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Nationals fall short of comeback against Mets in MLB The Show 20 simulation of Opening Day

Nationals fall short of comeback against Mets in MLB The Show 20 simulation of Opening Day

With Opening Day 2020 postponed and no firm date in sight for MLB’s return, there aren’t many places to turn for baseball action.

That is, unless you have a PlayStation 4 and a copy of MLB The Show. In lieu of real baseball, I simulated the Nationals’ season opener against the New York Mets. While no substitution for the real thing, it does present an opportunity to talk some baseball in a time when the sporting world is at a standstill.

Here’s how the game went.


Away: Washington Nationals

SS Trea Turner

RF Adam Eaton

2B Starlin Castro

LF Juan Soto

3B Howie Kendrick

1B Eric Thames

C Kurt Suzuki

RHP Max Scherzer

CF Victor Robles

Home: New York Mets

3B Jeff McNeil

2B Robinson Canó

1B Pete Alonso

RF Michael Conforto

LF J.D. Davis

CF Brandon Nimmo

C Wilson Ramos

SS Amed Rosario

RHP Jacob deGrom

For the Nationals’ starting lineup, I stuck with the Turner-Eaton combo atop the order and slotted Castro in at third—something manager Davey Martinez appeared to be leaning toward this spring. Kendrick got the start over Asdrúbal Cabrera at third (with Carter Kieboom working in the minors) and I gave Thames the nod over Ryan Zimmerman because of the righty deGrom on the mound.

Suzuki is expected to be Scherzer’s personal catcher this season, so starting him instead of Yan Gomes was an easy call. Robles also got pushed down to the No. 9 spot in the order, another move Martinez spoke in favor of at West Palm Beach.

As for the Mets, predicting what newly hired skipper Luis Rojas would do with the lineup proved impossible, so I made my own. McNeil profiles as a steady leadoff hitter with a strong on-base percentage. Canó hit second because of his contract more than anything else. The Alonso-Conforto-Davis trio combined for 108 homers last season and would rival the heart of any lineup in the NL.

The hardest choice was what to do with Nimmo, who probably would’ve hit second if it weren’t for Canó. He doesn’t have the power to provide Davis with much protection but could be useful getting on base in front of Ramos. I also would’ve liked to hit Rosario ninth but decided I didn’t know enough about Rojas to be that bold.


The Mets clobbered Max Scherzer. He escaped the first inning allowing only one run on a solo homer off the bat of Canó but ran into immediate trouble the following frame. A walk, groundball single and hit-by-pitch loaded the bases for Rosario, who singled to right to score two more. He was followed by back-to-back singles from deGrom and McNeil that put New York ahead 5-0 with still no outs in the second.

Austin Voth, who lost out on the virtual fifth starter competition to Joe Ross, came in to relieve Scherzer and helped the Nationals get out of the inning.

Max Scherzer’s Line: 1.0 IP, 5 H, 5 R (5 ER), 1 BB, 2 K, 38 pitches/20 strikes

That score would remain until the fourth, when the Nationals finally got on the board. Eaton laid down a bunt single to lead off the inning before Castro reinforced his spot in the middle of the order with a home run to left that cut the deficit to three.

Unfortunately for Washington, the Mets would roar right back in the bottom half of the inning. Voth allowed three straight singles before serving up a two-out grand slam to Conforto, giving New York a commanding 9-2 lead. Roenis Elías struck out Davis to end the inning, but the damage was done.

Yet that didn’t stop the Nationals from trying to mount a comeback similar to the one they did against these very same Mets on Sept. 3, 2019. With deGrom still pitching, they scored three runs in the fifth thanks to a 383-foot homer to straightaway center by Turner. The big inning was spoiled by a double play, but it also chased deGrom from the game.

Jacob deGrom’s Line: 5.0 IP, 5 H, 5 R (5 ER), 5 BB, 2 K, 89 pitches/46 strikes

The Nationals’ bullpen did its part to keep the team in it. After Elías pitched a clean fifth, Wander Suero, Tanner Rainey and Fernando Abad each tossed quick and scoreless frames to keep the Mets’ bats quiet the rest of the afternoon.

Washington’s young studs Robles and Soto each came through with big homers. Robles hit a solo shot 423 feet to left in the seventh and Soto pulled a two-run bomb into the upper deck in right to make the score 9-8 with five outs left to play.

Rojas called on Seth Lugo to pitch the ninth, a surprising move given Edwin Diaz’s status as the de facto closer. But it proved to be the right call, as Lugo pitched a 1-2-3 inning to give the Mets an Opening Day win at Citi Field.

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David Ortiz lauds Juan Soto's rare confidence, says Nationals star was seven years ahead of him

David Ortiz lauds Juan Soto's rare confidence, says Nationals star was seven years ahead of him

Juan Soto had all the talent you could hope for as a 20-year-old star outfielder in the major leagues, it was just a matter of him putting it all together. 

In the 2019 World Series against the Astros, the Nationals' phenom did just that, posting a .333/.438/.741 slash line to go along with three homers, seven RBI and a number of clutch hits in the seven-game series. 

Not only that, but Soto raked against the Astros with so much confidence that he caught the eye of Red Sox legend and future Hall of Famer David Ortiz. 

The greatest DH of all time noticed a particular at-bat against Astros ace Justin Verlander. Verlander threw a fastball high for a ball, and his catcher argued the strike zone with the umpire given Verlander's desire to throw up in the zone. 

"And during this argument Soto got in and he said, 'Tell him to throw it a bit lower and I'll show him where's the strike zone,'" Ortiz said in a recent interview. "Believe me, I was watching all of that. Then Verlander threw the pitch he was asking for and Soto almost got the ball way out of the stadium. In my language, as a guy who played baseball professionally for 20 years ... I learned that confidence this kid already has at 21 years old, I got that confidence at about 28 years old. He's seven years ahead of me."

By the time Ortiz turned 28, he had played over seven seasons in the majors (two with Boston) and had hit 130 home runs to go with a .278/.359/.517 slash line. Once he got settled in on the Red Sox, Ortiz began to solidify himself as one of the game's best sluggers. 

Just two seasons into his professional career, Soto has hit .286/.403/.535 with 56 home runs. You don't want to start making impossible comparisons for a player just 21 years old, but Soto's first two years have been incredible. Not to mention the fact he delivered Washington its first World Series championship. 

Once the 2020 season gets underway, we'll see how high Soto can climb. It'll be difficult without Anthony Rendon in the lineup, though he seemed to do fine filling the void left by Bryce Harper.


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Revisiting five trades that shaped the Nationals

Revisiting five trades that shaped the Nationals

Asked a few weeks back if the end of spring training caused the end of trade discussions, Mike Rizzo said that was the case.

The Nationals, like every other team, were trying to figure out what’s next instead of hunting for trade solutions in early spring. Nothing about business was usual.

Though this stall does provide time for reflection. We’ll do some of that today, in the coming days via Nationals Talk Supreme Court on the podcast, and until baseball resumes.

For now, let’s look back on five trades which shaped the Nationals. Most good, one still up for debate and one you might recall with Jonathan Papelbon.

Dec. 19, 2014
Trea Turner and Joe Ross
Out: Steven Souza
Also involved: Wil Myers to San Diego
Overview: It’s hard to now fathom the Nationals without Turner. He’s been in the major leagues for five years -- three of them full seasons outside of injured list time from being hit by pitches. He’s a quality defensive shortstop, multi-faceted top-of-the-order bat, and growing among the faces of the franchise. Turner can’t become a free agent until 2023, right around the time prospect Luis Garcia should be ready to come to the major leagues.

Historically, Turner will be labeled the “player to be named later” in this trade, making him one of the best PTBNLs in baseball history (David Ortiz may be No. 1 there).

Ross’ future will determine what level of swindle this ultimately is. Turner is a 14.1 bWAR player to this point despite losing almost a full season because he was hit by pitches in separate years. Souza has been a 5.9 bWAR player since 2015. Myers has 8.5 bWAR since arriving in San Diego (where he also had injury problems). So, Turner’s performance is on par with what Souza and Myers have combined to do.

Which leaves Ross. The Nationals are wondering if he is heading toward a post-Tommy John breakthrough. The fifth starter spot was going to him or Austin Voth when spring training stopped. Anything he adds makes the trade all the more lucrative.

Dec. 23, 2011
Gio Gonzalez, Robert Gilliam
Out: Brad Peacock, A.J. Cole, Derek Norris, Tommy Milone
Overview: Gonzalez was a needed arm in the Nationals’ rotation and became one of the young franchises important pieces -- until the end.

He racked up 21.6 bWAR before being traded to Milwaukee after his starts became laborious and ineffective. Gonzalez was one of the more affable players in the Nationals’ clubhouse while in Washington. He’s addicted to Jordan brand anything, once brought a giant boom box to his locker and surprisingly befriended Jonathan Papelbon when the enigmatic closer worked in Washington.

Gonzalez was also one of the best left-handed pitchers in baseball while part of the Nationals’ push toward relevancy.

Norris is out of Major League Baseball. Cole is a non-roster invitee with the Blue Jays. Milone is a non-roster invitee with the Orioles and has not pitched well since 2014. Peacock has bounced between the bullpen and starting since the trade, amassing just 4.6 WAR after joining Houston following another trade in 2012.

July 16, 2017
Sean Doolittle, Ryan Madson and Brandon Kintzler
Out: Blake Treinen, Jesus Luzardo, Sheldon Neuse
Overview: You may have heard: The Nationals had a bad bullpen in 2017. And the next year. And last year.

To fix this, Rizzo brought in three veteran relievers. Doolittle, who is now one of the team’s main voices and its closer, can be a free agent at the end of the year. Madson and Kintzler both pitched well when first arriving.

Treinen dominated for a year in Oakland before falling flat last season. Luzardo’s future will ultimately decide how this trade is viewed. He’s still just 22 years old and appears ready to be a lethal threat in Oakland’s rotation for years to come. He’s precisely the kind of prospect the Nationals’ current farm system lacks. But, as Rizzo would argue, you have to give to get. And the Nationals were desperate at the time to fix the bullpen. Treinen was not pitching well, either.

Rizzo sent a chunk of the future for a patch since Madson and Kintzler were gone the following season. Doolittle may not be far behind them.


Dec. 8, 2016
Adam Eaton
Out: Lucas Giolito, Reynaldo López, Dane Dunning
Overview: How much does winning the World Series change the perception of this trade?

Hard-liners could argue acquiring Eaton -- even under the assumption Bryce Harper was leaving -- can never be worth trading three starting pitcher prospects. His 2017 knee injury doesn’t help his defense, but there’s also no way for an organization to predict an acute injury like that.

The assessment revolves around Giolito, who became an all-star last season, and Eaton’s 2019 World Series performance. His .993 OPS produced an argument for his series MVP consideration. Giolito was also one of baseball’s worst pitchers in 2018, when he led the American League in earned runs allowed and walks.

So, Giolito still has work to do to prove he’s an elite pitcher. López has fluctuated between solid and putrid. Dunning is coming off Tommy John surgery (but was pitching well prior).

Eaton has never performed as expected outside of the World Series. Is that enough to declare this a Washington win? It may be.

July 28, 2015
Jonathan Papelbon
Out: Nick Pivetta
Overview: We can’t talk about recent trades and not mention this one.

Papelbon’s arrival was a jolt. He instantly became a clubhouse influence -- in both directions. His pitching in 2015 was so-so, but, again, the Nationals needed bullpen help. Which made Papelbon the new closer and lead participant in one of the strangest acts in franchise history.

Papelbon choked Bryce Harper on the dugout steps when the two got into a late-game fight. Manager Matt Williams claimed not to see the fight and sent Papelbon back to the mound to pitch the ninth inning. The fight also coincided with the “Jersey off their backs” giveaway and yoga in the outfield. While reporters typed away their stories covering the in-fighting, a yoga instructor was talking about peace and breathing over the stadium’s PA system with dozens of people stretching across mats in the outfield.

As if that mix wasn’t odd enough, Papelbon returned the next season. He held one press conference in spring training to discuss the situation, saying he would answer anything asked at the time, but wouldn’t talk about it again. He was released Aug. 13, 2016. He hasn’t pitched since.

Pivetta has been a subpar pitcher since arriving in Philadelphia.

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