Predicting seeds for the NCAA Tournament can be a complicated business. In a year like this one, rarely anything is taken for granted.

Bracketologists across the country lack a consensus on seedings. Typically, there is some consistency across bracket projections. But in a year full of upsets and top teams continuing to fall there is a lot unknown.

So with the Maryland Terrapins sitting at a No. 4 seed in several projected March Madness brackets, there is room for the Terps to climb based on their result in the Big Ten Tournament. 

Let's go ahead set expectations. All aspirations for a No. 1 seed evaporated for the Maryland Terrapins when they lost three out of four games near the end of the season. Not even a Big Ten Tournament title and a massive collapse from several of the other projected No. 1 and No. 2 seeds could get the Terps that high of a jump. 

As things stand heading in the Big Ten postseason, Maryland is 7-7 in Quadrant 1 opportunities - the selection committee's most important metric. All projected No. 1 seeds (Kansas, Baylor, Gonzaga, Dayton) are well above the .500 mark in that category. The two teams behind them (Duke and San Diego State) are going to finish above that as well even if the Blue Devils fall in the ACC Tournament. 

But a No. 2 seed is not out of the question. There is the potential that Maryland would get three more Q1 chances in the conference tournament. That could include highly valuable wins against Penn State, Michigan State or Ohio State, and Wisconsin. With the Big Ten being so dominant this season, only the Big East offers that rich of a path. 

 

Winning the Big Ten title is a given to try and achieve a No. 2 seed. The Terrapins will likely also need help too. A two or three team combination of Creighton, Florida State, Villanova and Duke will need to have an early exit in their respective tournaments. Without it, it would be tough to put Maryland over any of those teams with that resume. 

A Big Ten conference championship would lock them into a No. 3 seed at the very least. They'll surpass Michigan State, by virtue of another head-to-head victory or Michigan State getting ousted before Maryland even plays them. 

The two are on a collision path to play in the semifinals, so a runner-up finish would likely get them a No. 3 seed as well. Considering that there are three Big East teams and three ACC teams in direct competition, someone is going to fall before their championship games. 

A No. 4 seed is essentially as far down as they could place - No. 4 is where many bracketologists have Maryland currently. A win in the quarterfinals over anybody would lock that up.

Unless the Terps lost Nebraska, their resume is far superior over many of the teams sitting at the No. 5 seed. Many of those teams are at or near 10 losses on the year. Additionally, they have at least one really bad loss (Q3 or worse) going against them. Maryland hasn't lost a single game out of Q1.

It would take some major upsets across several tournaments to have the No. 5 seed be Maryland's future. 

So the Terrapins will slot somewhere between the No. 2 and No. 4 seed lines on Selection Sunday. A big discrepancy, but a lot of it in their control. 

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