Redskins

Redskins

The Redskins hold the second overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft, and as time inches closer to the first round in late April, the selection will gain increasing importance. 

Fans seem split between taking Ohio State defensive end Chase Young and the prospect of trading the pick. It's time, however, for a wake-up call for the trade crowd. 

Nothing, repeat nothing, will come close to the RG3 trade.

In 2012, the Redskins sent three first-round picks and a second-round pick to the Rams to move up four spots and get the opportunity to select Robert Griffin III. It was an exorbitant price. Wild. And for about 12 games it seemed like Washington made the right move. A knee injury ended Griffin's incredible rookie year, and from there, things fell apart. 

The point isn't how the Griffin trade ended, it's that it happened, and that some Redskins fans have an expectation that a similar offer could come in for the No. 2 pick this year. It's not going to happen. 

The only trade that compares to the Redskins move to get RG3 actually came from the Rams in 2016. Los Angeles moved up to the first overall pick to select quarterback Jared Goff, and to do so, the Rams gave up a boatload of picks: two first-round picks, two second-round picks, and two third-round picks. It's well documented how many of those selections helped the Titans propel to the AFC Championship game this past season.

Still, that trade doesn't compare for a few reasons. The most obvious? The Rams gave up two first-round picks, not three like Washington did in 2012. Also, the Rams had to move up from the 15th overall pick to the No. 1 selection, a move of 14 spots. Washington only moved up four spots in 2012 to get from six to two and take RG3. 

 

Regardless, the NFL has learned from both trades. 

The last true blockbuster draft day trade came in 2018, when the Bears moved up one spot from the third pick to the second pick to take North Carolina quarterback Mitch Trubisky. To make the move, Chicago sent four picks to San Francisco, including their first, third and fourth-round picks in 2018 and another third-round pick in 2019. Granted, the move was just to inch up one spot, but the haul was nowhere close to the RG3 trade. 

In short, the Redskins overpaid in 2012. The NFL knows it. That type of offer won't come again.

Looking at 2020, it's entirely possible some teams might get desperate in a hunt to get Alabama QB Tua Tagovailoa. Most would think the easy trade is to the third spot where Detroit sits, but even if it's to the second spot where the Redskins are, don't expect three first-round picks and a second to get offered. 

Yes, Miami holds three first-round picks this year, and Miami might be desperate for Tua. History suggests, however, that the Godfather offer for RG3 won't happen again. 

If it does, listen, but keep in mind lightning rarely strikes twice. 

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