Redskins

NFL Capsule: Packers at Giants

NFL Capsule: Packers at Giants

GREEN BAY (7-3) At NEW YORK GIANTS (6-4)

Sunday, 8:25 p.m., NBC

OPENING LINE - Giants by 2 1/2

RECORD VS. SPREAD - Green Bay 5-5; New York 4-4-2

SERIES RECORD - Packers 31-24-2

AP PRO32 RANKING - Packers No. 5; Giants No. 9

LAST MEETING - Giants beat Packers 37-20, Jan. 15, 2012

LAST WEEK - Packers beat Lions 24-20; Giants had bye

PACKERS OFFENSE - OVERALL (18), RUSH (24), PASS (11)

PACKERS DEFENSE - OVERALL (16), RUSH (11), PASS (21)

GIANTS OFFENSE - OVERALL (11T), RUSH (13), PASS (9)

GIANTS DEFENSE - OVERALL (22), RUSH (15), PASS (25)

STREAKS, STATS AND NOTES - Fourth meeting between Giants and packers in three seasons. Green Bay won two regular-season games, New York won playoff game last season. Packers five-game win streak tied with Denver for NFL's longest current streak. ... In past seven games, quarterback Aaron Rodgers 6-1 with 24 touchdowns, four interceptions and 117 QB rating. In last two regular-season starts vs. New York, he has thrown for 773 yards, eight TDs, one interception with a 121.2 rating. Packers 25-0 when Rodgers starts and has 115-plus rating. ...Wide receiver Randall Cobb caught six touchdowns in last four games and aims for fifth straight game with TD. He is only player in NFL with 600-plus yards on kickoff returns, 500-plus yards receiving, 200-plus on punt returns and 100-plus rushing. ...Receiver James Jones tied for NFC lead with eight TDs receiving. Receiver Greg Jennings has 14 catches for 236 yards and TD in last two games against Giants. ...Since 2010, cornerback Tramon Williams tied for NFL lead with 15 interceptions. ...LB Clay Matthews had 38-yard interception return for touchdown, sack and forced fumble in Packers' 38-35 win here last year. ...Cornerback Casey Hayward leads all rookies with five interceptions. ... New York comes off bye on two-game losing streak. ... Quarterback Eli Manning has thrown 197 touchdown passes and needs two to tie Phil Simms for most by Giant. ... In past two games against Green Bay, including playoffs, he has a 106.9 rating with six TDs, two interceptions and 677 yards. Two-time Super Bowl MVP has not thrown TD in last three games. ...Giants 10-0 when halfback Ahmad Bradshaw runs for at least 100 yards. ... Receiver Victor Cruz has 28 catches for 427 yards and five touchdowns in last four home games. ...Receiver Hakeem Nicks had seven catches for 165 yards and two TDs in playoff win over Green Bay. ... In last five games, defensive end Jason Pierre-Paul has five sacks, forced fumble and interception return for TD. ...Justin Tuck has a sack in all three regular-season games between the teams, while fellow defensive end Osi Umenyiora is two sacks shy of 75 in his career. ...Stevie Brown leads NFL safeties with five interceptions. ... Kicker Lawrence Tynes has already surpassed his single-season career best with 28 field goals. He has a shot to break David Akers (49ers) single-season NFL record for points by player with no touchdowns (166), set last season. The Giants record is 148 points by Jay Feely in 2005. Tynes' career high is 126 points in 2009.

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Online:http://pro32.ap.org/poll andhttp://twitter.com/AP-NFL

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Need to Know: Tandler's Take—The best- and worst-case scenarios for the 2018 Redskins

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Various sources

Need to Know: Tandler's Take—The best- and worst-case scenarios for the 2018 Redskins

Here is what you need to know on this Sunday, May 20, two days before the Washington Redskins start OTAs.  

Best- and worst-case scenarios for the 2018 Redskins

Last week I took a stab at figuring out what the best-case and worst-case scenarios were for the key players on offense and defense. While individual stats are fun to track, it’s what the team does that really matters. What range of outcomes is realistic for the 2018 Redskins? While anything is possible, here are my thoughts on the best they are likely to be able to do and the worst. 

In both cases, I am assuming that the Redskins have reasonably good fortune when it comes to injuries and that the good and bad bounces of the ball equal out over the course of the season. 

Worst case: 6-10, last in NFC East

This is based mostly on Alex Smith having a tough time adjusting to Jay Gruden’s offense, his new teammates, and the NFC. Thinking he could struggle is not just negative thinking, there is history to back it up. 

Smith was traded from the 49ers to the Chiefs in 2013. In his first nine games, he completed just 59.7 percent of his passes with nine touchdowns and four interceptions He had an adjusted net yards per attempt of 5.23. Had he finished the season there he would have ranked 28th in the NFL. His passer rating was 81.4, which would have ranked 25th. It’s safe to say he was off to a very slow start. 

But the Chiefs went 8-1 in those nine games. It is doubtful that the Redskins could survive such a slow start. In the past three seasons, with Kirk Cousins at quarterback, they were 4-17 in games where Cousins’ passer rating was under 90. If you drop the ceiling to 81, the record drops to 0-14. 

Kansas City managed to start 9-0 in 2013 because of a running game that produced at least 100 yards rushing every game and a defense that got at least one takeaway every game and got three or more turnovers in a game five times. 

Could the Redskins duplicate that and survive a slow start by Smith? It’s possible, but this is the worst-case scenario. And there is no guarantee that the Redskins will significantly improve a running attack that was 27thin the league last year or a rushing defense that was dead last. 

Offensively, the hope is that Derrius Guice will improve the running game. But rookies are, well rookies. And being a high draft pick is no guarantee of success. In the past three drafts, 20 running backers were drafted in the first three rounds. Of those players, four rushed for 750 yards or more as rookies. Maybe Guice will be one of the productive players but the odds are not in his favor. This isn’t saying he will be a bust; however, he may not have instant impact. 

One other note about the rushing game. It’s important to remember that both tackles are coming off of surgery, the right guard was injured last year, the center has all of six starts under his belt, and left guard remains up in the air. Maybe everything will hum when the season starts but that seems like a tall order. 

Improvement in the stopping the run also relies at least in part on rookies. Daron Payne will have an adjustment period as will Tim Settle. The inside linebacker spot should be stronger but it’s hard to say that it will be a strength. The rushing defense probably won’t be last again, but it may not climb out of the twenties in the rankings. 

The Redskins haven’t been awful at getting takeaways, but they have not done it at a consistently game-changing level. They have three or more takeaways in a game five times in their last 30 games. I don’t see any reason to think that this will change dramatically. 

To put the 6-10 worst-case scenario onto the schedule, the Redskins could go 2-4 in the division with splits against the Cowboys and Giants and getting swept by the Eagles. Against the NFC South, which had three teams with 10 wins or more last year, they might be 1-3. That leaves a split with the AFC South (two of the final eight teams in the playoffs last year) and of their two other NFC games for a 6-10 record. 

Best-case scenario: 10-6, Wild card, win a playoff game

This scenario doesn’t require a whole lot of explanation beyond flipping the elements of the worst case into more positive outcomes. 

Smith could pick up where he left off last year when he completed 67.5 percent of his passes and was third in the league with 7.2 adjusted net yards per attempt. Maybe the yards per attempt will drop some as he tries to find a consistent deep target.

A healthy Jordan Reed would help Smith out tremendously. If Reed can participate in most of training camp, the two could hit the ground running. Smith’s ability to connect with Josh Doctson on some 50-50 balls also will be important. 

As for the running game, Guice could break out early behind a line that gels quickly. It’s not out of the question for him to gain 1,000 yards (that’s just about 65 yards per game), maybe a little more. A healthy Chris Thompson could kick in over 1,000 yards from scrimmage. 

Jonathan Allen and Matt Ioannidis could pick up right where they left off last year before Allen was lost for the season with a foot injury and Ioannidis missed two games with a broken hand and was hampered by the injury for a few weeks after that. That would let Payne and Settle, well, settle into the pro game. 

The Redskins also would need at least to maintain the solid pass defense they had last year. And they would benefit from fewer turnovers on offense (27 last year, 26thin the NFL) and by adding a few takeaways to the 23 they got in 2017.

So how could they pull this off? The would need to go 4-2 in the division, with a sweep of the Giants and splits against Philly and Dallas. They then would need 2-2 records against the NFC South and AFC South. That part of it is probably the toughest task. To get to 10 they would need to beat the Cardinals on the road in the season opener and then have a good day against Aaron Rodgers and get a win over the Packers. It’s not an easy road but if enough pieces fall into place it’s not out of the question. 

A 10-6 record should be good enough for a wild-card spot. If they get through their fairly tough schedule with double-digit wins, they should be good enough to go on the road and take out the three or four seed. 

Stay up to date on the Redskins. Rich Tandler covers the team 365 days a year. Like his Facebook page, Facebook.com/TandlerNBCSand follow him on Twitter  @TandlerNBCSand on Instagram @RichTandler

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Timeline  

Days until:

—Minicamp (6/12) 23
—Training camp starts (7/26) 68
—Preseason opener @ Patriots (8/9) 82

The Redskins last played a game 139 days ago. They will open the 2018 NFL season at the Cardinals in 113 days. 

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Niskanen takes the blame for all three Lightning goals

Niskanen takes the blame for all three Lightning goals

There was no tougher critic on Matt Niskanen’s Game 5 performance on Saturday than Niskanen himself.

Niskanen and his defensive partner, Dmitry Orlov, were on the ice for all three of the Tampa Bay Lightning’s three goals in the Capitals’ 3-2 loss. That was striking given the Orlov-Niskanen duo is typically Washington’s best defensive pair.

That was not the case on Saturday and Niskanen took full responsibility afterward.

“First three goals are all my fault,” Niskanen said. “I had a tough first 20:30 so I've got to be better next game.”

Pretty much no one played the first goal right.

The goal came just 19 seconds into the game. Orlov turned the puck over in the neutral zone and Evgeny Kuznetsov looked like he could have gotten the puck, but instead played the body of Cedric Paquette. Niskanen stepped up at the blue line, but the Lightning got the puck past him creating a short rush that beat Braden Holtby who was way too far back in the crease.

Yes, Niskanen got caught a bit high, but he was just as at fault as Orlov, Kuznetsov and Holtby.

The second goal happened because Steven Stamkos tripped Orlov to create a turnover and it wasn’t called.

Niskanen got in between Ondrej Palat and the puck, but Palat beat both him and Holtby on the shot. Not sure I would put this one on Niskanen.

The third goal…well, that one was a bad play by Niskanen.

When you go one-on-one with a player, a defenseman cannot allow that player to turn the corner. That’s especially true when that player is defenseman Anton Stralman who is not exactly gifted with blazing speed. This was just a complete misplay.

Regardless of how many goals were strictly on Niskanen, that’s not the point. This was a message not so much to the media but to the team. That message was this: This one’s on me, I will be better next game.

Leaders always take responsibility. Niskanen is taking the blame here and saying he will be better in the hopes the team around him will be better as well.

They will need to be to win Game 6.

“A lot of people counted us out when we were down 0-2 in the first round,” Niskanen said. “Things got hard in the last series where we could have melted and we just kept playing. So that's what we've got to do again, bring our best effort for Game 6 at home, win a game and then we'll go from there.

“But we're focused on bringing our best game of the season for Game 6 and we'll be ready to go.”

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