Dwayne Haskins is a Redskins quarterback. Now, the question everyone who follows the franchise is asking is: When will Dwayne Haskins become the Redskins' starting quarterback?
Washington, if they choose to, doesn't necessarily need to rush its first-round selection. Case Keenum has started 30 times over the past two seasons and eight-year vet Colt McCoy is on the roster, too.
However, recent history suggests that Haskins will become QB1 at some point as a rookie — and likely much sooner rather than later.
23 passers have gone in the top half of the first round of the past 10 NFL drafts, like Haskins did this past April. But when did those franchises first turn to their prized, young prospects?
Here are the key takeaways from looking at that group's experiences and comparing when each got their chance to initially take over under center full-time (for a QB-by-QB breakdown, head to the bottom of the story):
1) If you take every QB's first opportunity to be starter and assign it a number value based on the game in which that opportunity happened (opening day starter equates to 1, someone who began starting in Week 4 equates to 4, etc.) then average those numbers together, you'll get 3.56. That means these 23 guys, on average, took over approximately three or four games in.
2) 12 out of the 23 started right away, while Deshaun Watson and Josh Allen took over midway through the first game. So, basically, 14 out of 23 were at the top of the depth chart from the beginning.
3) Just two out of the 23 — Jake Locker and Patrick Mahomes — waited a full season to assume the starting spot due to Alex Smith and Matt Hasselbeck's performance ahead of them.
So, there are numbers from the last decade that suggest Haskins is going to get his shot and get it very soon. And those numbers, while pretty eye-opening, make sense.
If you're drafting a passer high in Round 1, it's because your current collection of talent is either non-existent or very thin. Therefore, that passer will either walk into the Week 1 job, earn the Week 1 job in the offseason or have the job handed to them quickly because the options in front of them struggle.
Does that sound like a certain Burgundy and Gold-colored situation? Of course it does.
Haskins is here because the organization knows, while it could get by in 2019 with Keenum and McCoy, they aren't the permanent solutions. There's also the chance coaches learn in the summer Haskins is both the solution for 2019 and beyond.
Add in the facts that the Redskins' schedule may lend itself to an ugly record through five matchups plus this team is desperate for any reason to get excited, and it becomes easier to envision Haskins leading this offense well before the weather gets cold.
Perhaps the truly best course is to ease a quarterback into the NFL waters. Yet there's at least a decade's worth of data that points to how that's no longer a route many take.
The Redskins made a splash by acquiring Haskins with the 15th pick in Nashville. Be ready for them to see if he can sink or swim early.
Here's the QB-by-QB look at the 23 top-half first-rounders since 2009 and when they first were given the starting gig.
- Matt Stafford (1st overall, opening day starter)
- Mark Sanchez (5th overall, opening day starter)
- Sam Bradford (1st overall, opening day starter)
- Cam Newton (1st overall, opening day starter)
- Jake Locker (8th overall, became full-time starter Week 1 of following year)
- Blaine Gabbert (10th overall, starter beginning in Week 3)
- Christian Ponder (12th overall, starter beginning in Week 6)
- Andrew Luck (1st overall, opening day starter)
- Robert Griffin III (2nd overall, opening day starter)
- Ryan Tannehill (8th overall, opening day starter)
- EJ Manuel (16th overall, opening day starter)
- Blake Bortles (3rd overall, starter beginning in Week 4)
- Jameis Winston (1st overall, opening day starter)
- Marcus Mariota (2nd overall, opening day starter)
- Jared Goff (starter beginning in Week 11, which was the team's 10th game due to their bye)
- Carson Wentz (2nd overall, opening day starter)
- Mitch Trubisky (2nd overall, starter beginning in Week 5)
- Patrick Mahomes (10th overall, became full-time starter Week 1 of the following year)
- Deshaun Watson (12th overall, became starter midway through Week 1)
- Baker Mayfield (1st overall, became starter midway through Week 3)
- Sam Darnold (3rd overall, opening day starter)
- Josh Allen (7th overall, became starter midway through Week 1)
- Josh Rosen (10th overall, starter beginning in Week 4)
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