After a thrilling Week 1 victory, the Washington Football Team has dropped five consecutive games, the latest a 20-19 loss to the previously winless New York Giants.
The lousy NFC East means even at 1-5, Washington is still technically in the division race. Head coach Ron Rivera will say the same. It's one of the reasons he chose to bench Dwayne Haskins for Kyle Allen.
But, the reality is the Burgundy and Gold are a lot closer to the No. 1 overall pick in 2021 than an NFC East title this season. And, whichever team ends up with the worst record will have the opportunity to draft the best quarterback prospect in years: Clemson's Trevor Lawrence.
Washington certainly would benefit -- both in the short- and long-term -- by drafting Lawrence. He'd be an instant upgrade over any passer on the roster, and by a significant margin. Combine that with his limitless potential, and Washington (or whoever ends up picking Lawrence) should be set at the QB position for years.
But, unfortunately for Washington, it currently is one of several teams firmly in the mix for the No.1 pick. Through six weeks of the NFL season, there are an incredible 10 teams that have one win or fewer.
And of those 10 clubs, a good fraction of them will likely be in the quarterback market should their seasons continue on the trajectory they're on. Besides Washington, the Jets, Giants, Jaguars, and maybe even the Falcons or Vikings, could all be looking to select a signal-caller in the first round of the 2021 NFL Draft.
If the 2020 season ended today, Washington would have the second overall pick, with the winless New York Jets holding the top spot. Despite drafting Sam Darnold third overall in 2017, rumors have already surfaced that the Jets would move on from him and select Lawrence.
When you look at the Jets schedule for the remainder of the year, it's hard to imagine they'll enter any matchup favored. There's a real possibility New York finishes the season winless, and thus, the easy winner of the Lawrence sweepstakes.
The Giants may have beaten Washington on Sunday, but the two teams play again in two weeks. Should Washington emerge victorious in that matchup, the Giants would then leapfrog the Football Team in the draft order.
Using strength of schedule for all 16 opponents, Washington also has the easiest schedule remaining of every team that has one win or fewer. So, there's a strong likelihood that the Burgundy and Gold tally a few more victories this season. Ron Rivera won't let his team quit vs. a bunch of other bad teams week after week.
After the early benching of Haskins and the up-and-down play of Allen thus far in 2020, it's easy for Washington fans to look to the future and hope they can land Lawrence.
With two-and-a-half months to go in the NFL season, the "Tank for Trevor" talk is alive and real in the nation's capital. But the truth is, Washington could lose its remaining 10 games and still not be guaranteed the chance to select the all-world talent.
As ugly as Washington has played over the past month, it's way too early to get fired up about the potential of drafting Lawrence. Sorry, Washington fans, but that's the simple truth. Your team isn't quite bad enough.