Prince's Props

Prince's Props: Josh Bell home run odds vs. Phillies

Prince's Props
Washington Nationals first baseman Josh Bell

* NBC Sports Washington editor Prince J. Grimes picks his favorite prop bet from today's action.

Prince's Prop: Josh Bell HR (+260)

Zach Wheeler is in the midst of yet another career-year for the Phillies, but if there was ever a time this season for his confidence to be shaken, it's now. Wheeler has allowed 17 runs (15 earned) over his last three starts, a season-high for any three-game stretch.

The game prior to that stretch was a masterful two-hit complete game in which he struck out 11 Mets, but that was proceeded by two extremely average starts against his opponent Monday, the Washington Nationals. 

Which Wheeler shows up Monday at Nationals Park can't be for certain, but if it's the one who has allowed six home runs in his last six starts, I like Josh Bell's +260 odds on PointsBet Sportsbook as much as any player to go long in this game.

Bell is seeing the ball well lately, having recorded a hit in 11 straight games he's started, and that includes three home runs and three multi-hit games last week. For his career, he's taken Wheeler deep once, when these teams met Aug. 3, and he's hitting a healthy .286 in 21 at-bats against him.

Adding to the intrigue of Bell's home run odds is that he's done most of his damage this season against the slider, which is Wheeler's best putaway pitch. And he's done his next-best damage against sinkers, another pitch Wheeler heavily relies on. The NBC Sports Edge projection model has Bell with a game-high 0.34 home runs projection and he has a 22% hit rate on the season.


Odds provided by our partner, PointsBet