always the last regular on the ice after practice. He’s scored a big goal in a Stanley Cup clincher.

The Capitals now have a balanced top nine with a solid mix of veterans and in-their-prime players. Vrana still has to prove he can build on the promise of last season and his pointless playoff series against Carolina in April, while allowing for a possible shoulder injury, shows his game isn’t a finished product quite yet. 

But Vrana is the one young under-25 forward on the roster – likely in the entire organization – who has the raw talent to become a 30-to-40 goal, 60-to-70 point player. That’s the package the Capitals hoped they were taking in the first round five years ago. Now we will see if Vrana can get there. 

 

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Jakub Vrana's top 5 moments as a Capital so far

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USA TODAY sports images

Jakub Vrana's top 5 moments as a Capital so far

Jakub Vrana has made it through his entry-level contract and signed a new deal Tuesday for two-years, $6.7 million.

To celebrate his new bridge deal, we look back at the top 5 moments from Vrana's last three seasons with the squad.

5: Vrana's first goal

Against the Buffalo Sabres on the road, Vrana introduced himself to Capitals fans with a tap-in off an Evgeny Kuznetsov feed to beat Robin Lehner.

It would be the first of 40 goals he's scored in his young Caps career.

4: Pick-pocketing the Flyers

They say the best offense is a good defense, but Vrana didn't have to settle on this goal.

With a nifty poke check at the Caps defensive blue line, Vrana went full blast towards the Philadelphia Flyers defense, beat them, then roofed a shot for his 13th goal of the season.

3: Helping to lift the curse against the Penguins

Vrana scored his first-ever playoff goal against the Penguins during the 2018 Stanley Cup run, but it was his Game 5 dagger that put Caps fans on their feet.

Thanks to a cross-crease feed from Alex Ovechkin, Vrana was able to slot the puck past Matt Murray in the dying minutes for the game-winning goal. The Caps would add two more, going on to win 6-3.

2: Stanley Cup Celebration

It's no secret the boys partied hard after they won the Cup in 2018, and Vrana presented us with one of the greatest moments during the epic celebration. 

This moment with Joe B. will never, ever get old. The party continued at the Stanley Cup parade a couple days later. 

After a solid show along the parade route, Vrana graced us with his stellar dance moves.

1: Game 5 Stanley Cup Final opening goal

Big players come up in big games, and Vrana proved to be one of those players in the Capitals' 2018 Stanley Cup run.

In enemy territory against the Vegas Golden Knights with the Stanley Cup on the line, Vrana powered down the ice and roofed a wrist shot past Marc-Andre Fleury for the opening goal of Game 5.

Here's to hoping we see many more big moments in the years to come from Jake the Snake.

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