NCAA

NCAA Tournament 2017: Virginia emerges as the only DMV school with odds to win it all

NCAA Tournament 2017: Virginia emerges as the only DMV school with odds to win it all

BY TYLER BYRUM, @theTylerByrum

Earlier this week, FiveThirtyEight released their probabilities and simulations at who was going to win the 2017 Men's D1 NCAA Tournament and it was not too kind to D.C., Maryland, and Virginia schools in the big dance.

Only the Virginia Cavaliers have above a one percent chance to bring home the national title, and allbeit was only two percent. 

Favorites to win it all were no surprise the No. 1 seeds; Villanova (15 percent), Gonzaga (14 percent), Kansas (10 percent), and North Carolina (seven percent). Kentucky is the highest seed to win it all at eight percent with Duke right behind at seven percent, both teams are No. 2 seeds. 

Both Virginia (72 percent) and Maryland (51 percent) are favorites to win their first round games against North Carolina-Wilmington and Xavier respectivelly.  VCU (26 percent), Virginia Tech (21 percent) Mount St. Mary's (1 percent) are all predicted to lose in their first game. Only Virginia has greater than one percent chance to make the Final Four as well (eight percent).

RELATED: Don't bank on these six teams to make an NCAA run

Odds to win the NCAA Tournament:

Virginia: 2 percent 

Virginia Tech: <1 percent

VCU: <1 percent

Maryland: <1 percent

Mount St. Mary's: <1 percent

Odds will be updated live as the action moves on throughout the rest of the NCAA Tournament. Follow along at FiveThirtyEight's website

NCAA Tournament 2019: Virginia Tech vs. Saint Louis First Round, time, TV channel, how to watch

NCAA Tournament 2019: Virginia Tech vs. Saint Louis First Round, time, TV channel, how to watch

Riding with one of the most potent offense's in the country, the No. 4 Virginia Tech Hokies will play the No. 13 Saint Louis Billikens in the NCAA Tournament. 

That offense (10th in offensive efficiency in KenPom), gave Virginia Tech their best season in quite a while. Tech's 24 wins marked their second-highest win total in program history. However, they've been without guard Justin Robinson for the last half of conference play. He is back for the Hokies which adds another element for a team looking to win their first tournament game since 2007.

Saint Louis (22-12, 10-8 Atlantic 10) is only here because the Billikens won the A-10's automatic bid. With a solid mixup of zone defenses, they are a difficult draw for anyone, and especially a hot and cold shooting Hokies squad. 

Here is the NCAA Tournament information:

Virginia Tech vs. Saint Louis How to Watch

What: 2019 NCAA Tournament First Round, East Region

Who: No. 4 Virginia Tech (24-8, 12-6 ACC) vs. No. 13 Saint Louis (22-12, 10-8 Atlantic 10)

When: 9:57 p.m. ET on Friday, March 22

Where: SAP Center, San Jose, Calif. 

TV Channel: truTV

Online Stream: March Madness Live on NCAA.com

TV Announcers: Spero Dedes / Len Elmore / Steve Smith // Ros Gold-Onwude

Twitter: @HokiesMBB@SaintLouisMBB

Virginia Tech vs. Saint Louis Bracket Analysis

How They Got Here: Virginia Tech (at-large), Saint Louis (auto- bid, Atlantic 10 champions)

Previous Meeting: 77-71 Saint Louis win on Nov. 16, 2017 (Virginia Tech leads all-time series 7-1)

Next Round: Winner of No. 5 Mississippi State vs. No. 12 Liberty

East Region Bracket:

No. 1 Duke vs. No. 16 North Dakota State
No. 8 VCU vs. No. 9 Central Florida

No. 5 Mississippi State vs. No. 12 Liberty
No. 4 Virginia Tech vs. No. 13 Saint Louis

No. 6 Maryland vs. No. 11 Belmont
No. 3 LSU vs. No. 14 Yale

No. 7 Louisville vs. No. 10 Minnesota
No. 2 Michigan State vs. No. 15 Bradley

Virginia Tech vs. Saint Louis Betting Spread, Lines & Odds

Favorites: Virginia Tech -10
Over/Under: 126
Money Line: Virginia Tech -565, Saint Louis +460
Against The Spread: Virginia Tech (17-14-1), Saint Louis (17-18)

Betting lines found on BetOnline.ag

MORE NCAA TOURNAMENT NEWS:

NCAA Tournament 2019: VCU vs. UCF First Round, time, TV channel, how to watch

NCAA Tournament 2019: VCU vs. UCF First Round, time, TV channel, how to watch

No. 8 VCU and No. 9 UCF will clash in the First Round of the 2019 NCAA Tournament. The two at-large programs will play on Friday, March 22 at 9:40 p.m.

Both these squads are two teams that no one wants to face in this tournament. VCU and UCF are both strong defensively (top-40 in KenPom). 

VCU earned their at-large with a clean run through their season. With a 25-7 record, the Rams were a clear step ahead of the other teams in the Atlantic 10. While they fell in the A-10 Tournament, they built together a resume that was enough to give them an at-large. It is the first bid for the program since Mike Rhoades took over as head coach. 

UCF is their opponent and most notably plays with the 7-foot-6 phenom Tacko Fall. Hovering around the bubble all season long, UCF used some quality end-of-season wins to get into the field. The Knights are yet another team to never win a tournament contest and this season is their best chance against VCU.

Which stinks is that whichever one wins is likely getting Duke as a Second Round opponent.

Here is the NCAA Tournament information:

VCU vs. UCF How to Watch

What: 2019 NCAA Tournament First Round, East Region

Who: No. 8 VCU (25-7, 16-2 Atlantic 10) vs. No. 9 UCF (23-8, 13-5 AAC)

When: 9:40 p.m. ET on Friday, March 22. 

Where: Colonial Life Arena, Columbia, S.C. 

TV Channel: CBS

Online Stream: March Madness Live on NCAA.com

TV Announcers: Jim Nantz / Bill Raftery / Grant Hill // Tracy Wolfson

Twitter: @VCU_Hoops@UCF_MBB

VCU vs. UCF Bracket Analysis

How They Got Here: VCU (at-large), UCF (at-large)

Previous Meeting: First Meeting

Next Round: Winner of No. 1 Duke vs. No. 16 North Dakota State

East Region Bracket:

No. 1 Duke vs. No. 16 North Dakota State
No. 8 VCU vs. No. 9 Central Florida

No. 5 Mississippi State vs. No. 12 Liberty
No. 4 Virginia Tech vs. No. 13 Saint Louis

No. 6 Maryland vs. No. 11 Belmont
No. 3 LSU vs. No. 14 Yale

No. 7 Louisville vs. No. 10 Minnesota
No. 2 Michigan State vs. No. 15 Bradley

VCU vs. UCF Betting Spread, Lines & Odds

Favorites: UCF -1
Over/Under: 127
Money Line: VCU -102, UCF -118
Against The Spread: VCU (20-11-1), UCF (18-12-1)

Betting lines found on BetOnline.ag

MORE NCAA TOURNAMENT NEWS: